Galatasaray SK vs. VfB Stuttgart - Exact Score

$200.3K Vol
Nov 3, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Yes 50.0%
No 50.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Galatasaray SK vs. VfB Stuttgart - Exact Score”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Galatasaray SK 2 - 1 VfB Stuttgart is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8.5% chance of winning. Galatasaray SK 2 - 4 VfB Stuttgart follows in second place at 1.7%, while Galatasaray SK 5 - 5 VfB Stuttgart sits in third with 0.5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $200.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Galatasaray SK 2 - 1 VfB Stuttgart (8.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Galatasaray SK 2 - 1 VfB Stuttgart is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Galatasaray SK 2 - 4 VfB Stuttgart (1.7%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Galatasaray SK 2 - 4 VfB Stuttgart maintains a 1.7% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 2¢.
  • Galatasaray SK 5 - 5 VfB Stuttgart (0.5%): Sitting in third place with a 0.5% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Galatasaray SK 5 - 5 VfB Stuttgart, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Galatasaray SK 2 - 1 VfB Stuttgart8.5%—9¢92¢
2Galatasaray SK 2 - 4 VfB Stuttgart1.7%—2¢98¢
3Galatasaray SK 5 - 5 VfB Stuttgart0.5%—1¢100¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Galatasaray SK and VfB Stuttgart, scheduled for November 3, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Galatasaray SK vs. VfB Stuttgart match originally scheduled for November 3, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome Galatasaray SK 2 - 4 VfB Stuttgart currently trades at 1.7%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 1.6%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -0%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Galatasaray SK 5 - 5 VfB Stuttgart as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 0.5% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 3.1% — yielding an impressive +2.6% EV Gap.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Galatasaray SK 2 - 1 VfB Stuttgart8.5%9.4%+0.9%
Galatasaray SK 2 - 4 VfB Stuttgart1.7%1.6%-0.0%
Galatasaray SK 5 - 5 VfB StuttgartBest EV0.5%3.0%+2.5%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 2, 2026

  • 10:06 PM
    CUCuantff
    $1.89

    Bought 37.73585 Yes for Exact Score: Galatasaray SK 2 - 0 VfB Stuttgart? at 0.05

  • 09:30 PM
    MAMadridTime
    $203.70

    Bought 210 No for Exact Score: Galatasaray SK 0 - 2 VfB Stuttgart? at 0.97

  • 07:26 PM
    DFdfsdfsdfB2
    $3.00

    Bought 100 Yes for Exact Score: Galatasaray SK 5 - 5 VfB Stuttgart? at 0.03

  • 02:59 PM
    ROroblausmini
    $9.50

    Bought 10 No for Exact Score: Galatasaray SK 3 - 1 VfB Stuttgart? at 0.95

  • 12:13 PM
    CBcbbc
    $1.61

    Bought 17.888889 Yes for Exact Score: Galatasaray SK 2 - 1 VfB Stuttgart? at 0.09

  • 12:13 PM
    CBcbbc
    $3.03

    Bought 60.545455 Yes for Exact Score: Galatasaray SK 3 - 1 VfB Stuttgart? at 0.05

  • 11:03 AM
    SUsuntori
    $2.01

    Bought 100.625 Yes for Exact Score: Galatasaray SK 2 - 4 VfB Stuttgart? at 0.02

  • 11:03 AM
    SUsuntori
    $1.04

    Bought 51.818182 Yes for Exact Score: Galatasaray SK 4 - 2 VfB Stuttgart? at 0.02

  • 08:49 AM
    MEmedoemos
    $10.00

    Bought 111.111112 Yes for Exact Score: Galatasaray SK 2 - 1 VfB Stuttgart? at 0.09

  • 04:07 AM
    MUmultitraderX
    $5.00

    Bought 55.555556 Yes for Exact Score: Galatasaray SK 2 - 1 VfB Stuttgart? at 0.09

Nov 1, 2026

  • 03:30 AM
    RIritamarita
    $37.22

    Sold 3722 Yes for Exact Score: Any Other Score? at 0.01

  • 03:23 AM
    ——
    $3,610.34

    Bought 3722 No for Exact Score: Any Other Score? at 0.97

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FL4
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RN5
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SN6
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SB8
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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Galatasaray SK vs. VfB Stuttgart - Exact Score"?

As of the latest update, Galatasaray SK 2 - 1 VfB Stuttgart leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8.5% win probability, followed by Galatasaray SK 2 - 4 VfB Stuttgart at 1.7% and Galatasaray SK 5 - 5 VfB Stuttgart at 0.5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $200.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags Galatasaray SK 5 - 5 VfB Stuttgart as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 0.5% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 3.1% — an Expected Value gap of +2.6%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Galatasaray SK 2 - 4 VfB Stuttgart. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 1.7%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 1.6%, a negative EV Gap of -0% that signals the contract is overpriced.

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