Sweden vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina - More Markets

$206.7K Vol
Nov 15, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Over 57.5%
Under 42.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Sweden vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 50.5% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $206.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (50.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 51¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $2.2K in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score50.5%$2.2K51¢50¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Sweden and Bosnia and Herzegovina, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Both Teams to Score as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 50.5% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 52.4% — yielding an impressive +1.9% EV Gap.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to ScoreBest EV50.5%52.4%+1.9%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 14, 2026

  • 10:14 AM
    ZOZolotov70
    $1.11

    Bought 27.777778 Bosnia and Herzegovina for Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) at 0.04

  • 10:07 AM
    DIDimitri04
    $30.00

    Bought 37.5 Over for Sweden vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 at 0.8

  • 09:29 AM
    MYMY225
    $1.00

    Bought 1.008 Under for Sweden vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 7.5 at 0.99

  • 09:29 AM
    MYMY225
    $1.01

    Bought 1.016 Sweden for Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5) at 0.99

  • 09:28 AM
    PRprogenerationcode
    $37.52

    Sold 67 Over for Sweden vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 at 0.56

  • 09:27 AM
    PRprogenerationcode
    $24.08

    Sold 43 Over for Sweden vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 at 0.56

  • 09:26 AM
    PRprogenerationcode
    $57.00

    Bought 100 Over for Sweden vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 at 0.57

  • 09:24 AM
    PRprogenerationcode
    $142.50

    Bought 250 Over for Sweden vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 at 0.57

  • 09:10 AM
    SHshaoxinglaoyu
    $1.30

    Bought 1.342968 Sweden for Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) at 0.97

  • 09:09 AM
    VIviper0310
    $1,537.23

    Bought 2745.05 Over for Sweden vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 at 0.56

  • 09:04 AM
    0X0xaa9741dE9f0c041B6C933f6857863f3E4181946f-1778593914948
    $5.00

    Bought 5.154633 Sweden for Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) at 0.97

  • 09:03 AM
    0X0xaa9741dE9f0c041B6C933f6857863f3E4181946f-1778593914948
    $3.00

    Bought 3.33333 Over for Sweden vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Sweden O/U 0.5 at 0.9

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

IP1
iPrediction
Event PnL
-$71.91
Volume
$13,428.93
Positions
Sweden
VI2
viper0310
Event PnL
+$14.28
Volume
$8,809.19
Positions
Over
FL3
Flaznorp
Event PnL
+$25.97
Volume
$8,763.67
Positions
UnderUnderOver+8
994
0x99F0…6382
Event PnL
+$6.60
Volume
$8,704.78
Positions
Bosnia and Herzegovina
GO5
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
+$63.45
Volume
$8,177.62
Positions
UnderUnderUnder+6
ZZ6
Zzzz87
Event PnL
-$50.04
Volume
$5,600.00
Positions
Over
LI7
LightParadox
Event PnL
-$14.56
Volume
$3,722.29
Positions
UnderOverBosnia and Herzegovina
EC8
0xEc9f…7827
Event PnL
-$15.54
Volume
$3,108.77
Positions
Over

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Sweden vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 50.5% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $206.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags Both Teams to Score as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 50.5% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 52.4% — an Expected Value gap of +1.9%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

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