
Slovenia vs. Switzerland - Exact Score
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Slovenia vs. Switzerland - Exact Score”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Slovenia 0 - 1 Switzerland is dominating the market with an overwhelming 17% chance of winning. Slovenia 0 - 2 Switzerland follows in second place at 12%, while Slovenia 0 - 0 Switzerland sits in third with 11.5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $99.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Slovenia 0 - 1 Switzerland (17%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Slovenia 0 - 1 Switzerland is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 17¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $1.9K in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Slovenia 0 - 2 Switzerland (12%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Slovenia 0 - 2 Switzerland maintains a 12% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 12¢.
- Slovenia 0 - 0 Switzerland (11.5%): Sitting in third place with a 11.5% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Slovenia 0 - 0 Switzerland, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~59.5%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Slovenia 1 - 2 Switzerland (9.5%), Slovenia 1 - 0 Switzerland (6.5%), and Slovenia 0 - 3 Switzerland (6%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Slovenia 5 - 5 Switzerland are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slovenia 0 - 1 Switzerland | 17.0% | $1.9K | 17¢ | 83¢ |
| 2 | Slovenia 0 - 2 Switzerland | 12.0% | $1.4K | 12¢ | 88¢ |
| 3 | Slovenia 0 - 0 Switzerland | 11.5% | $5.4K | 12¢ | 89¢ |
| 4 | Slovenia 1 - 2 Switzerland | 9.5% | $5.8K | 10¢ | 91¢ |
| 5 | Slovenia 1 - 0 Switzerland | 6.5% | $17.0K | 7¢ | 94¢ |
| 6 | Slovenia 0 - 3 Switzerland | 6.0% | $3.8K | 6¢ | 94¢ |
| 7 | Slovenia 5 - 5 Switzerland | 0.4% | $198 | 0¢ | 100¢ |
Result Rules
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Slovenia and Switzerland, originally scheduled for Friday, November 13, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve based on the final score of the Slovenia vs. Switzerland match, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the match is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve to "0-0". The following abandonment rules apply only when this market's outcome was not already definitively determined under its rules before abandonment. If the match is abandoned, this market will resolve according to the official ruling of the governing body or event organizers on the abandoned match. If a result is awarded by Sunday, November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that determines this market's outcome, this market will resolve based on the awarded result, regardless of the score as played. If no such result is awarded and the result as played at the time of abandonment is declared to stand by Sunday, November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the match as played. If the match is replayed or resumed from the point of abandonment and has an official result by Sunday, November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the completed result. In any other case, this market will resolve to "0-0". Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor names, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences in a team's or player's name will not affect resolution, provided the intended team or player can be clearly and uniquely identified as a participant in the listed fixture or competition. If a listed name has no reasonable connection to any participant, or could reasonably refer to more than one participant such that the intended team or player cannot be determined, this market will resolve as it would if the listed fixture had been canceled entirely; a listed participant who cannot be identified does not count as inactive or absent. The primary resolution source for this market will be official match information from UEFA Nations League (https://www.uefa.com/uefanationsleague/). If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve to "0-0".
AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps
While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.
Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.
Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities
Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:
- The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Slovenia 0 - 3 Switzerland as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 6% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 20.6% — yielding an impressive +14.6% EV Gap.
- Under-the-Radar Dark Horses Other notable discrepancies include Slovenia 1 - 0 Switzerland (EV Gap: +6.9%) and Slovenia 5 - 5 Switzerland (EV Gap: +6.8%). These long-tail opportunities are heavily discounted by the live order books despite stronger statistical backing from our predictive model.
| Market | Trade Value | Fair Value | EV Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Slovenia 0 - 1 Switzerland | 17.0% | 18.1% | +1.1% |
| Slovenia 0 - 2 Switzerland | 12.0% | 15.9% | +3.9% |
| Slovenia 0 - 0 Switzerland | 11.5% | 14.2% | +2.7% |
| Slovenia 1 - 2 Switzerland | 9.5% | 13.9% | +4.4% |
| Slovenia 1 - 0 Switzerland | 6.5% | 13.4% | +6.9% |
| Slovenia 0 - 3 SwitzerlandBest EV | 6.0% | 20.6% | +14.6% |
| Slovenia 5 - 5 Switzerland | 0.4% | 7.1% | +6.8% |
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Nov 13, 2026
- 10:15 AMVEVenusian$160.20
Bought 163.465437 No for Exact Score: Slovenia 2 - 3 Switzerland? at 0.98
- 10:15 AMSESecondChanceAtLife$5.49
Bought 109.782609 Yes for Exact Score: Slovenia 1 - 3 Switzerland? at 0.05
- 10:03 AMWIWilliampower123$10.00
Bought 76.923077 Yes for Exact Score: Slovenia 0 - 2 Switzerland? at 0.13
- 09:32 AMALalgo168$98.00
Bought 100 No for Exact Score: Slovenia 2 - 3 Switzerland? at 0.98
- 09:24 AM0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396$19.04
Bought 146.461539 Yes for Exact Score: Slovenia 0 - 2 Switzerland? at 0.13
- 08:56 AMMAMadridTime$243.07
Bought 261.365585 No for Exact Score: Slovenia 1 - 0 Switzerland? at 0.93
- 08:55 AMVEVenusian$28.00
Bought 27.997 No for Exact Score: Slovenia 4 - 0 Switzerland? at 1
- 08:55 AMLILimousin$28.00
Bought 27.997 No for Exact Score: Slovenia 4 - 4 Switzerland? at 1
- 08:55 AMVEVenusian$28.00
Bought 27.997 No for Exact Score: Slovenia 5 - 2 Switzerland? at 1
- 08:55 AMLILightParadox$28.00
Bought 27.997 No for Exact Score: Slovenia 5 - 1 Switzerland? at 1
- 08:55 AMMAMadridTime$28.00
Bought 27.997 No for Exact Score: Slovenia 5 - 0 Switzerland? at 1
- 06:16 AMGOgoopycougar4877$1.00
Bought 10 Yes for Exact Score: Slovenia 1 - 2 Switzerland? at 0.1
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Slovenia vs. Switzerland - Exact Score"?
As of the latest update, Slovenia 0 - 1 Switzerland leads the field as the frontrunner with a 17% win probability, followed by Slovenia 0 - 2 Switzerland at 12% and Slovenia 0 - 0 Switzerland at 11.5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $99.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?
The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.
Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?
Our latest run flags Slovenia 0 - 3 Switzerland as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 6% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 20.6% — an Expected Value gap of +14.6%, making it the premium value play in this pool.
Are there any high-value dark horse options hidden in the long-tail data?
Absolutely. Beyond the headline outcomes, our model highlights under-the-radar potential in lower-ranked options. Slovenia 1 - 0 Switzerland holds a positive EV Gap of +6.9%, and Slovenia 5 - 5 Switzerland shows +6.8%. These contracts are discounted by live order books despite stronger quantitative backing.
