Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire

$178.2K Vol
Sep 23, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Golden State Valkyries 89.5%
Portland Fire 10.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,950% chance of winning. Spread -12.5 follows in second place at 5,650%, while O/U 157.5 sits in third with 5,350%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $178.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire (8,950%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,950¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $52.1K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Spread -12.5 (5,650%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Spread -12.5 maintains a 5,650% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,650¢.
  • O/U 157.5 (5,350%): Sitting in third place with a 5,350% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 157.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Veronica Burton: Assists O/U 5.5 (5,250%), Spread -13.5 (5,150%), and Gabby Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5 (5,050%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Kayla Thornton: Points O/U 9.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire8950.0%$52.1K8950¢-8850¢
2Spread -12.55650.0%$1.5K5650¢-5550¢
3O/U 157.55350.0%$38.1K5350¢-5250¢
4Veronica Burton: Assists O/U 5.55250.0%$2025250¢-5150¢
5Spread -13.55150.0%$3685150¢-5050¢
6Gabby Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
7Kayla Thornton: Points O/U 9.54850.0%4850¢-4750¢
8Veronica Burton: Points O/U 11.54800.0%4800¢-4700¢
9Spread -14.54650.0%$85.0K4650¢-4550¢
10Spread -15.54450.0%$8414450¢-4350¢
11Gabby Williams: Points O/U 14.54200.0%4200¢-4100¢
12Cecilia Zandalasini: Points O/U 9.54000.0%$124000¢-3900¢
13Kayla Thornton: Points O/U 8.53950.0%$23950¢-3850¢
14Kayla Thornton: Rebounds O/U 4.53800.0%$53800¢-3700¢
15Carla Leite: Points O/U 14.53750.0%3750¢-3650¢
16Megan DiLeo: Points O/U 12.53750.0%3750¢-3650¢
17Megan DiLeo: Rebounds O/U 4.53450.0%3450¢-3350¢
18Kayla Thornton: Rebounds O/U 3.53150.0%3150¢-3050¢
19Gabby Williams: Rebounds O/U 2.53000.0%3000¢-2900¢
20Carla Leite: Assists O/U 5.53000.0%3000¢-2900¢
21Gabby Williams: Points O/U 13.52800.0%2800¢-2700¢
22Veronica Burton: Rebounds O/U 3.52700.0%2700¢-2600¢
23Carla Leite: Points O/U 13.52650.0%2650¢-2550¢
24Megan DiLeo: Points O/U 11.52650.0%2650¢-2550¢
25Gabby Williams: Assists O/U 2.52600.0%$632600¢-2500¢
26Carla Leite: Assists O/U 6.52500.0%2500¢-2400¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for September 22 at 10:00PM ET:

If the Golden State Valkyries win, the market will resolve to "Golden State Valkyries".

If the Portland Fire win, the market will resolve to "Portland Fire".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 22, 2026

  • 11:43 PM
    $3.00

    Bought 5.769231 Over for Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire: O/U 157.5 at 0.52

  • 11:39 PM
    $5.00

    Bought 9.803922 Golden State Valkyries for Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-14.5) at 0.51

  • 11:36 PM
    SUsuntori
    $1.02

    Bought 1.821429 Golden State Valkyries for Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-13.5) at 0.56

  • 11:33 PM
    WIWindows11-Winner
    $1.00

    Bought 2.040817 Under for Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire: O/U 157.5 at 0.49

  • 11:33 PM
    WIWindows11-Winner
    $2.00

    Bought 3.921569 Golden State Valkyries for Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-14.5) at 0.51

  • 11:31 PM
    NInigiri99
    $500.00

    Bought 1000 Portland Fire for Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-14.5) at 0.5

  • 11:31 PM
    NInigiri99
    $500.00

    Bought 1000 Portland Fire for Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-14.5) at 0.5

  • 11:22 PM
    $3.85

    Sold 7.69 Golden State Valkyries for Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-14.5) at 0.5

  • 11:13 PM
    WIWindows11-Winner
    $1.00

    Bought 2.040817 Under for Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire: O/U 157.5 at 0.49

  • 11:12 PM
    NInigiri99
    $56.84

    Bought 116 Under for Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire: O/U 157.5 at 0.49

  • 11:07 PM
    KIKISHI45
    $21.00

    Bought 35 Golden State Valkyries for Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-12.5) at 0.6

  • 10:56 PM
    NInigiri99
    $9.31

    Bought 19 Under for Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire: O/U 157.5 at 0.49

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FE1
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$335.20
Volume
$22,344.92
Positions
Golden State Valkyries
MO2
monkeymashingkeyboard
Event PnL
-$300.00
Volume
$19,999.98
Positions
Portland Fire
AN3
AnonymousUsername
Event PnL
+$7.76
Volume
$6,467.05
Positions
Portland Fire
074
0x076d…8d4c
Event PnL
+$26.56
Volume
$5,311.89
Positions
Golden State Valkyries
LZ5
lzh1
Event PnL
-$25.00
Volume
$4,999.99
Positions
Portland Fire
AL6
Alexfirst
Event PnL
-$18.70
Volume
$3,740.00
Positions
Golden State Valkyries
VE7
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$16.55
Volume
$3,478.24
Positions
Portland FireGolden State ValkyriesNo
MN8
mnogonado
Event PnL
+$12.60
Volume
$2,520.00
Positions
Golden State Valkyries

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire"?

As of the latest update, Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,950% win probability, followed by Spread -12.5 at 5,650% and O/U 157.5 at 5,350%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $178.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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