Oud-Heverlee Leuven Women vs. HB Køge

$103.4K Vol
Nov 11, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
No 100.0%
Yes 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Oud-Heverlee Leuven Women vs. HB Køge”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, HB Køge is dominating the market with an overwhelming 58.5% chance of winning. Oud-Heverlee Leuven Women follows in second place at 18.5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $103.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • HB Køge (58.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, HB Køge is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 59¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $51.6K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Oud-Heverlee Leuven Women (18.5%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Oud-Heverlee Leuven Women maintains a 18.5% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 19¢.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1HB Køge58.5%$51.6K59¢42¢
2Oud-Heverlee Leuven Women18.5%$40.2K19¢82¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming UEFA Women's Champions League game between Oud-Heverlee Leuven Women and HB Køge, originally scheduled for Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Oud-Heverlee Leuven Women as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 18.5% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 20% — yielding an impressive +1.5% EV Gap.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
HB Køge58.5%59.9%+1.4%
Oud-Heverlee Leuven WomenBest EV18.5%20.0%+1.5%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 11, 2026

  • 10:02 AM
    THtherealbadtrader
    $6.99

    Bought 8.53 No for Will Oud-Heverlee Leuven Women win on 2026-11-11? at 0.82

  • 09:56 AM
    DJdjoshi15
    $77.00

    Bought 98.717945 No for Will Oud-Heverlee Leuven Women vs. HB Køge end in a draw? at 0.78

  • 09:35 AM
    ——
    $2.05

    Bought 10.25 Yes for Will Oud-Heverlee Leuven Women win on 2026-11-11? at 0.2

  • 09:34 AM
    TOTotex
    $2.00

    Bought 3.389831 Yes for Will HB Køge win on 2026-11-11? at 0.59

  • 09:33 AM
    TOTotex
    $2.00

    Bought 3.389831 Yes for Will HB Køge win on 2026-11-11? at 0.59

  • 05:18 AM
    EMemmaApro
    $2.00

    Bought 3.333332 Yes for Will HB Køge win on 2026-11-11? at 0.6

  • 04:32 AM
    USUsername2626
    $4.00

    Bought 5.128204 No for Will Oud-Heverlee Leuven Women vs. HB Køge end in a draw? at 0.78

  • 04:24 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $17.30

    Bought 21.358021 No for Will Oud-Heverlee Leuven Women win on 2026-11-11? at 0.81

  • 02:07 AM
    SUsuntori
    $1.04

    Bought 1.733332 Yes for Will HB Køge win on 2026-11-11? at 0.6

Nov 10, 2026

  • 10:08 PM
    PApaulosf1
    $2.00

    Bought 2.469136 No for Will Oud-Heverlee Leuven Women win on 2026-11-11? at 0.81

  • 09:57 PM
    0X0x5A4940178AF3bfcA51B8C565D8FB98F0febe8786-1770334846770
    $10.20

    Bought 17 Yes for Will HB Køge win on 2026-11-11? at 0.6

  • 07:43 PM
    KIKiryos
    $8.10

    Bought 10 No for Will Oud-Heverlee Leuven Women win on 2026-11-11? at 0.81

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FL1
Flaznorp
Event PnL
+$27.90
Volume
$6,829.13
Positions
NoYesYes
PL2
PLY-S0
Event PnL
-$24.95
Volume
$2,807.62
Positions
NoNoYes
GO3
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
+$48.86
Volume
$2,679.45
Positions
NoYesYes
BR4
brn07
Event PnL
-$72.26
Volume
$2,284.38
Positions
Yes
RW5
rw0ajdugzw
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$1,845.00
Positions
NoNoNo
0E6
0x0eBB…3663
Event PnL
+$21.15
Volume
$1,757.12
Positions
Yes
CH7
chux.cc
Event PnL
+$3.28
Volume
$1,196.15
Positions
No
LI8
Limousin
Event PnL
-$0.06
Volume
$1,145.10
Positions
YesNo

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Oud-Heverlee Leuven Women vs. HB Køge"?

As of the latest update, HB Køge leads the field as the frontrunner with a 58.5% win probability, followed by Oud-Heverlee Leuven Women at 18.5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $103.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags Oud-Heverlee Leuven Women as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 18.5% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 20% — an Expected Value gap of +1.5%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

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