What price will Uniswap hit in 2026?

$83.9K Vol
Jan 1, 2027
Active
Probability Trend
↑ 8.00 62.5%
↑ 9.50 51.0%
↓ 3.00 50.5%
↓ 2.00 47.0%
↓ 4.00 44.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “What price will Uniswap hit in 2026?”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, ↑ 11.00 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 15% chance of winning. ↑ 8.00 follows in second place at 14%, while ↑ 9.50 sits in third with 11.5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $83.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • ↑ 11.00 (15%): Currently commanding the highest probability, ↑ 11.00 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 15¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $2.5K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • ↑ 8.00 (14%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, ↑ 8.00 maintains a 14% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 14¢.
  • ↑ 9.50 (11.5%): Sitting in third place with a 11.5% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward ↑ 9.50, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~59.5%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes ↑ 12.50 (8.5%), ↑ 14.00 (8%), and ↑ 15.50 (6.5%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like ↑ 12.50 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1↑ 11.0015.0%$2.5K15¢85¢
2↑ 8.0014.0%$7.0K14¢86¢
3↑ 9.5011.5%$1.8K12¢89¢
4↑ 12.508.5%$1.8K92¢
5↑ 14.008.0%$2.8K92¢
6↑ 15.506.5%$11.0K94¢

Result Rules

What price will Uniswap hit before 2027?

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies ↑ 9.50 as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 11.5% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 42.8% — yielding an impressive +31.3% EV Gap.
  • Under-the-Radar Dark Horses Other notable discrepancies include ↑ 12.50 (EV Gap: +22.4%) and ↑ 8.00 (EV Gap: +20.5%). These long-tail opportunities are heavily discounted by the live order books despite stronger statistical backing from our predictive model.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
↑ 11.0015.0%35.2%+20.2%
↑ 8.0014.0%34.5%+20.5%
↑ 9.50Best EV11.5%42.8%+31.3%
↑ 12.508.5%30.9%+22.4%
↑ 14.008.0%28.2%+20.2%
↑ 15.506.5%13.7%+7.2%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 7, 2026

  • 06:38 PM
    LIliqrrush
    $2.02

    Sold 11.87 Yes for Will UNI reach $9.50 by December 31, 2026? at 0.17

  • 06:37 PM
    AJAJSV
    $4.63

    Bought 11.871793 No for Will UNI reach $9.50 by December 31, 2026? at 0.39

  • 06:01 PM
    LIliqrrush
    $1.76

    Sold 10.35 Yes for Will UNI reach $9.50 by December 31, 2026? at 0.17

  • 06:00 PM
    AJAJSV
    $4.35

    Bought 10.357141 No for Will UNI reach $9.50 by December 31, 2026? at 0.42

  • 06:00 PM
    LIliqrrush
    $6.67

    Sold 14.2 Yes for Will UNI reach $8.00 by December 31, 2026? at 0.47

  • 06:00 PM
    AJAJSV
    $2.90

    Bought 5.8 Yes for Will UNI reach $8.00 by December 31, 2026? at 0.5

  • 05:59 PM
    LEleo1213
    $12.80

    Sold 20 Yes for Will UNI reach $8.00 by December 31, 2026? at 0.64

  • 09:45 AM
    SMsmarterstrat-junior
    $16.80

    Sold 20 No for Will UNI reach $15.50 by December 31, 2026? at 0.84

  • 07:23 AM
    XIXiaojiucai886
    $34.26

    Sold 69.91 Yes for Will UNI reach $9.50 by December 31, 2026? at 0.49

Sep 6, 2026

  • 04:26 PM
    B4b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.
    $4.20

    Sold 41.99 Yes for Will UNI reach $15.50 by December 31, 2026? at 0.1

  • 02:34 AM
    0X0x8fd16443EF673362fF30DCF5eA9AA582a66DD3c0-1781451125827
    $2.00

    Bought 15.384614 Yes for Will UNI reach $15.50 by December 31, 2026? at 0.13

  • 12:13 AM
    AJAJSV
    $18.69

    Bought 21 No for Will UNI reach $15.50 by December 31, 2026? at 0.89

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

TE1
testknow
Event PnL
-$62.75
Volume
$1,369.33
Positions
Yes
SH2
Shirohige77
Event PnL
+$55.92
Volume
$1,191.00
Positions
No
LI3
lighteredgex
Event PnL
-$128.26
Volume
$1,059.26
Positions
Yes
WE4
west77
Event PnL
+$194.94
Volume
$1,047.85
Positions
NoNoNo+3
AR5
Arr12987
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$1,037.41
Positions
YesYesYes+1
BO6
botparadise
Event PnL
+$535.00
Volume
$1,000.00
Positions
No
MO7
monadtoken
Event PnL
-$535.00
Volume
$1,000.00
Positions
Yes
SO8
SongXiaoFeng
Event PnL
+$29.19
Volume
$972.92
Positions
No

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "What price will Uniswap hit in 2026?"?

As of the latest update, ↑ 11.00 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 15% win probability, followed by ↑ 8.00 at 14% and ↑ 9.50 at 11.5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $83.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags ↑ 9.50 as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 11.5% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 42.8% — an Expected Value gap of +31.3%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

Are there any high-value dark horse options hidden in the long-tail data?

Absolutely. Beyond the headline outcomes, our model highlights under-the-radar potential in lower-ranked options. ↑ 12.50 holds a positive EV Gap of +22.4%, and ↑ 8.00 shows +20.5%. These contracts are discounted by live order books despite stronger quantitative backing.

Get Started