What price will Zcash hit in 2026?

$304.1K Vol
Jan 1, 2027
Active
Probability Trend
↓ 200 96.5%
↓ 500 90.5%
↓ 300 87.2%
↓ 400 86.0%
↑ 600 75.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “What price will Zcash hit in 2026?”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, ↑ 700 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 36% chance of winning. ↑ 800 follows in second place at 31%, while ↓ 100 sits in third with 25%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $304.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • ↑ 700 (36%): Currently commanding the highest probability, ↑ 700 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 36¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $31.7K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • ↑ 800 (31%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, ↑ 800 maintains a 31% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 31¢.
  • ↓ 100 (25%): Sitting in third place with a 25% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward ↓ 100, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~8%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes ↑ 900 (22.5%), ↑ 1000 (19%), and ↑ 1100 (15%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like ↓ 50 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1↑ 70036.0%$31.7K36¢64¢
2↑ 80031.0%$16.7K31¢69¢
3↓ 10025.0%$24.1K25¢75¢
4↑ 90022.5%$10.3K23¢78¢
5↑ 100019.0%$41.0K19¢81¢
6↑ 110015.0%$67.3K15¢85¢
7↓ 508.5%$14.2K92¢

Result Rules

What price will Zcash hit before 2027?

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome ↑ 800 currently trades at 31%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 22.9%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -8.1%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies ↓ 50 as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 8.5% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 20.7% — yielding an impressive +12.2% EV Gap.
  • Under-the-Radar Dark Horses Other notable discrepancies include ↓ 100 (EV Gap: +6.9%) and ↑ 1000 (EV Gap: +0.8%). These long-tail opportunities are heavily discounted by the live order books despite stronger statistical backing from our predictive model.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
↑ 70036.0%34.0%-2.0%
↑ 80031.0%22.9%-8.1%
↓ 10025.0%31.9%+6.9%
↑ 90022.5%22.1%-0.4%
↑ 100019.0%19.8%+0.8%
↑ 110015.0%15.5%+0.5%
↓ 50Best EV8.5%20.7%+12.2%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jun 30, 2026

  • 06:44 AM
    AJAJSV
    $9.12

    Sold 57 Yes for Will Zcash reach $900 by December 31, 2026? at 0.16

  • 06:44 AM
    MOmozart888
    $58.09

    Sold 69.99 No for Will Zcash reach $900 by December 31, 2026? at 0.83

  • 03:30 AM
    6969dsfs
    $0.89

    Sold 8.08 Yes for Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? at 0.11

Jun 29, 2026

  • 11:39 AM
    2525oodksmsss09
    $1.24

    Sold 31 Yes for Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026? at 0.04

  • 08:58 AM
    BGBgq
    $7.00

    Bought 9.58904 No for Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026? at 0.73

Jun 28, 2026

  • 08:46 PM
    DIdixiedox
    $32.40

    Bought 40 No for Will Zcash reach $800 by December 31, 2026? at 0.81

  • 08:46 PM
    DIdixiedox
    $228.31

    Bought 317.1 No for Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026? at 0.72

Jun 27, 2026

  • 08:37 PM
    WOWOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO
    $5.40

    Bought 29.99 Yes for Will Zcash reach $800 by December 31, 2026? at 0.18

  • 05:52 PM
    STstarmine777
    $3.90

    Bought 5 No for Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026? at 0.78

  • 09:50 AM
    $1.50

    Sold 15 Yes for Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? at 0.1

  • 03:26 AM
    0X0x489A6942253203fD0c5e786c230419a02840FfF2-1782011056329
    $2.55

    Bought 15 Yes for Will Zcash reach $900 by December 31, 2026? at 0.17

Jun 26, 2026

  • 09:05 PM
    5151dgfd
    $4.83

    Sold 30.2 Yes for Will Zcash reach $900 by December 31, 2026? at 0.16

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "What price will Zcash hit in 2026?"?

As of the latest update, ↑ 700 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 36% win probability, followed by ↑ 800 at 31% and ↓ 100 at 25%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $304.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags ↓ 50 as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 8.5% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 20.7% — an Expected Value gap of +12.2%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around ↑ 800. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 31%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 22.9%, a negative EV Gap of -8.1% that signals the contract is overpriced.

Are there any high-value dark horse options hidden in the long-tail data?

Absolutely. Beyond the headline outcomes, our model highlights under-the-radar potential in lower-ranked options. ↓ 100 holds a positive EV Gap of +6.9%, and ↑ 1000 shows +0.8%. These contracts are discounted by live order books despite stronger quantitative backing.

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