Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Como 1907

$153.9K Vol
Oct 14, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
No 54.5%
Yes 45.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Como 1907”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Como 1907 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 52.5% chance of winning. Feyenoord Rotterdam follows in second place at 26.5%, while Draw (Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Como 1907) sits in third with 22.5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $153.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Como 1907 (52.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Como 1907 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 53¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $124.2K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Feyenoord Rotterdam (26.5%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Feyenoord Rotterdam maintains a 26.5% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 27¢.
  • Draw (Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Como 1907) (22.5%): Sitting in third place with a 22.5% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Draw (Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Como 1907), treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Como 190752.5%$124.2K53¢48¢
2Feyenoord Rotterdam26.5%$20.7K27¢74¢
3Draw (Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Como 1907)22.5%$9.0K23¢78¢

Result Rules

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for Wednesday, October 14, 2026 between Feyenoord Rotterdam and Como 1907.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome Como 1907 currently trades at 52.5%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 50.8%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -1.7%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Feyenoord Rotterdam as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 26.5% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 27.2% — yielding an impressive +0.7% EV Gap.
  • Under-the-Radar Dark Horses Other notable discrepancies include Draw (Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Como 1907) (EV Gap: +0.3%). These long-tail opportunities are heavily discounted by the live order books despite stronger statistical backing from our predictive model.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Como 190752.5%50.8%-1.7%
Feyenoord RotterdamBest EV26.5%27.2%+0.7%
Draw (Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Como 1907)22.5%22.8%+0.3%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 14, 2026

  • 09:28 AM
    NEneutralwave23
    $9.15

    Bought 30.5 Yes for Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-14? at 0.3

  • 09:26 AM
    MAMarko8637
    $1.00

    Bought 1.818182 No for Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-14? at 0.55

  • 09:25 AM
    0X0x407C2584742989aE2924C106649D05Ee7F724BA3-1759673341787
    $50.00

    Bought 108.695653 Yes for Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-14? at 0.46

  • 09:24 AM
    YAyannnik
    $74.00

    Bought 160.869566 Yes for Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-14? at 0.46

  • 09:21 AM
    PRprized
    $36.00

    Bought 65.454546 No for Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-14? at 0.55

  • 09:21 AM
    PRprized
    $11.00

    Bought 36.666667 Yes for Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-14? at 0.3

  • 09:19 AM
    MOmoneypoli
    $11.00

    Bought 20 No for Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-14? at 0.55

  • 09:18 AM
    USusertrader11
    $2.94

    Sold 5.45 No for Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-14? at 0.54

  • 09:16 AM
    USusertrader11
    $3.00

    Bought 5.454546 No for Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-14? at 0.55

  • 09:16 AM
    ——
    $10.00

    Bought 21.739131 Yes for Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-14? at 0.46

  • 09:13 AM
    0X0xA9900345E6D9644c97BdF47B7Ae2AE634AE4Dc90-1783087513077
    $10.00

    Bought 18.181817 No for Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-14? at 0.55

  • 09:09 AM
    ——
    $2.50

    Bought 8.333334 Yes for Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-14? at 0.3

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

TY1
Tys0n8686
Event PnL
-$300.00
Volume
$20,000.00
Positions
Yes
DV2
dv-pm
Event PnL
+$169.56
Volume
$11,303.75
Positions
No
GO3
Gooooooollllllllll
Event PnL
-$165.52
Volume
$11,034.91
Positions
Yes
AN4
AnonymousUsername
Event PnL
+$148.79
Volume
$11,012.39
Positions
NoNoYes
635
0x635e…7584
Event PnL
+$0.30
Volume
$7,000.00
Positions
Yes
FL6
Flaznorp
Event PnL
+$67.58
Volume
$5,780.81
Positions
NoNoYes
US7
us391
Event PnL
+$28.92
Volume
$5,778.81
Positions
No
UP8
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
+$18.43
Volume
$3,725.24
Positions
No

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Como 1907"?

As of the latest update, Como 1907 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 52.5% win probability, followed by Feyenoord Rotterdam at 26.5% and Draw (Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Como 1907) at 22.5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $153.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags Feyenoord Rotterdam as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 26.5% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 27.2% — an Expected Value gap of +0.7%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Como 1907. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 52.5%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 50.8%, a negative EV Gap of -1.7% that signals the contract is overpriced.

Are there any high-value dark horse options hidden in the long-tail data?

Absolutely. Beyond the headline outcomes, our model highlights under-the-radar potential in lower-ranked options. Draw (Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Como 1907) holds a positive EV Gap of +0.3%. These contracts are discounted by live order books despite stronger quantitative backing.

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