Valorant: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs

$211.9K Vol
Oct 11, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
G2 Esports 63.5%
T1 36.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Valorant: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Match Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,850% chance of winning. Map 1 Winner follows in second place at 6,550%, while Map 2 Winner sits in third with 6,300%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $211.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Match Winner (6,850%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Match Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,850¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $197.6K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Map 1 Winner (6,550%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Map 1 Winner maintains a 6,550% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,550¢.
  • Map 2 Winner (6,300%): Sitting in third place with a 6,300% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Map 2 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 (5,000%), Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 (5,000%), and Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Match Winner6850.0%$197.6K6850¢-6750¢
2Map 1 Winner6550.0%$5.8K6550¢-6450¢
3Map 2 Winner6300.0%$1.7K6300¢-6200¢
4Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.55000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
5Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5)4950.0%$214950¢-4850¢
15Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5)4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
16Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5)4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
17Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)4600.0%$5.0K4600¢-4500¢
18O/U 2.5 Games4550.0%$1.8K4550¢-4450¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Valorant Lower Bracket Quarterfinal 2 match between G2 Esports and T1 in the VCT Champions Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "G2 Esports" if G2 Esports win the match against T1.

This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win the match against G2 Esports.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 25, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 11, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 11, 2026

  • 02:06 AM
    JOJokicRobbed
    $99.15

    Bought 225.333334 T1 for Valorant: G2 Esports vs T1 - Map 1 Winner at 0.44

  • 02:03 AM
    0X0x8cb9c
    $2.00

    Bought 5.128206 T1 for Valorant: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs at 0.39

  • 01:22 AM
    SAsamaraujo10
    $21.00

    Bought 53.846154 T1 for Valorant: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs at 0.39

  • 01:15 AM
    SUsuntori
    $17.27

    Bought 33.870785 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.51

  • 01:02 AM
    MImirabu
    $1.00

    Bought 2.564103 T1 for Valorant: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs at 0.39

  • 01:02 AM
    CAcaspar1248
    $28.85

    Bought 46.532257 G2 Esports for Valorant: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs at 0.62

  • 12:22 AM
    SASaaim
    $12.79

    Bought 20.629031 G2 Esports for Valorant: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs at 0.62

  • 12:20 AM
    ANAnisProno
    $173.60

    Bought 280 G2 Esports for Valorant: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs at 0.62

  • 12:18 AM
    GPgpimente407
    $14.45

    Bought 37.04 T1 for Valorant: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs at 0.39

  • 12:12 AM
    ——
    $20.00

    Bought 51.282052 T1 for Valorant: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs at 0.39

  • 12:11 AM
    GPgpimente407
    $14.01

    Bought 35.93 T1 for Valorant: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs at 0.39

  • 12:10 AM
    GNgnosh27
    $10.00

    Bought 25.64 T1 for Valorant: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs at 0.39

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

MB1
mbmbbbmbv
Event PnL
-$63.70
Volume
$12,742.10
Positions
G2 Esports
ES2
esportsbetter1
Event PnL
+$52.13
Volume
$10,425.99
Positions
T1
FO3
forget4
Event PnL
+$25.00
Volume
$4,999.82
Positions
G2 Esports
MU4
musndk
Event PnL
+$63.81
Volume
$4,000.23
Positions
G2 Esports
GR5
gregbeast
Event PnL
-$32.50
Volume
$3,499.69
Positions
T1
SI6
SimpleTony
Event PnL
+$12.25
Volume
$2,449.91
Positions
T1
ST7
StudyPrediction
Event PnL
+$10.00
Volume
$1,999.92
Positions
T1
MA8
MathPsycho
Event PnL
-$8.06
Volume
$1,612.90
Positions
G2 Esports

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Valorant: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Match Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,850% win probability, followed by Map 1 Winner at 6,550% and Map 2 Winner at 6,300%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $211.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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