Czechia vs. Croatia - More Markets

$246.2K Vol
Sep 26, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Under 96.2%
Over 3.8%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Czechia vs. Croatia - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 55.5% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $246.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (55.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 56¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $14.3K in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score55.5%$14.3K56¢44¢

Result Rules

More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for September 26 at 2:45 PM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Both Teams to Score as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 55.5% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 58.8% — yielding an impressive +3.3% EV Gap.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to ScoreBest EV55.5%58.8%+3.3%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 26, 2026

  • 09:36 AM
    ——
    $3.60

    Bought 120 Over for Czechia vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5 at 0.03

  • 09:01 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $28.60

    Bought 55 Over for Czechia vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 at 0.52

  • 08:59 AM
    PSps1993
    $163.40

    Bought 190 Under for Czechia vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5 at 0.86

  • 08:56 AM
    VIvikakrived
    $1.05

    Bought 1.810345 Yes for Czechia vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score at 0.58

  • 08:44 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $4.76

    Bought 20.695653 Croatia for Spread: Croatia (-1.5) at 0.23

  • 08:24 AM
    TATastyCheburek
    $10.00

    Bought 17.24138 Yes for Czechia vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score at 0.58

  • 08:13 AM
    KOKOK
    $5.00

    Bought 10.204082 Under for Czechia vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 at 0.49

  • 08:05 AM
    SAsanlitouP2
    $20.04

    Bought 20.661156 Croatia for Spread: Czechia (-2.5) at 0.97

  • 08:01 AM
    TEtencents
    $2.40

    Bought 5 Under for Czechia vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 at 0.48

  • 07:54 AM
    BAbangalor
    $10.00

    Bought 14.084506 Under for Czechia vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5 at 0.71

  • 07:50 AM
    BAbangalor
    $10.00

    Bought 14.084506 Under for Czechia vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5 at 0.71

  • 07:43 AM
    SRsreca
    $2.40

    Bought 5 Under for Czechia vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 at 0.48

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

991
0x99F0…6382
Event PnL
-$20.01
Volume
$44,709.69
Positions
CzechiaNoUnder+5
502
50ShadesofGrey
Event PnL
+$26.71
Volume
$43,593.96
Positions
Croatia
FE3
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$37.87
Volume
$7,575.90
Positions
Under
FL4
Flaznorp
Event PnL
-$61.00
Volume
$4,976.76
Positions
NoUnderCroatia+13
LU5
LuckyLoo
Event PnL
+$20.56
Volume
$4,098.96
Positions
OverNoUnder
KA6
kaiserfranz44
Event PnL
-$81.94
Volume
$3,277.59
Positions
Yes
JO7
johannsi19
Event PnL
-$5.82
Volume
$2,701.00
Positions
CzechiaCzechiaCzechia+1
NI8
nigiri99
Event PnL
+$3.20
Volume
$2,137.00
Positions
YesCroatiaOver

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Czechia vs. Croatia - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 55.5% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $246.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags Both Teams to Score as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 55.5% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 58.8% — an Expected Value gap of +3.3%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

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