Belarus vs. Finland - More Markets

$125.5K Vol
Oct 6, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Under 64.5%
Over 35.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Belarus vs. Finland - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 70.5% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $125.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (70.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 71¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $5.1K in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score70.5%$5.1K71¢30¢

Result Rules

More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for October 6 at 2:45 PM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome Both Teams to Score currently trades at 70.5%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 41.4%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -29.1%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to Score70.5%41.4%-29.1%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 6, 2026

  • 09:25 AM
    BIbilbo-b
    $99.42

    Bought 157.8125 Over for Belarus vs. Finland: O/U 1.5 at 0.63

  • 09:21 AM
    0X0xE5F0AE9cc9aeF77ae3c2A64c9E69caa3F335dc1d-1773531520731
    $132.96

    Bought 1899.46 Over for Belarus vs. Finland: O/U 4.5 at 0.07

  • 09:21 AM
    BIbillymadson
    $3.78

    Bought 6 Under for Belarus vs. Finland: O/U 2.5 at 0.63

  • 09:20 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $132.30

    Bought 210 Under for Belarus vs. Finland: O/U 2.5 at 0.63

  • 09:20 AM
    0X0xE5F0AE9cc9aeF77ae3c2A64c9E69caa3F335dc1d-1773531520731
    $3,926.84

    Bought 10613.08 Over for Belarus vs. Finland: O/U 2.5 at 0.37

  • 09:17 AM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 2.380953 Yes for Belarus vs. Finland: Both Teams to Score at 0.42

  • 09:14 AM
    THTheRomanProcurator
    $5.19

    Bought 19.222223 Under for Belarus vs. Finland: Finland O/U 0.5 at 0.27

  • 09:12 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $2.73

    Bought 10.5 Under for Belarus vs. Finland: Finland O/U 0.5 at 0.26

  • 09:01 AM
    SAsarkozin73
    $10.00

    Bought 27.02 Over for Belarus vs. Finland: O/U 2.5 at 0.37

  • 08:53 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $32.93

    Bought 89 Under for Belarus vs. Finland: O/U 1.5 at 0.37

  • 08:51 AM
    THTheRomanProcurator
    $5.13

    Bought 13.153847 Under for Belarus vs. Finland: 1st Half O/U 0.5 at 0.39

  • 08:51 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $18.39

    Bought 48.4 Under for Belarus vs. Finland: 1st Half O/U 0.5 at 0.38

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

E51
0xE5F0…0731
Event PnL
+$29.25
Volume
$20,448.53
Positions
OverOverOver
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$78.48
Volume
$12,759.86
Positions
UnderOver
FL3
Flaznorp
Event PnL
-$11.88
Volume
$11,410.99
Positions
UnderFinlandUnder+12
GO4
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
-$3.85
Volume
$7,372.76
Positions
UnderUnderOver+3
UP5
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
-$24.63
Volume
$6,987.90
Positions
FinlandFinlandUnder+21
LU6
LuckyLoo
Event PnL
+$116.79
Volume
$4,985.08
Positions
UnderUnderUnder+2
BE7
BeniBenassi
Event PnL
-$0.08
Volume
$4,199.93
Positions
BelarusBelarus
EM8
emacron
Event PnL
-$23.70
Volume
$3,828.24
Positions
OverUnderUnder+3

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Belarus vs. Finland - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 70.5% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $125.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Both Teams to Score. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 70.5%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 41.4%, a negative EV Gap of -29.1% that signals the contract is overpriced.

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