Slovenia vs. Poland

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Oct 2, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Poland 78.0%
Slovenia 22.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Slovenia vs. Poland”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Poland is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,850% chance of winning. Slovenia follows in second place at 2,150%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Poland (7,850%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Poland is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,850¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Slovenia (2,150%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Slovenia maintains a 2,150% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 2,150¢.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Poland7850.0%—7850¢-7750¢
2Slovenia2150.0%—2150¢-2050¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the volleyball match between Slovenia and Poland in the European Championship, originally scheduled for September 25 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Slovenia" if Slovenia wins the match. It will resolve to "Poland" if Poland wins the match. If a team withdraws, forfeits, is defaulted, or is disqualified after the match begins, this market will resolve in favor of the team officially credited with the win. If the match begins but is not completed and no winner is officially declared, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin for any reason — including cancellation, pre-match withdrawal, walkover, or forfeit before play begins — or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official CEV results.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Slovenia vs. Poland"?

As of the latest update, Poland leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,850% win probability, followed by Slovenia at 2,150%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached —, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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