
What will be said during Episode 40 of Big Brother?
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “What will be said during Episode 40 of Big Brother?”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Veto 5+ times is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,400% chance of winning. Family follows in second place at 7,400%, while Jury sits in third with 7,400%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Veto 5+ times (7,400%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Veto 5+ times is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,400¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Family (7,400%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Family maintains a 7,400% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,400¢.
- Jury (7,400%): Sitting in third place with a 7,400% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Jury, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Final (7,400%), Surprise (2,600%), and Blind (2,600%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Date are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Veto 5+ times | 7400.0% | — | 7400¢ | -7300¢ |
| 2 | Family | 7400.0% | — | 7400¢ | -7300¢ |
| 3 | Jury | 7400.0% | — | 7400¢ | -7300¢ |
| 4 | Final | 7400.0% | — | 7400¢ | -7300¢ |
| 5 | Surprise | 2600.0% | — | 2600¢ | -2500¢ |
| 6 | Blind | 2600.0% | — | 2600¢ | -2500¢ |
| 7 | Date | 2600.0% | — | 2600¢ | -2500¢ |
| 8 | Coffee | 2600.0% | — | 2600¢ | -2500¢ |
| 9 | Flip the Vote / Flipped the Vote | 2600.0% | — | 2600¢ | -2500¢ |
| 10 | Pawn | 2600.0% | — | 2600¢ | -2500¢ |
| 11 | Blood | 2600.0% | — | 2600¢ | -2500¢ |
| 12 | -No Qualifying Event- | 2600.0% | — | 2600¢ | -2500¢ |
| 13 | Sleep | 2550.0% | — | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 14 | Joke | 750.0% | — | 750¢ | -650¢ |
Result Rules
Episode 40 of Big Brother Season 28 is scheduled to air on September 25, 2026 (https://www.cbs.com/schedule/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone says the listed term during the specified episode of Big Brother. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Terms audible in background music will not be considered toward the resolution of this market, neither will terms said within a "previously on" recap or "next time on" preview segment.
If this episode of Big Brother has not been released in its entirety by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has been released up to that point. If no episode has been released by this time, or if the release is otherwise definitively cancelled, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the initial release of the named episode of Big Brother (Big Brother: Unlocked episodes will qualify). Reruns, re-releases, or transcripts which differ from the initially released episode will not be considered.
For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "What will be said during Episode 40 of Big Brother?"?
As of the latest update, Veto 5+ times leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,400% win probability, followed by Family at 7,400% and Jury at 7,400%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached —, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
