Bulgaria vs. Iceland - More Markets

$92.2K Vol
Nov 14, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Under 52.5%
Over 47.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Bulgaria vs. Iceland - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 48.5% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $92.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (48.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 49¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $1.9K in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score48.5%$1.9K49¢52¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Bulgaria and Iceland, originally scheduled for Friday, November 13, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Both Teams to Score as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 48.5% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 55.9% — yielding an impressive +7.4% EV Gap.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to ScoreBest EV48.5%55.9%+7.4%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 13, 2026

  • 10:03 AM
    NEneuralnetwork
    $7.90

    Bought 8.77777 Under for Bulgaria vs. Iceland: O/U 4.5 at 0.9

  • 09:25 AM
    NEneuralnetwork
    $0.67

    Bought 2.79 Over for Bulgaria vs. Iceland: O/U 3.5 at 0.24

  • 09:14 AM
    KVKvasir
    $123.00

    Bought 150 Over for Bulgaria vs. Iceland: Iceland O/U 0.5 at 0.82

  • 09:14 AM
    KVKvasir
    $4.05

    Bought 5 Over for Bulgaria vs. Iceland: Iceland O/U 0.5 at 0.81

  • 08:11 AM
    0X0xE8f146979A44c146BC6B0A82931Cc5417e83478b-1782222520331
    $10.00

    Bought 35.714286 Iceland for Spread: Iceland (-1.5) at 0.28

  • 07:43 AM
    FEferdinand2
    $0.01

    Bought 0.04 Over for Bulgaria vs. Iceland: Bulgaria O/U 1.5 at 0.22

  • 07:43 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $1.53

    Bought 6.954546 Over for Bulgaria vs. Iceland: Bulgaria O/U 1.5 at 0.22

  • 07:23 AM
    TATaihung
    $100.05

    Bought 526.578948 Yes for Bulgaria vs. Iceland: Both Teams to Score in First Half at 0.19

  • 06:42 AM
    HYhydra1248
    $13.13

    Bought 14.58888 Under for Bulgaria vs. Iceland: O/U 4.5 at 0.9

  • 03:54 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $99.99

    Bought 196.058824 Yes for Bulgaria vs. Iceland: Both Teams to Score at 0.51

  • 03:30 AM
    SUsuntori
    $19.04

    Bought 37.333334 Yes for Bulgaria vs. Iceland: Both Teams to Score at 0.51

  • 12:52 AM
    ——
    $19.31

    Bought 68.964286 Iceland for Spread: Iceland (-1.5) at 0.28

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

VE1
Venusian
Event PnL
+$32.71
Volume
$2,180.66
Positions
OverOverOver
KE2
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Event PnL
-$9.18
Volume
$1,836.55
Positions
Under
CA3
CAcap
Event PnL
-$26.49
Volume
$1,580.57
Positions
UnderUnderUnder+1
GO4
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
-$11.16
Volume
$1,016.24
Positions
UnderBulgaria
GC5
GC-P
Event PnL
+$4.25
Volume
$850.00
Positions
Over
NM6
NM-P
Event PnL
+$4.25
Volume
$850.00
Positions
Over
RA7
rayvanmechelen
Event PnL
+$11.12
Volume
$741.14
Positions
Bulgaria
MA8
MadridTime
Event PnL
+$11.99
Volume
$677.00
Positions
OverOverYes+1

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Bulgaria vs. Iceland - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 48.5% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $92.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags Both Teams to Score as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 48.5% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 55.9% — an Expected Value gap of +7.4%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

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