Estonia vs. Luxembourg - More Markets

$305.3K Vol
Oct 3, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Under 66.5%
Over 33.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Estonia vs. Luxembourg - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 0.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. 1st Half O/U 0.5 follows in second place at 9,995%, while Estonia O/U 0.5 sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $305.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 0.5 (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 0.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $1.5K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • 1st Half O/U 0.5 (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 1st Half O/U 0.5 maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Estonia O/U 0.5 (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Estonia O/U 0.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Estonia 1st Half O/U 0.5 (9,995%), O/U 1.5 (5,550%), and 2nd Half O/U 0.5 (5,350%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Estonia 2nd Half O/U 1.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 0.59995.0%$1.5K9995¢-9895¢
21st Half O/U 0.59995.0%$5889995¢-9895¢
3Estonia O/U 0.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
4Estonia 1st Half O/U 0.59995.0%$569995¢-9895¢
5O/U 1.55550.0%$62.3K5550¢-5450¢
62nd Half O/U 0.55350.0%—5350¢-5250¢
7Estonia 2nd Half O/U 1.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
8Luxembourg 2nd Half O/U 1.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
92nd Half O/U 2.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
10Estonia 2nd Half O/U 2.55020.0%—5020¢-4920¢
112nd Half O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
122nd Half O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Estonia 2nd Half O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Luxembourg 2nd Half O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Luxembourg 2nd Half O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Estonia (-4.5)4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
17Luxembourg (-4.5)4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
18Estonia (-5.5)4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
19Luxembourg (-5.5)4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
20Both Teams to Score3300.0%$5.0K3300¢-3200¢
21Estonia O/U 1.53250.0%$1.2K3250¢-3150¢
22Luxembourg O/U 0.53250.0%$3633250¢-3150¢
23Estonia 2nd Half O/U 0.53200.0%—3200¢-3100¢
24Luxembourg 2nd Half O/U 0.53200.0%—3200¢-3100¢
25Estonia O/U 4.52650.0%$102650¢-2550¢
26Estonia O/U 5.52650.0%$102650¢-2550¢
27Luxembourg O/U 3.52350.0%$52350¢-2250¢
28Luxembourg O/U 4.52350.0%$102350¢-2250¢
29Luxembourg O/U 5.52350.0%—2350¢-2250¢
30Estonia (-1.5)2300.0%$5.3K2300¢-2200¢
31O/U 2.51750.0%$201.8K1750¢-1650¢
322nd Half O/U 1.51650.0%—1650¢-1550¢
33Both Teams to Score in Second Half1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
34Estonia O/U 2.5540.0%$276540¢-440¢
35Luxembourg O/U 1.5500.0%$2.0K500¢-400¢
36Estonia (-2.5)425.0%$3.6K425¢-325¢
37O/U 3.5350.0%$35.8K350¢-250¢
38Estonia O/U 3.560.0%—60¢40¢
39O/U 4.550.0%$1.5K50¢50¢
40Estonia (-3.5)45.0%—45¢55¢
41Luxembourg O/U 2.530.0%—30¢70¢
42Luxembourg (-1.5)25.0%$1.6K25¢75¢
43Luxembourg (-2.5)25.0%$64425¢75¢
44Luxembourg (-3.5)25.0%—25¢75¢
45O/U 5.520.0%$95220¢80¢
46O/U 6.520.0%$1020¢80¢
47O/U 7.520.0%$3520¢80¢
48O/U 8.520.0%$6020¢80¢
49Both Teams to Score in First Half5.0%$2.9K5¢95¢
501st Half O/U 1.55.0%$11.9K5¢95¢
511st Half O/U 2.55.0%$5.2K5¢95¢
521st Half O/U 3.55.0%$5.1K5¢95¢
531st Half O/U 4.55.0%—5¢95¢
54Estonia 1st Half O/U 1.55.0%$515¢95¢
55Estonia 1st Half O/U 2.55.0%$105¢95¢
56Estonia 1st Half O/U 3.55.0%$105¢95¢
57Luxembourg 1st Half O/U 0.55.0%$1.3K5¢95¢
58Luxembourg 1st Half O/U 1.55.0%$5255¢95¢
59Luxembourg 1st Half O/U 2.55.0%$105¢95¢
60Luxembourg 1st Half O/U 3.55.0%$205¢95¢

Result Rules

More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for October 3 at 12:00 PM ET.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 3, 2026

  • 09:17 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $19.38

    Bought 69.214286 Over for Estonia vs. Luxembourg: Luxembourg O/U 1.5 at 0.28

  • 09:17 AM
    YOyoucanbuythisbot
    $1.26

    Bought 4.5 Over for Estonia vs. Luxembourg: Luxembourg O/U 1.5 at 0.28

  • 09:17 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $18.87

    Bought 67.392858 Over for Estonia vs. Luxembourg: Luxembourg O/U 1.5 at 0.28

  • 09:17 AM
    YOyoucanbuythisbot
    $1.26

    Bought 4.5 Over for Estonia vs. Luxembourg: Luxembourg O/U 1.5 at 0.28

  • 09:16 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $4.27

    Bought 15.25 Over for Estonia vs. Luxembourg: Luxembourg O/U 1.5 at 0.28

  • 09:16 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $6.00

    Bought 21.428572 Over for Estonia vs. Luxembourg: Luxembourg O/U 1.5 at 0.28

  • 09:16 AM
    YOyoucanbuythisbot
    $1.05

    Bought 3.75 Over for Estonia vs. Luxembourg: Luxembourg O/U 1.5 at 0.28

  • 09:16 AM
    NIninemmmm
    $1.68

    Bought 6 Over for Estonia vs. Luxembourg: Luxembourg O/U 1.5 at 0.28

  • 09:15 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $58.38

    Bought 208.5 Over for Estonia vs. Luxembourg: Luxembourg O/U 1.5 at 0.28

  • 09:15 AM
    GOGoalLineGhost
    $14.10

    Bought 15 Under for Estonia vs. Luxembourg: O/U 4.5 at 0.94

  • 09:13 AM
    FUFunboyboy
    $255.00

    Bought 300 Under for Estonia vs. Luxembourg: O/U 3.5 at 0.85

  • 09:12 AM
    CIciribangerz03
    $5.00

    Bought 35.714286 Under for Estonia vs. Luxembourg: O/U 0.5 at 0.14

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FL1
Flaznorp
Event PnL
+$5.95
Volume
$5,491.50
Positions
OverUnderYes+10
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$48.35
Volume
$4,696.77
Positions
Under
EC3
0xEc9f…7827
Event PnL
-$22.03
Volume
$4,407.46
Positions
Under
UP4
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
+$1.83
Volume
$3,907.09
Positions
UnderOverOver+11
E15
0xe1e2…6687
Event PnL
+$6.93
Volume
$2,277.38
Positions
OverOver
EM6
emacron
Event PnL
+$1.95
Volume
$1,457.33
Positions
UnderUnderUnder+3
KA7
kabina-
Event PnL
+$6.13
Volume
$1,226.99
Positions
Over
GO8
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
+$9.41
Volume
$1,219.15
Positions
OverUnderUnder+1

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Estonia vs. Luxembourg - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, O/U 0.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by 1st Half O/U 0.5 at 9,995% and Estonia O/U 0.5 at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $305.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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