
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Las Vegas Aces
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Los Angeles Sparks vs. Las Vegas Aces”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Jackie Young: Assists O/U 5.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,450% chance of winning. Nneka Ogwumike: Assists O/U 2.5 follows in second place at 5,400%, while Spread -16.5 sits in third with 5,350%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $100.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Jackie Young: Assists O/U 5.5 (5,450%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Jackie Young: Assists O/U 5.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,450¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Nneka Ogwumike: Assists O/U 2.5 (5,400%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Nneka Ogwumike: Assists O/U 2.5 maintains a 5,400% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,400¢.
- Spread -16.5 (5,350%): Sitting in third place with a 5,350% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Spread -16.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes O/U 178.5 (5,250%), Chelsea Gray: Assists O/U 5.5 (5,150%), and O/U 179.5 (4,950%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like A'ja Wilson: Points O/U 25.5 are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jackie Young: Assists O/U 5.5 | 5450.0% | — | 5450¢ | -5350¢ |
| 2 | Nneka Ogwumike: Assists O/U 2.5 | 5400.0% | — | 5400¢ | -5300¢ |
| 3 | Spread -16.5 | 5350.0% | $8.4K | 5350¢ | -5250¢ |
| 4 | O/U 178.5 | 5250.0% | $17.8K | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 5 | Chelsea Gray: Assists O/U 5.5 | 5150.0% | — | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 6 | O/U 179.5 | 4950.0% | $10.1K | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 7 | A'ja Wilson: Points O/U 25.5 | 4950.0% | $2 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 8 | Chelsea Gray: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 4850.0% | — | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 9 | Nneka Ogwumike: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 4700.0% | $21 | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 10 | A'ja Wilson: Assists O/U 3.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 11 | Chelsea Gray: Points O/U 11.5 | 4600.0% | — | 4600¢ | -4500¢ |
| 12 | Nneka Ogwumike: Points O/U 17.5 | 4550.0% | $500 | 4550¢ | -4450¢ |
| 13 | Rae Burrell: Assists O/U 2.5 | 4400.0% | — | 4400¢ | -4300¢ |
| 14 | Rae Burrell: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 4300.0% | — | 4300¢ | -4200¢ |
| 15 | Jackie Young: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 4250.0% | — | 4250¢ | -4150¢ |
| 16 | A'ja Wilson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 4150.0% | — | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 17 | Nneka Ogwumike: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 4150.0% | — | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 18 | Jackie Young: Assists O/U 6.5 | 4050.0% | — | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 19 | Jackie Young: Points O/U 21.5 | 3950.0% | $46 | 3950¢ | -3850¢ |
| 20 | Chelsea Gray: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 3900.0% | — | 3900¢ | -3800¢ |
| 21 | Rae Burrell: Points O/U 15.5 | 3650.0% | — | 3650¢ | -3550¢ |
| 22 | Jackie Young: Points O/U 20.5 | 2750.0% | — | 2750¢ | -2650¢ |
| 23 | Rae Burrell: Points O/U 14.5 | 2700.0% | — | 2700¢ | -2600¢ |
| 24 | Ariel Atkins: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 2650.0% | — | 2650¢ | -2550¢ |
| 25 | Ariel Atkins: Points O/U 6.5 | 2550.0% | — | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 26 | Los Angeles Sparks vs. Las Vegas Aces | 750.0% | $63.3K | 750¢ | -650¢ |
Result Rules
In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for September 22 at 10:00PM ET:
If the Los Angeles Sparks win, the market will resolve to "Los Angeles Sparks".
If the Las Vegas Aces win, the market will resolve to "Las Vegas Aces".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Sep 22, 2026
- 11:38 PMUNUnderdog2412$25.00
Bought 46.296297 Las Vegas Aces for Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-16.5) at 0.54
- 11:37 PMODOddstorm$72.82
Bought 145.63 Under for Los Angeles Sparks vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 179.5 at 0.5
- 11:28 PMNInigiri99$82.25
Bought 175 Los Angeles Sparks for Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-16.5) at 0.47
- 10:39 PMNInigiri99$35.72
Bought 76 Los Angeles Sparks for Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-16.5) at 0.47
- 10:39 PMNInigiri99$1.41
Bought 3 Los Angeles Sparks for Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-16.5) at 0.47
- 10:39 PMSUsuntori$9.52
Bought 20.25532 Los Angeles Sparks for Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-16.5) at 0.47
- 10:32 PMNInigiri99$13.16
Bought 28 Los Angeles Sparks for Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-16.5) at 0.47
- 10:26 PM——$1.00
Bought 2.12766 Los Angeles Sparks for Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-16.5) at 0.47
- 10:20 PMNInigiri99$455.43
Bought 969 Los Angeles Sparks for Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-16.5) at 0.47
- 10:19 PMNInigiri99$470.00
Bought 1000 Los Angeles Sparks for Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-16.5) at 0.47
- 10:19 PMNInigiri99$292.81
Bought 623 Los Angeles Sparks for Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-16.5) at 0.47
- 10:19 PMNInigiri99$177.19
Bought 377 Los Angeles Sparks for Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-16.5) at 0.47
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Los Angeles Sparks vs. Las Vegas Aces"?
As of the latest update, Jackie Young: Assists O/U 5.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,450% win probability, followed by Nneka Ogwumike: Assists O/U 2.5 at 5,400% and Spread -16.5 at 5,350%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $100.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
