Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. NK Celje - More Markets
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. NK Celje - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 42.5% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $87.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Both Teams to Score (42.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 43¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $3.6K in volume.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Both Teams to Score | 42.5% | $3.6K | 43¢ | 58¢ |
Result Rules
More markets for the UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for September 16 at 3:00 PM ET.
AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps
While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.
Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.
Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities
Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:
- The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Both Teams to Score as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 42.5% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 49.1% — yielding an impressive +6.6% EV Gap.
| Market | Trade Value | Fair Value | EV Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Both Teams to ScoreBest EV | 42.5% | 49.1% | +6.6% |
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Sep 16, 2026
- 08:59 AMRRRR1$29.50
Bought 50 Under for Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. NK Celje: O/U 4.5 at 0.59
- 08:57 AM0X0x16E9aE93D063b957DEc696DC2f7C6031bBE0Ad7F-1782761623607$4.23
Bought 4.548385 Over for Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. NK Celje: O/U 1.5 at 0.93
- 08:57 AM0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396$7.68
Sold 30.7 NK Celje for Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5) at 0.25
- 08:57 AM0X0x16E9aE93D063b957DEc696DC2f7C6031bBE0Ad7F-1782761623607$5.39
Bought 7.092106 Under for Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. NK Celje: O/U 5.5 at 0.76
- 08:57 AM0X0x16E9aE93D063b957DEc696DC2f7C6031bBE0Ad7F-1782761623607$19.42
Bought 19.815541 Over for Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. NK Celje: Bayer 04 Leverkusen O/U 0.5 at 0.98
- 08:53 AM0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396$1,165.71
Bought 1253.4516 Over for Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. NK Celje: O/U 1.5 at 0.93
- 08:53 AM0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396$952.37
Bought 1024.053757 Over for Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. NK Celje: O/U 1.5 at 0.93
- 08:35 AMGOgoddong$8.40
Bought 15 Bayer 04 Leverkusen for Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5) at 0.56
- 08:34 AM0X0xBf04d0a0b2A25806D02215fcE220Fe64F9e26E88-1780054567031$50.00
Bought 89.285715 Bayer 04 Leverkusen for Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5) at 0.56
- 08:32 AM——$2.90
Bought 5.370371 No for Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. NK Celje: Both Teams to Score at 0.54
- 08:32 AMVEVeryLucky888$42.12
Sold 108 Under for Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. NK Celje: O/U 3.5 at 0.39
- 08:32 AMFLFlaznorp$450.50
Bought 850 No for Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. NK Celje: Both Teams to Score at 0.53
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. NK Celje - More Markets"?
As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 42.5% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $87.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?
The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.
Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?
Our latest run flags Both Teams to Score as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 42.5% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 49.1% — an Expected Value gap of +6.6%, making it the premium value play in this pool.