Türkiye vs. Belgium - More Markets

$89.2K Vol
Nov 12, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Belgium 96.8%
Türkiye 3.3%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Türkiye vs. Belgium - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 64.5% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $89.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (64.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 65¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $786 in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score64.5%$78665¢36¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Türkiye and Belgium, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Both Teams to Score as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 64.5% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 65.1% — yielding an impressive +0.6% EV Gap.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to ScoreBest EV64.5%65.1%+0.6%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 11, 2026

  • 10:04 PM
    PEPepio8832
    $2.00

    Bought 2.325578 Over for Türkiye vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5 at 0.86

  • 09:58 PM
    VEVenusian
    $14.40

    Bought 40 No for Türkiye vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score at 0.36

  • 09:54 PM
    MAMadridTime
    $27.75

    Bought 77.083334 No for Türkiye vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score at 0.36

  • 09:47 PM
    LILightParadox
    $1.20

    Bought 30 Under for Türkiye vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5 at 0.04

  • 09:42 PM
    NENezlife17
    $893.69

    Bought 921.325029 Over for Türkiye vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5 at 0.97

  • 09:39 PM
    ICIce392
    $10.00

    Bought 15.384614 Yes for Türkiye vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score at 0.65

  • 09:23 PM
    VEVenusian
    $5.01

    Bought 33.4 Under for Türkiye vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5 at 0.15

  • 09:12 PM
    -D-Daniel-
    $12.97

    Bought 15.081392 Over for Türkiye vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5 at 0.86

  • 08:46 PM
    LILightParadox
    $2.36

    Bought 58.888889 Under for Türkiye vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5 at 0.04

  • 08:33 PM
    ——
    $7.00

    Bought 10.769231 Yes for Türkiye vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score at 0.65

  • 08:01 PM
    SAsanlitouP2
    $19.40

    Bought 20 Belgium for Spread: Türkiye (-2.5) at 0.97

  • 07:37 PM
    DEdenita
    $1.67

    Bought 83.33 Over for Türkiye vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5 at 0.02

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FL1
Flaznorp
Event PnL
+$53.87
Volume
$18,654.07
Positions
UnderTürkiyeUnder+9
0F2
0F62
Event PnL
-$44.59
Volume
$13,194.44
Positions
BelgiumOver
NI3
nigiri99
Event PnL
+$15.06
Volume
$5,819.31
Positions
OverOverUnder+1
I44
i400
Event PnL
+$5.65
Volume
$4,850.56
Positions
Over
995
0x99F0…6382
Event PnL
+$7.53
Volume
$4,484.77
Positions
TürkiyeUnderYes+1
EC6
0xEc9f…7827
Event PnL
-$1.26
Volume
$2,349.22
Positions
Over
SE7
sentrio
Event PnL
+$2.66
Volume
$1,800.45
Positions
UnderTürkiyeUnder+6
LI8
LightParadox
Event PnL
-$8.02
Volume
$1,682.36
Positions
UnderOverUnder

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Türkiye vs. Belgium - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 64.5% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $89.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags Both Teams to Score as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 64.5% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 65.1% — an Expected Value gap of +0.6%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

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