Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty

$146.4K Vol
Sep 24, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Atlanta Dream 58.5%
New York Liberty 41.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,850% chance of winning. Spread -1.5 follows in second place at 5,550%, while Spread -2.5 sits in third with 5,250%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $146.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty (5,850%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,850¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $117.8K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Spread -1.5 (5,550%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Spread -1.5 maintains a 5,550% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,550¢.
  • Spread -2.5 (5,250%): Sitting in third place with a 5,250% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Spread -2.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Naz Hillmon: Rebounds O/U 3.5 (5,200%), Naz Hillmon: Points O/U 6.5 (5,150%), and Allisha Gray: Points O/U 17.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Angel Reese: Assists O/U 2.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty5850.0%$117.8K5850¢-5750¢
2Spread -1.55550.0%$22.4K5550¢-5450¢
3Spread -2.55250.0%$2265250¢-5150¢
4Naz Hillmon: Rebounds O/U 3.55200.0%5200¢-5100¢
5Naz Hillmon: Points O/U 6.55150.0%5150¢-5050¢
6Allisha Gray: Points O/U 17.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Angel Reese: Assists O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Angel Reese: Rebounds O/U 11.54900.0%$1004900¢-4800¢
9Rhyne Howard: Points O/U 16.54850.0%4850¢-4750¢
10Rhyne Howard: Rebounds O/U 3.54800.0%4800¢-4700¢
11O/U 175.54750.0%$34750¢-4650¢
12Jordin Canada: Points O/U 10.54700.0%4700¢-4600¢
13O/U 176.54450.0%$4.9K4450¢-4350¢
14Allisha Gray: Rebounds O/U 3.54300.0%$1474300¢-4200¢
15Allisha Gray: Assists O/U 2.54150.0%$6974150¢-4050¢
16Rhyne Howard: Assists O/U 3.54100.0%4100¢-4000¢
17Jordin Canada: Points O/U 9.54000.0%4000¢-3900¢
18Jordin Canada: Assists O/U 7.54000.0%4000¢-3900¢
19Jordin Canada: Rebounds O/U 3.53850.0%3850¢-3750¢
20Breanna Stewart: Assists O/U 3.53650.0%3650¢-3550¢
21Angel Reese: Points O/U 15.53300.0%$583300¢-3200¢
22Naz Hillmon: Points O/U 7.53200.0%3200¢-3100¢
23Breanna Stewart: Rebounds O/U 8.52550.0%2550¢-2450¢
24Breanna Stewart: Points O/U 19.52500.0%$582500¢-2400¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for September 23 at 8:00PM ET:

If the Atlanta Dream win, the market will resolve to "Atlanta Dream".

If the New York Liberty win, the market will resolve to "New York Liberty".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 23, 2026

  • 11:04 AM
    SUSunlineTicker
    $5.09

    Bought 8.93 New York Liberty for Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5) at 0.57

  • 09:09 AM
    ONonebts
    $6.00

    Bought 13.043479 Atlanta Dream for Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty at 0.46

  • 08:13 AM
    0X0xea74e82E045accA6bbc678C7bE884a053a092E5F-1787769853499
    $2.50

    Bought 5 Under for Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty: O/U 176.5 at 0.5

  • 08:04 AM
    NEneutralwave23
    $38.10

    Bought 66.842106 New York Liberty for Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5) at 0.57

  • 07:30 AM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $3.77

    Bought 8.77 Atlanta Dream for Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5) at 0.43

  • 07:27 AM
    SUsuntori
    $9.52

    Bought 17.309091 New York Liberty for Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty at 0.55

  • 07:13 AM
    NInigiri99
    $50.49

    Bought 99 Over for Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty: O/U 176.5 at 0.51

  • 07:13 AM
    NInigiri99
    $109.14

    Bought 214 Over for Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty: O/U 176.5 at 0.51

  • 07:08 AM
    $4.86

    Sold 9 New York Liberty for Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty at 0.54

  • 07:08 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $47.65

    Bought 86.64 New York Liberty for Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty at 0.55

  • 07:07 AM
    $6.79

    Bought 13.313726 Over for Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty: O/U 176.5 at 0.51

  • 07:06 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $24.38

    Bought 44.32 New York Liberty for Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty at 0.55

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

421
0x4278…8941
Event PnL
-$49.40
Volume
$12,606.24
Positions
Atlanta Dream
NO2
no1dodgersfan
Event PnL
+$90.16
Volume
$6,861.66
Positions
New York LibertyOverNo+2
NI3
nigiri99
Event PnL
+$63.89
Volume
$5,965.00
Positions
New York LibertyAtlanta DreamOver
BL4
blackjackck
Event PnL
-$463.75
Volume
$5,648.44
Positions
New York LibertyNew York Liberty
UP5
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
+$234.23
Volume
$5,205.00
Positions
Atlanta Dream
CH6
CHACHA125655
Event PnL
+$581.40
Volume
$4,651.16
Positions
Atlanta Dream
HO7
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
-$3.81
Volume
$4,042.87
Positions
Atlanta DreamNew York LibertyOver
WE8
wenzai168
Event PnL
-$180.00
Volume
$4,000.00
Positions
New York Liberty

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty"?

As of the latest update, Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,850% win probability, followed by Spread -1.5 at 5,550% and Spread -2.5 at 5,250%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $146.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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