
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Map 2 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,550% chance of winning. Match Winner follows in second place at 5,000%, while Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $422.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Map 2 Winner (5,550%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Map 2 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,550¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $9.0K in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Match Winner (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Match Winner maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 (5,000%), Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (5,000%), and Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5) (5,000%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5) are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Map 2 Winner | 5550.0% | $9.0K | 5550¢ | -5450¢ |
| 2 | Match Winner | 5000.0% | $278.3K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 3 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 4 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 5000.0% | $39 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 5000.0% | $8 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5) | 5000.0% | $44 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 5000.0% | $8 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-3.5) vs Team Vitality (+3.5) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-4.5) vs Team Vitality (+4.5) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | O/U 2.5 Games | 4750.0% | $2.1K | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 21 | Map 1 Winner | 4600.0% | $105.4K | 4600¢ | -4500¢ |
| 22 | Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5) | 2550.0% | — | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 23 | Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+1.5) | 2500.0% | $27.3K | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the Valorant Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 2 match between Team Vitality and Nongshim RedForce in the VCT Champions Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win the match against Nongshim RedForce.
This market will resolve to "Nongshim RedForce" if Nongshim RedForce win the match against Team Vitality.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 22, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 8, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Oct 8, 2026
- 12:18 AMVIvinni.stoppa$30.00
Bought 63.829788 Nongshim RedForce for Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs at 0.47
- 12:14 AMTWtwinblades$7.05
Bought 15 Nongshim RedForce for Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs at 0.47
- 12:13 AMSEsenbonzakura108$10.00
Bought 21.276596 Nongshim RedForce for Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs at 0.47
- 12:00 AMLILivEV$131.94
Bought 244.333334 Team Vitality for Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs at 0.54
Oct 7, 2026
- 11:32 PMSWSwagger48$3.92
Bought 8.340426 Nongshim RedForce for Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs at 0.47
- 11:32 PMHUhumbwrld$78.30
Sold 170.21 Nongshim RedForce for Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs at 0.46
- 11:31 PMHUhumbwrld$80.00
Bought 170.212766 Nongshim RedForce for Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs at 0.47
- 11:22 PMCOCollapse0930$2.50
Bought 5 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.5
- 11:02 PM0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396$4.76
Bought 8.814815 Team Vitality for Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs at 0.54
- 10:54 PM0X0x0CAa55E2D885216592c6C4888D6Ee78B7E1Cc16c-1775267814358$200.00
Bought 425.531915 Nongshim RedForce for Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs at 0.47
- 10:52 PM0X0xE9B4749b2C760189a0caCD26CAa3d88864Dad0F8-1769017136895$1.00
Bought 1.851852 Team Vitality for Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs at 0.54
- 10:45 PMPEPedroL87$55.00
Bought 117.021277 Nongshim RedForce for Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs at 0.47
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs"?
As of the latest update, Map 2 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,550% win probability, followed by Match Winner at 5,000% and Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $422.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
