Republic of Ireland vs. Israel - More Markets

$97.6K Vol
Oct 4, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Under 52.5%
Over 47.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Republic of Ireland vs. Israel - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 51% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $97.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (51%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 51¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $3.2K in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score51.0%$3.2K51¢49¢

Result Rules

More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for October 4 at 2:45 PM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to Score51.0%51.0%0.0%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 4, 2026

  • 09:25 AM
    KOKOK
    $5.00

    Bought 10.869566 Over for Republic of Ireland vs. Israel: Republic of Ireland O/U 1.5 at 0.46

  • 08:59 AM
    TOTonygr888
    $0.74

    Sold 1.04 Under for Republic of Ireland vs. Israel: O/U 3.5 at 0.71

  • 08:59 AM
    TOTonygr888
    $1.47

    Sold 3 Under for Republic of Ireland vs. Israel: O/U 2.5 at 0.49

  • 08:52 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $50.00

    Bought 50 Israel for Spread: Republic of Ireland (-5.5) at 1

  • 08:52 AM
    TOTonygr888
    $9.99

    Bought 13.88 Under for Republic of Ireland vs. Israel: O/U 3.5 at 0.72

  • 08:26 AM
    YOyohan75
    $1,185.24

    Bought 2324 Over for Republic of Ireland vs. Israel: O/U 2.5 at 0.51

  • 08:25 AM
    LIliverpoolfc
    $100.00

    Bought 103.092766 Republic of Ireland for Spread: Israel (-2.5) at 0.97

  • 08:20 AM
    ——
    $10.00

    Bought 20 Over for Republic of Ireland vs. Israel: O/U 2.5 at 0.5

  • 08:20 AM
    MAMacunireal
    $49.87

    Bought 53.623642 Over for Republic of Ireland vs. Israel: O/U 0.5 at 0.93

  • 07:57 AM
    ZZZzzz87
    $9.96

    Bought 332 Republic of Ireland for Spread: Republic of Ireland (-3.5) at 0.03

  • 07:44 AM
    CPcpp888888
    $100.00

    Bought 114.942523 Under for Republic of Ireland vs. Israel: O/U 4.5 at 0.87

  • 07:16 AM
    ALalborotocrypto
    $1.00

    Bought 1.470587 Under for Republic of Ireland vs. Israel: Israel O/U 1.5 at 0.68

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

GR1
gransaaa
Event PnL
+$1,615.75
Volume
$44,780.86
Positions
Over
FL2
Flaznorp
Event PnL
-$539.24
Volume
$28,133.19
Positions
UnderIsraelOver+12
UP3
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
-$227.12
Volume
$11,001.73
Positions
UnderYesIsrael+10
OM4
omnibus-076daa
Event PnL
+$169.14
Volume
$6,765.27
Positions
Over
EM5
emacron
Event PnL
-$95.48
Volume
$4,663.53
Positions
NoUnderUnder+4
PO6
polmorket
Event PnL
-$135.48
Volume
$3,919.18
Positions
Under
NI7
nigiri99
Event PnL
-$81.41
Volume
$3,147.00
Positions
UnderRepublic of Ireland
GC8
GC-P
Event PnL
-$55.72
Volume
$2,893.50
Positions
Under

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Republic of Ireland vs. Israel - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 51% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $97.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

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