Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München - More Markets

$151.6K Vol
Nov 11, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Over 66.5%
Under 33.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 48% chance of winning. Both Teams to Score in First Half follows in second place at 0.1%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $151.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (48%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 48¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $9.9K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Both Teams to Score in First Half (0.1%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams to Score in First Half maintains a 0.1% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 0¢.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score48.0%$9.9K48¢52¢
2Both Teams to Score in First Half0.1%$1260¢100¢

Result Rules

More markets for the UEFA Women's Champions League game, scheduled for November 10 at 3:00 PM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Both Teams to Score in First Half as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 0.1% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 20.2% — yielding an impressive +20.1% EV Gap.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to Score48.0%64.5%+16.5%
Both Teams to Score in First HalfBest EV0.1%20.2%+20.1%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 10, 2026

  • 10:12 AM
    SESezarN1
    $10.00

    Bought 13.157895 Over for Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: 1st Half O/U 0.5 at 0.76

  • 10:03 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $9.51

    Bought 10.571422 Under for Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 5.5 at 0.9

  • 09:33 AM
    RErev28
    $50.00

    Bought 59.523806 Over for Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5 at 0.84

  • 09:24 AM
    DRDrexxor
    $100.00

    Bought 119.047618 Over for Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5 at 0.84

  • 09:15 AM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 1.612902 Yes for Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score at 0.62

  • 08:36 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $9.52

    Bought 10.57777 Under for Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 5.5 at 0.9

  • 08:36 AM
    PRprimoS
    $1.00

    Bought 9.09091 Over for Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 5.5 at 0.11

  • 08:00 AM
    LILightParadox
    $1.80

    Bought 5 Over for Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 1.5 at 0.36

  • 07:52 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $20.95

    Bought 23.27777 Under for Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 5.5 at 0.9

  • 07:52 AM
    PRprimoS
    $1.00

    Bought 9.09091 Over for Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 5.5 at 0.11

  • 07:00 AM
    ——
    $10.00

    Bought 14.285713 Paris Saint-Germain FC for Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5) at 0.7

  • 06:09 AM
    0X0xd940CC9327d23498E57D74ea13136B46938EE682-1773624076772
    $10.05

    Bought 13.767122 Over for Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 0.5 at 0.73

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FL1
Flaznorp
Event PnL
-$3.71
Volume
$2,583.92
Positions
OverUnderNo+4
GO2
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
+$2.59
Volume
$765.47
Positions
OverOverFC Bayern München+1
SU3
sumsum84
Event PnL
+$4.85
Volume
$485.00
Positions
Yes
9E4
0x9e3e…9396
Event PnL
-$3.64
Volume
$472.66
Positions
UnderOverYes
SE5
sentrio
Event PnL
-$0.92
Volume
$462.02
Positions
UnderOverNo+3
4A6
0x4Acb…3182
Event PnL
+$6.66
Volume
$440.58
Positions
Over
SU7
suntori
Event PnL
-$2.20
Volume
$418.08
Positions
YesOverOver+2
LI8
Limousin
Event PnL
-$0.34
Volume
$381.35
Positions
UnderOverUnder

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 48% win probability, followed by Both Teams to Score in First Half at 0.1%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $151.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags Both Teams to Score in First Half as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 0.1% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 20.2% — an Expected Value gap of +20.1%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

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