What price will Ethereum hit on November 4?

$221.1K Vol
Nov 5, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
↑ 2,300 100.0%
↑ 2,350 64.0%
↑ 2,400 56.5%
↑ 2,450 10.8%
↓ 2,250 4.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “What price will Ethereum hit on November 4?”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, ↑ 2,450 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. ↑ 2,500 follows in second place at 880%, while ↑ 2,550 sits in third with 255%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $221.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • ↑ 2,450 (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, ↑ 2,450 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $65.7K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • ↑ 2,500 (880%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, ↑ 2,500 maintains a 880% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 880¢.
  • ↑ 2,550 (255%): Sitting in third place with a 255% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward ↑ 2,550, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes ↓ 2,250 (130%), ↑ 2,600 (85%), and ↓ 2,200 (55%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like ↓ 2,150 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1↑ 2,4509995.0%$65.7K9995¢-9895¢
2↑ 2,500880.0%$12.4K880¢-780¢
3↑ 2,550255.0%$6.5K255¢-155¢
4↓ 2,250130.0%$9.2K130¢-30¢
5↑ 2,60085.0%—85¢15¢
6↓ 2,20055.0%$4.9K55¢45¢
7↓ 2,15045.0%$4.3K45¢55¢
8↓ 2,05040.0%$1040¢60¢
9↓ 2,00040.0%—40¢60¢
10↓ 1,95040.0%$540¢60¢
11↓ 2,10030.0%$1.5K30¢70¢

Result Rules

What price will Ethereum hit on November 4?

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 4, 2026

  • 02:05 PM
    P4P4UL92
    $4.00

    Bought 4.044454 No for Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on November 4? at 0.99

  • 02:02 PM
    FRfred4332
    $854.74

    Bought 1643.73077 Yes for Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on November 4? at 0.52

  • 02:01 PM
    FRfred4332
    $1,595.30

    Bought 3010 Yes for Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on November 4? at 0.53

  • 01:59 PM
    VAvankst
    $1.01

    Bought 1.12 No for Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on November 4? at 0.9

  • 01:59 PM
    ANanon2233
    $9.80

    Bought 10.102458 No for Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on November 4? at 0.97

  • 01:56 PM
    ——
    $1.03

    Bought 1.131866 No for Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on November 4? at 0.91

  • 01:56 PM
    FRfred4332
    $588.14

    Bought 4201 Yes for Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on November 4? at 0.14

  • 01:56 PM
    ATatomicpixel
    $20.65

    Bought 22.94444 No for Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on November 4? at 0.9

  • 01:56 PM
    FRfred4332
    $326.95

    Bought 2515.01 Yes for Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on November 4? at 0.13

  • 01:55 PM
    0X0x12bdFf4677Da64c564Be112ae6b131DEa6Be81A8-1778994162267
    $5.01

    Bought 5.005 No for Will Ethereum dip to $1,950 on November 4? at 1

  • 01:55 PM
    FRfred4332
    $1,775.90

    Bought 3010 Yes for Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on November 4? at 0.59

  • 01:52 PM
    0X0x6915DaEB116F88027413D3CE74C99e7E98C89a47-1783087648678
    $1.00

    Bought 1.0989 No for Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on November 4? at 0.91

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

061
0x06dc…0452
Event PnL
+$449.45
Volume
$17,903.13
Positions
NoNoNo+5
192
196874353278
Event PnL
-$170.50
Volume
$5,831.56
Positions
YesYesYes+2
CL3
CleanCoinFlip
Event PnL
-$41.84
Volume
$2,965.43
Positions
NoYesYes+3
MY4
Mynamer1
Event PnL
+$12.81
Volume
$1,690.01
Positions
YesYes
FE5
fesovec
Event PnL
-$16.56
Volume
$1,305.96
Positions
Yes
906
9042sdfjlsdf0
Event PnL
+$47.69
Volume
$1,192.17
Positions
Yes
PA7
parfenenokbb
Event PnL
-$11.02
Volume
$1,185.08
Positions
Yes
AD8
0xad45…7f4c
Event PnL
-$390.04
Volume
$1,131.47
Positions
YesYes

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "What price will Ethereum hit on November 4?"?

As of the latest update, ↑ 2,450 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by ↑ 2,500 at 880% and ↑ 2,550 at 255%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $221.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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