Beşiktaş JK vs. Çorum FK

$119.3K Vol
Aug 31, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Yes 99.5%
No 0.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Beşiktaş JK vs. Çorum FK”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Beşiktaş JK is dominating the market with an overwhelming 68.5% chance of winning. Draw (Beşiktaş JK vs. Çorum FK) follows in second place at 19.5%, while Çorum FK sits in third with 12%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $119.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Beşiktaş JK (68.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Beşiktaş JK is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 69¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $69.8K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Draw (Beşiktaş JK vs. Çorum FK) (19.5%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Draw (Beşiktaş JK vs. Çorum FK) maintains a 19.5% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 20¢.
  • Çorum FK (12%): Sitting in third place with a 12% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Çorum FK, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Beşiktaş JK68.5%$69.8K69¢32¢
2Draw (Beşiktaş JK vs. Çorum FK)19.5%$29.9K20¢81¢
3Çorum FK12.0%$19.6K12¢88¢

Result Rules

This event is for the upcoming Süper Lig game, scheduled for Monday, August 31, 2026 between Beşiktaş JK and Çorum FK.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome Çorum FK currently trades at 12%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 11.4%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -0.6%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Beşiktaş JK as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 68.5% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 69.7% — yielding an impressive +1.2% EV Gap.
  • Under-the-Radar Dark Horses Other notable discrepancies include Draw (Beşiktaş JK vs. Çorum FK) (EV Gap: +0.8%). These long-tail opportunities are heavily discounted by the live order books despite stronger statistical backing from our predictive model.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Beşiktaş JKBest EV68.5%69.7%+1.2%
Draw (Beşiktaş JK vs. Çorum FK)19.5%20.3%+0.8%
Çorum FK12.0%11.4%-0.6%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 31, 2026

  • 06:30 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $7.79

    Bought 38.95 Yes for Will Beşiktaş JK vs. Çorum FK end in a draw? at 0.2

  • 06:26 AM
    SOSourav66
    $1.00

    Bought 1.449274 Yes for Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-08-31? at 0.69

  • 06:03 AM
    0X0x6137F9f49C72422bDd7A0eb5c01206dc1c337203-1771629760944
    $3.45

    Bought 5 Yes for Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-08-31? at 0.69

  • 05:23 AM
    TAtakunyo
    $24.15

    Bought 35 Yes for Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-08-31? at 0.69

  • 05:20 AM
    SOSourav66
    $1.00

    Bought 1.449274 Yes for Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-08-31? at 0.69

  • 05:09 AM
    0X0x008e2b5998D5D5821A29968988C87Bd23aEAbd3E-1772472162364
    $1.00

    Bought 1.449274 Yes for Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-08-31? at 0.69

  • 04:56 AM
    0X0xc4b107c70c6E8b316E1b3035b0848A77011759e6-1782947093575
    $8.00

    Bought 11.594201 Yes for Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-08-31? at 0.69

  • 04:19 AM
    0X0x75234E66C4EcE58Fc586b0D9323b1105993968a0-1780214517706
    $3.40

    Bought 5 Yes for Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-08-31? at 0.68

  • 04:19 AM
    NInigiri99
    $320.28

    Bought 471 Yes for Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-08-31? at 0.68

  • 04:19 AM
    0X0x75234E66C4EcE58Fc586b0D9323b1105993968a0-1780214517706
    $3.40

    Bought 5 Yes for Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-08-31? at 0.68

  • 04:19 AM
    0X0x35fc2761f60ab64855A2A99CcD134f44D665ac54-1780763484342
    $10.00

    Bought 14.7 Yes for Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-08-31? at 0.68

  • 04:19 AM
    NInigiri99
    $3,631.88

    Bought 5341 Yes for Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-08-31? at 0.68

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

NI1
nigiri99
Event PnL
+$33.57
Volume
$10,050.00
Positions
Yes
CO2
comon119
Event PnL
-$37.50
Volume
$7,500.00
Positions
Yes
PO3
polinomics
Event PnL
-$32.50
Volume
$6,499.98
Positions
No
UP4
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
-$27.01
Volume
$5,378.17
Positions
NoYes
KL5
kleomarcus
Event PnL
+$26.55
Volume
$5,310.97
Positions
Yes
1X6
1xx2
Event PnL
+$18.21
Volume
$3,641.74
Positions
No
LU7
LuckyLoo
Event PnL
+$10.96
Volume
$2,541.53
Positions
NoNo
NM8
NM-P
Event PnL
+$8.21
Volume
$1,641.85
Positions
NoYes

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Beşiktaş JK vs. Çorum FK"?

As of the latest update, Beşiktaş JK leads the field as the frontrunner with a 68.5% win probability, followed by Draw (Beşiktaş JK vs. Çorum FK) at 19.5% and Çorum FK at 12%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $119.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags Beşiktaş JK as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 68.5% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 69.7% — an Expected Value gap of +1.2%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Çorum FK. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 12%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 11.4%, a negative EV Gap of -0.6% that signals the contract is overpriced.

Are there any high-value dark horse options hidden in the long-tail data?

Absolutely. Beyond the headline outcomes, our model highlights under-the-radar potential in lower-ranked options. Draw (Beşiktaş JK vs. Çorum FK) holds a positive EV Gap of +0.8%. These contracts are discounted by live order books despite stronger quantitative backing.

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