Faroe Islands vs. Kazakhstan - More Markets

$210.2K Vol
Sep 26, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Under 64.5%
Over 35.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Faroe Islands vs. Kazakhstan - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 100% chance of winning. Both Teams to Score in First Half follows in second place at 100%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $210.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (100%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 100¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $8.1K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Both Teams to Score in First Half (100%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams to Score in First Half maintains a 100% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 100¢.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score100.0%$8.1K100¢0¢
2Both Teams to Score in First Half100.0%$37100¢0¢

Result Rules

More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for September 26 at 12:00 PM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome Both Teams to Score in First Half currently trades at 100%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 16.6%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -83.3%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to Score100.0%49.8%-50.2%
Both Teams to Score in First Half100.0%16.6%-83.3%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 26, 2026

  • 09:12 AM
    0X0x722D1396b68301081F947E00aec34A5E344e1B4E-1770956797582
    $56.08

    Bought 57.226173 Faroe Islands for Spread: Kazakhstan (-2.5) at 0.98

  • 09:10 AM
    BOBodilix
    $1.00

    Bought 1.25 Under for Faroe Islands vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 3.5 at 0.8

  • 09:08 AM
    BOBodilix
    $1.00

    Bought 1.25 Under for Faroe Islands vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 3.5 at 0.8

  • 08:26 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $1.44

    Bought 9.03 Yes for Faroe Islands vs. Kazakhstan: Both Teams to Score in First Half at 0.16

  • 08:07 AM
    TEtencents
    $54.00

    Bought 90 Under for Faroe Islands vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 2.5 at 0.6

  • 08:07 AM
    TEtencents
    $6.00

    Bought 10 Under for Faroe Islands vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 2.5 at 0.6

  • 07:57 AM
    SOsonderdonder
    $10.81

    Bought 20.788462 No for Faroe Islands vs. Kazakhstan: Both Teams to Score at 0.52

  • 07:57 AM
    SOsonderdonder
    $10.81

    Bought 20.788462 No for Faroe Islands vs. Kazakhstan: Both Teams to Score at 0.52

  • 07:47 AM
    MImidouer
    $18.51

    Bought 185.1 Kazakhstan for Spread: Kazakhstan (-1.5) at 0.1

  • 07:37 AM
    ANandrewreid
    $3.10

    Bought 6.326531 Yes for Faroe Islands vs. Kazakhstan: Both Teams to Score at 0.49

  • 07:33 AM
    KIkingliu100
    $50.00

    Bought 53.763428 Under for Faroe Islands vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 4.5 at 0.93

  • 07:24 AM
    ——
    $2.00

    Bought 3.333334 Under for Faroe Islands vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 2.5 at 0.6

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FL1
Flaznorp
Event PnL
-$151.81
Volume
$6,555.22
Positions
Faroe IslandsUnderFaroe Islands+22
UP2
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
-$14.74
Volume
$5,513.53
Positions
YesOverUnder+17
EM3
emacron
Event PnL
-$95.26
Volume
$3,840.00
Positions
UnderNoUnder+7
JO4
johannsi19
Event PnL
+$18.52
Volume
$3,012.65
Positions
Faroe IslandsFaroe IslandsNo
E15
0xe1e2…6687
Event PnL
+$555.59
Volume
$1,961.66
Positions
OverOver
BE6
BeniBenassi
Event PnL
-$7.50
Volume
$1,700.00
Positions
KazakhstanKazakhstan
MO7
mooseborzoi
Event PnL
-$15.23
Volume
$1,170.92
Positions
OverKazakhstanFaroe Islands+3
KN8
KnightDasCapital
Event PnL
-$15.00
Volume
$999.99
Positions
Kazakhstan

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Faroe Islands vs. Kazakhstan - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 100% win probability, followed by Both Teams to Score in First Half at 100%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $210.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Both Teams to Score in First Half. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 100%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 16.6%, a negative EV Gap of -83.3% that signals the contract is overpriced.

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