Crystal Palace FC vs. KKS Lech Poznań - More Markets

$351K Vol
Sep 17, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Crystal Palace FC 93.5%
KKS Lech Poznań 6.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Crystal Palace FC vs. KKS Lech Poznań - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 53.5% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $351K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (53.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 54¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $13.1K in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score53.5%$13.1K54¢47¢

Result Rules

More markets for the UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for September 17 at 3:00 PM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome Both Teams to Score currently trades at 53.5%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 53.4%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -0.1%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to Score53.5%53.4%-0.1%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 17, 2026

  • 08:57 AM
    0X0xcB672d170975Bd43e9438131088b840d7Cba20DD-1781697165149
    $1.60

    Bought 3.478261 No for Crystal Palace FC vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Both Teams to Score at 0.46

  • 08:54 AM
    SWSwiss-c
    $5.00

    Bought 10.87 No for Crystal Palace FC vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Both Teams to Score at 0.46

  • 08:54 AM
    NEnemnogobistree
    $2.75

    Bought 5 Yes for Crystal Palace FC vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Both Teams to Score at 0.55

  • 08:54 AM
    SEsentrio
    $10.60

    Bought 23.04 No for Crystal Palace FC vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Both Teams to Score at 0.46

  • 08:54 AM
    SEsentrio
    $151.40

    Bought 329.14 No for Crystal Palace FC vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Both Teams to Score at 0.46

  • 08:54 AM
    0X0xf0C1936ddbEBF206ddAE13509B76DB47086A853B-1789331868543
    $1.61

    Bought 3.5 No for Crystal Palace FC vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Both Teams to Score at 0.46

  • 08:54 AM
    NEnemnogobistree
    $2.75

    Bought 5 Yes for Crystal Palace FC vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Both Teams to Score at 0.55

  • 08:54 AM
    NEnemnogobistree
    $2.75

    Bought 5 Yes for Crystal Palace FC vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Both Teams to Score at 0.55

  • 08:54 AM
    0X0x36091AA4c7A8F5F5e695bBe7E651434a132D9dCd-1789321715519
    $1.00

    Bought 2.173914 No for Crystal Palace FC vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Both Teams to Score at 0.46

  • 08:54 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $25.67

    Bought 55.804348 No for Crystal Palace FC vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Both Teams to Score at 0.46

  • 08:54 AM
    NEnemnogobistree
    $2.75

    Bought 5 Yes for Crystal Palace FC vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Both Teams to Score at 0.55

  • 08:54 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $366.49

    Bought 796.717392 No for Crystal Palace FC vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Both Teams to Score at 0.46

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

TH1
theowalcott
Event PnL
+$5,080.33
Volume
$149,999.96
Positions
KKS Lech Poznań
FL2
Flaznorp
Event PnL
+$47.87
Volume
$34,286.07
Positions
Crystal Palace FCOverNo+16
HO3
Homelandom
Event PnL
+$62.89
Volume
$24,245.00
Positions
Crystal Palace FC
994
0x99F0…6382
Event PnL
+$12.01
Volume
$21,391.82
Positions
UnderUnderUnder+3
FB5
0xfB07…2542
Event PnL
-$770.00
Volume
$20,000.00
Positions
Crystal Palace FC
426
0x4247…91c4
Event PnL
-$2,121.30
Volume
$18,669.31
Positions
Crystal Palace FCOverUnder+2
337
0x332a…3873
Event PnL
+$2,074.52
Volume
$18,212.31
Positions
OverUnderUnder+2
NI8
nigiri99
Event PnL
+$16.69
Volume
$16,126.00
Positions
Crystal Palace FCYesOver+2

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Crystal Palace FC vs. KKS Lech Poznań - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 53.5% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $351K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Both Teams to Score. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 53.5%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 53.4%, a negative EV Gap of -0.1% that signals the contract is overpriced.

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