
What price will Ethereum hit on November 4?
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “What price will Ethereum hit on November 4?”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, ↑ 2,450 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. ↑ 2,500 follows in second place at 880%, while ↑ 2,550 sits in third with 255%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $221.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- ↑ 2,450 (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, ↑ 2,450 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $65.7K in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- ↑ 2,500 (880%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, ↑ 2,500 maintains a 880% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 880¢.
- ↑ 2,550 (255%): Sitting in third place with a 255% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward ↑ 2,550, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes ↓ 2,250 (130%), ↑ 2,600 (85%), and ↓ 2,200 (55%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like ↓ 2,150 are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ↑ 2,450 | 9995.0% | $65.7K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | ↑ 2,500 | 880.0% | $12.4K | 880¢ | -780¢ |
| 3 | ↑ 2,550 | 255.0% | $6.5K | 255¢ | -155¢ |
| 4 | ↓ 2,250 | 130.0% | $9.2K | 130¢ | -30¢ |
| 5 | ↑ 2,600 | 85.0% | — | 85¢ | 15¢ |
| 6 | ↓ 2,200 | 55.0% | $4.9K | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 7 | ↓ 2,150 | 45.0% | $4.3K | 45¢ | 55¢ |
| 8 | ↓ 2,050 | 40.0% | $10 | 40¢ | 60¢ |
| 9 | ↓ 2,000 | 40.0% | — | 40¢ | 60¢ |
| 10 | ↓ 1,950 | 40.0% | $5 | 40¢ | 60¢ |
| 11 | ↓ 2,100 | 30.0% | $1.5K | 30¢ | 70¢ |
Result Rules
What price will Ethereum hit on November 4?
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Nov 4, 2026
- 02:05 PMP4P4UL92$4.00
Bought 4.044454 No for Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on November 4? at 0.99
- 02:02 PMFRfred4332$854.74
Bought 1643.73077 Yes for Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on November 4? at 0.52
- 02:01 PMFRfred4332$1,595.30
Bought 3010 Yes for Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on November 4? at 0.53
- 01:59 PMVAvankst$1.01
Bought 1.12 No for Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on November 4? at 0.9
- 01:59 PMANanon2233$9.80
Bought 10.102458 No for Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on November 4? at 0.97
- 01:56 PM——$1.03
Bought 1.131866 No for Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on November 4? at 0.91
- 01:56 PMFRfred4332$588.14
Bought 4201 Yes for Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on November 4? at 0.14
- 01:56 PMATatomicpixel$20.65
Bought 22.94444 No for Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on November 4? at 0.9
- 01:56 PMFRfred4332$326.95
Bought 2515.01 Yes for Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on November 4? at 0.13
- 01:55 PM0X0x12bdFf4677Da64c564Be112ae6b131DEa6Be81A8-1778994162267$5.01
Bought 5.005 No for Will Ethereum dip to $1,950 on November 4? at 1
- 01:55 PMFRfred4332$1,775.90
Bought 3010 Yes for Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on November 4? at 0.59
- 01:52 PM0X0x6915DaEB116F88027413D3CE74C99e7E98C89a47-1783087648678$1.00
Bought 1.0989 No for Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on November 4? at 0.91
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "What price will Ethereum hit on November 4?"?
As of the latest update, ↑ 2,450 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by ↑ 2,500 at 880% and ↑ 2,550 at 255%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $221.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
