Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics

$111K Vol
Sep 23, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Washington Mystics 92.5%
Connecticut Sun 7.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Spread -13.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,350% chance of winning. Spread -14.5 follows in second place at 6,100%, while O/U 157.5 sits in third with 5,750%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $111K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Spread -13.5 (6,350%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Spread -13.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,350¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $1.1K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Spread -14.5 (6,100%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Spread -14.5 maintains a 6,100% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,100¢.
  • O/U 157.5 (5,750%): Sitting in third place with a 5,750% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 157.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Spread -15.5 (5,650%), Spread -16.5 (5,450%), and O/U 159.5 (5,350%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Shakira Austin: Rebounds O/U 8.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Spread -13.56350.0%$1.1K6350¢-6250¢
2Spread -14.56100.0%$4.9K6100¢-6000¢
3O/U 157.55750.0%$9265750¢-5650¢
4Spread -15.55650.0%$6.0K5650¢-5550¢
5Spread -16.55450.0%$28.6K5450¢-5350¢
6O/U 159.55350.0%$10.9K5350¢-5250¢
7Shakira Austin: Rebounds O/U 8.55300.0%5300¢-5200¢
8Sonia Citron: Assists O/U 4.55150.0%5150¢-5050¢
9Kiki Iriafen: Points O/U 15.55050.0%$25050¢-4950¢
10Sonia Citron: Points O/U 15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Spread -17.54950.0%$2.4K4950¢-4850¢
12Georgia Amoore: Assists O/U 3.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
13Kiki Iriafen: Rebounds O/U 9.54800.0%$274800¢-4700¢
14Georgia Amoore: Points O/U 7.54750.0%4750¢-4650¢
15Leïla Lacan: Assists O/U 4.54750.0%4750¢-4650¢
16Shakira Austin: Points O/U 17.54650.0%$194650¢-4550¢
17Michaela Onyenwere: Points O/U 7.54600.0%4600¢-4500¢
18Sonia Citron: Points O/U 16.54550.0%4550¢-4450¢
19Sonia Citron: Rebounds O/U 3.54400.0%4400¢-4300¢
20Shakira Austin: Assists O/U 2.53800.0%3800¢-3700¢
21Michaela Onyenwere: Rebounds O/U 2.53300.0%3300¢-3200¢
22Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics750.0%$56.1K750¢-650¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for September 22 at 7:30PM ET:

If the Connecticut Sun win, the market will resolve to "Connecticut Sun".

If the Washington Mystics win, the market will resolve to "Washington Mystics".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 22, 2026

  • 09:15 PM
    CCCCP6969
    $45.00

    Bought 562.5 Connecticut Sun for Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics at 0.08

  • 08:54 PM
    0X0x012D83ceB6B39b7431284d6DDe0BE72350019dB6-1766507110243
    $100.00

    Bought 107.526871 Washington Mystics for Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics at 0.93

  • 08:41 PM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $2,747.00

    Bought 2953.76 Washington Mystics for Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics at 0.93

  • 08:36 PM
    GLGlome
    $7.11

    Bought 7.65 Washington Mystics for Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics at 0.93

  • 08:36 PM
    SLSlimPickin
    $7.92

    Bought 99 Connecticut Sun for Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics at 0.08

  • 08:31 PM
    $1.00

    Bought 12.5 Connecticut Sun for Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics at 0.08

  • 08:19 PM
    SASassy-Bucket
    $394.96

    Bought 5642.31 Connecticut Sun for Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics at 0.07

  • 07:58 PM
    IKikonkeespeed
    $2.00

    Bought 2.12765 Washington Mystics for Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics at 0.94

  • 07:08 PM
    0X0xCDAf9b4c58345f6509eB8E43943aa5a17B867159-1789920674851
    $5.00

    Bought 5.319133 Washington Mystics for Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics at 0.94

  • 06:50 PM
    MYmyrilokolp944
    $1.00

    Bought 1.063816 Washington Mystics for Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics at 0.94

  • 06:45 PM
    SHShawnyou
    $100.00

    Bought 1428.571429 Connecticut Sun for Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics at 0.07

  • 06:44 PM
    BIBingwin88
    $10.00

    Bought 142.857143 Connecticut Sun for Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics at 0.07

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FE1
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$89.53
Volume
$9,491.74
Positions
Washington MysticsWashington Mystics
ME2
meoooow
Event PnL
-$40.53
Volume
$8,108.00
Positions
Connecticut Sun
NO3
no1dodgersfan
Event PnL
+$32.83
Volume
$7,997.00
Positions
Washington MysticsConnecticut SunConnecticut Sun
VE4
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$5.00
Volume
$6,605.72
Positions
Connecticut SunUnder
HO5
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$15.60
Volume
$5,321.02
Positions
Connecticut SunWashington MysticsUnder+4
WR6
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
Event PnL
-$69.44
Volume
$4,629.14
Positions
Connecticut Sun
NI7
nigiri99
Event PnL
-$2.48
Volume
$3,444.00
Positions
Washington MysticsWashington MysticsConnecticut Sun+2
9E8
0x9e3e…9396
Event PnL
-$0.44
Volume
$2,835.64
Positions
Washington MysticsUnderOver+2

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics"?

As of the latest update, Spread -13.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,350% win probability, followed by Spread -14.5 at 6,100% and O/U 157.5 at 5,750%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $111K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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