Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma - More Markets

$75.8K Vol
Sep 10, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Yes 62.5%
No 37.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 62.5% chance of winning. Both Teams to Score in First Half follows in second place at 23.5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $75.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (62.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 63¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $36.1K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Both Teams to Score in First Half (23.5%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams to Score in First Half maintains a 23.5% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 24¢.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score62.5%$36.1K63¢38¢
2Both Teams to Score in First Half23.5%$19224¢77¢

Result Rules

More markets for the UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for September 10 at 12:45 PM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome Both Teams to Score currently trades at 62.5%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 61.7%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -0.8%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to Score62.5%61.7%-0.8%
Both Teams to Score in First Half23.5%22.9%-0.6%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 10, 2026

  • 09:02 AM
    BOBobbyBakedBeans
    $0.01

    Sold 0.01 Over for Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 at 0.77

  • 09:00 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $91.73

    Bought 247.93 Over for Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma: O/U 3.5 at 0.37

  • 08:59 AM
    MOmongold
    $20.00

    Bought 33.898304 Over for Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5 at 0.59

  • 08:59 AM
    MOmongold
    $5.00

    Bought 20 AS Roma for Spread: AS Roma (-1.5) at 0.25

  • 08:56 AM
    AUAurasi
    $80.00

    Bought 135.593221 Over for Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5 at 0.59

  • 08:51 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $4.76

    Bought 8.067797 Over for Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5 at 0.59

  • 08:51 AM
    $50.00

    Bought 79.365078 Yes for Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Score at 0.63

  • 08:50 AM
    RARatGud
    $30.00

    Bought 50.847458 Over for Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5 at 0.59

  • 08:49 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $29.18

    Bought 46.32 Yes for Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Score at 0.63

  • 08:48 AM
    TItinashi1199zz
    $1.92

    Bought 3.047618 Yes for Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Score at 0.63

  • 08:47 AM
    AUAurasi
    $5.33

    Sold 13 Under for Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5 at 0.41

  • 08:47 AM
    AUAurasi
    $5.70

    Bought 9.661017 Over for Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5 at 0.59

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FL1
Flaznorp
Event PnL
+$17.26
Volume
$19,303.86
Positions
Fenerbahçe SKNoOver+11
NI2
nigiri99
Event PnL
+$31.27
Volume
$16,142.00
Positions
YesAS RomaAS Roma+1
ST3
StudyPrediction
Event PnL
-$109.99
Volume
$9,001.40
Positions
UnderUnder
JA4
JAMJAMJAM4
Event PnL
+$85.51
Volume
$7,203.99
Positions
YesAS Roma
GO5
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
+$49.64
Volume
$6,156.01
Positions
Fenerbahçe SKOverOver+5
PU6
purplegatto
Event PnL
+$68.30
Volume
$5,524.64
Positions
YesOverAS Roma
MO7
mooseborzoi
Event PnL
-$8.10
Volume
$4,991.01
Positions
YesOverAS Roma+4
588
0x5811…6071
Event PnL
-$4.43
Volume
$4,148.41
Positions
NoUnderUnder

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 62.5% win probability, followed by Both Teams to Score in First Half at 23.5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $75.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Both Teams to Score. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 62.5%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 61.7%, a negative EV Gap of -0.8% that signals the contract is overpriced.

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