Scotland vs. North Macedonia - More Markets

$210.1K Vol
Nov 14, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
North Macedonia 78.0%
Scotland 22.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Scotland vs. North Macedonia - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 38.5% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $210.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (38.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 39¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $11.5K in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score38.5%$11.5K39¢62¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Scotland and North Macedonia, originally scheduled for Friday, November 13, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome Both Teams to Score currently trades at 38.5%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 33.6%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -4.9%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to Score38.5%33.6%-4.9%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 13, 2026

  • 10:03 AM
    DEDenariusX
    $1.80

    Bought 2.903226 Over for Scotland vs. North Macedonia: O/U 2.5 at 0.62

  • 10:03 AM
    NEneuralnetwork
    $7.91

    Bought 9.8875 Under for Scotland vs. North Macedonia: O/U 4.5 at 0.8

  • 09:58 AM
    AOAO08
    $11.00

    Bought 26.829269 Over for Scotland vs. North Macedonia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 at 0.41

  • 09:47 AM
    JAJanKira
    $100.00

    Bought 123.456789 North Macedonia for Spread: Scotland (-3.5) at 0.81

  • 09:41 AM
    E4e46m3
    $9.88

    Bought 10.29 Over for Scotland vs. North Macedonia: O/U 0.5 at 0.96

  • 09:34 AM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 1.639343 Scotland for Spread: Scotland (-1.5) at 0.61

  • 09:26 AM
    VEVenusian
    $2.05

    Bought 5 Over for Scotland vs. North Macedonia: North Macedonia O/U 0.5 at 0.41

  • 09:14 AM
    CLClawbotazleeruiz9
    $21.90

    Bought 30 Over for Scotland vs. North Macedonia: Scotland O/U 1.5 at 0.73

  • 09:12 AM
    KVKvasir
    $79.90

    Bought 85 Over for Scotland vs. North Macedonia: Scotland O/U 0.5 at 0.94

  • 08:45 AM
    1N1No9bra
    $19.65

    Bought 26.56 Over for Scotland vs. North Macedonia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 at 0.74

  • 08:33 AM
    KEkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
    $270.28

    Bought 429.015872 North Macedonia for Spread: Scotland (-2.5) at 0.63

  • 08:32 AM
    KEkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
    $1,180.49

    Bought 1873.793651 North Macedonia for Spread: Scotland (-2.5) at 0.63

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FL1
Flaznorp
Event PnL
-$1,049.66
Volume
$65,204.62
Positions
North MacedoniaUnderYes+15
KE2
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Event PnL
+$278.08
Volume
$35,385.87
Positions
ScotlandNorth MacedoniaOver
RN3
RN1
Event PnL
+$26.20
Volume
$14,657.34
Positions
OverUnderUnder+7
MU4
Multicoloured-Serf
Event PnL
+$67.12
Volume
$13,869.62
Positions
North MacedoniaNorth Macedonia
ZZ5
Zzzz87
Event PnL
-$106.32
Volume
$12,500.00
Positions
Under
GO6
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
-$336.15
Volume
$10,714.85
Positions
UnderNorth MacedoniaOver+7
DA7
dashattacker
Event PnL
+$1,237.94
Volume
$9,296.52
Positions
UnderUnder
E08
0xe020…f39b
Event PnL
+$1,481.64
Volume
$7,492.73
Positions
OverOver

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Scotland vs. North Macedonia - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 38.5% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $210.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Both Teams to Score. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 38.5%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 33.6%, a negative EV Gap of -4.9% that signals the contract is overpriced.

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