Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München - More Markets

$120.4K Vol
Nov 4, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Club Atlético de Madrid 96.7%
FC Bayern München 3.3%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 67.5% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $120.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (67.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 68¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $1.9K in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score67.5%$1.9K68¢33¢

Result Rules

More markets for the UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for November 3 at 3:00 PM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Both Teams to Score as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 67.5% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 71.1% — yielding an impressive +3.6% EV Gap.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to ScoreBest EV67.5%71.1%+3.6%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 2, 2026

  • 10:32 AM
    COColdMath
    $68.00

    Bought 100 Yes for Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score at 0.68

  • 10:27 AM
    ——
    $1.20

    Bought 2.352942 Over for Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München: FC Bayern München 1st Half O/U 1.5 at 0.51

  • 10:27 AM
    GMgmgmgmgmg
    $1.05

    Bought 2.33 Over for Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München: 1st Half O/U 1.5 at 0.45

  • 09:24 AM
    COColdMath
    $68.00

    Bought 100 Yes for Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score at 0.68

  • 08:51 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $4.78

    Bought 5.31111 Under for Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München: FC Bayern München O/U 3.5 at 0.9

  • 08:00 AM
    POPorgi-P
    $5.29

    Bought 9.61 Under for Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5 at 0.55

  • 07:27 AM
    0X0xb3Bf09666A23c227e09d7d7e54643194C735e552-1773217987237
    $9.90

    Bought 30 No for Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score at 0.33

  • 07:20 AM
    ——
    $3.00

    Bought 4.411765 Yes for Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score at 0.68

  • 07:01 AM
    DVdv-pm
    $113.08

    Bought 1413.5 Club Atlético de Madrid for Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5) at 0.08

  • 06:09 AM
    0X0x0984c23dAFe5EaecfE9DEdE553795906E0E55933-1773668859791
    $20.00

    Bought 105.263158 Club Atlético de Madrid for Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5) at 0.19

  • 05:35 AM
    XIxiaojidundun2026
    $191.10

    Bought 195 Club Atlético de Madrid for Spread: FC Bayern München (-3.5) at 0.98

  • 05:33 AM
    0F0F62
    $1,224.49

    Bought 1262.36 Club Atlético de Madrid for Spread: FC Bayern München (-3.5) at 0.97

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FL1
Flaznorp
Event PnL
+$11.45
Volume
$12,565.67
Positions
FC Bayern MünchenUnderFC Bayern München+5
PO2
PokemonSlabs
Event PnL
+$38.58
Volume
$9,765.63
Positions
Club Atlético de MadridClub Atlético de Madrid
GO3
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
-$29.40
Volume
$4,595.43
Positions
FC Bayern MünchenClub Atlético de MadridFC Bayern München+3
MR4
MrBently
Event PnL
+$14.96
Volume
$2,992.02
Positions
Over
FE5
ferdinand2
Event PnL
-$8.01
Volume
$2,156.07
Positions
FC Bayern MünchenClub Atlético de MadridFC Bayern München
896
0x89d2…252a
Event PnL
-$7.01
Volume
$1,458.40
Positions
YesOver
LU7
LuckyLoo
Event PnL
-$7.28
Volume
$1,455.00
Positions
Under
DV8
dv-pm
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$1,413.50
Positions
Club Atlético de Madrid

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 67.5% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $120.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags Both Teams to Score as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 67.5% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 71.1% — an Expected Value gap of +3.6%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

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