
Amed Sportif vs. Trabzonspor
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Amed Sportif vs. Trabzonspor”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Trabzonspor is dominating the market with an overwhelming 46.5% chance of winning. Amed Sportif follows in second place at 27.5%, while Draw (Amed Sportif vs. Trabzonspor) sits in third with 26.5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $116.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Trabzonspor (46.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Trabzonspor is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 47¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $221.7K in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Amed Sportif (27.5%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Amed Sportif maintains a 27.5% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 28¢.
- Draw (Amed Sportif vs. Trabzonspor) (26.5%): Sitting in third place with a 26.5% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Draw (Amed Sportif vs. Trabzonspor), treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trabzonspor | 46.5% | $221.7K | 47¢ | 54¢ |
| 2 | Amed Sportif | 27.5% | $178.3K | 28¢ | 73¢ |
| 3 | Draw (Amed Sportif vs. Trabzonspor) | 26.5% | $34.1K | 27¢ | 74¢ |
Result Rules
This event is for the upcoming Süper Lig game, scheduled for Monday, August 31, 2026 between Amed Sportif and Trabzonspor.
AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps
While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.
Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.
Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities
Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:
- The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Draw (Amed Sportif vs. Trabzonspor) as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 26.5% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 33.1% — yielding an impressive +6.6% EV Gap.
- Under-the-Radar Dark Horses Other notable discrepancies include Amed Sportif (EV Gap: +4.2%). These long-tail opportunities are heavily discounted by the live order books despite stronger statistical backing from our predictive model.
| Market | Trade Value | Fair Value | EV Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor | 46.5% | 47.4% | +0.9% |
| Amed Sportif | 27.5% | 31.7% | +4.2% |
| Draw (Amed Sportif vs. Trabzonspor)Best EV | 26.5% | 33.1% | +6.6% |
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Aug 31, 2026
- 08:27 PM0X0xAe2df10D6ff3221DB1e002341D947E1b37cC2bc4-1765394391198$137.20
Bought 140 No for Will Amed Sportif vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw? at 0.98
- 08:27 PMROronaldooo$1.00
Bought 1.0204 No for Will Amed Sportif vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw? at 0.98
- 08:26 PMDIdips.$250.80
Bought 264 No for Will Amed Sportif vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw? at 0.95
- 08:26 PMDIdips.$272.65
Bought 287 No for Will Amed Sportif vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw? at 0.95
- 08:26 PMDIdips.$272.65
Bought 287 No for Will Amed Sportif vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw? at 0.95
- 08:26 PMLILilybaeum$646.75
Bought 680.78946 No for Will Amed Sportif vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw? at 0.95
- 08:26 PMLILilybaeum$581.76
Bought 612.37894 No for Will Amed Sportif vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw? at 0.95
- 08:26 PMDIdips.$272.65
Bought 287 No for Will Amed Sportif vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw? at 0.95
- 08:26 PM0X0x7e1f9c90800E42806e242ABC5fcf26B571c79C27-1775842903107$152.00
Bought 160 No for Will Amed Sportif vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw? at 0.95
- 08:26 PMCHchliu$47.50
Bought 50 No for Will Amed Sportif vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw? at 0.95
- 08:26 PMCHchliu$47.50
Bought 50 No for Will Amed Sportif vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw? at 0.95
- 08:26 PMDIdips.$272.65
Bought 287 No for Will Amed Sportif vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw? at 0.95
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Amed Sportif vs. Trabzonspor"?
As of the latest update, Trabzonspor leads the field as the frontrunner with a 46.5% win probability, followed by Amed Sportif at 27.5% and Draw (Amed Sportif vs. Trabzonspor) at 26.5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $116.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?
The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.
Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?
Our latest run flags Draw (Amed Sportif vs. Trabzonspor) as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 26.5% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 33.1% — an Expected Value gap of +6.6%, making it the premium value play in this pool.
Are there any high-value dark horse options hidden in the long-tail data?
Absolutely. Beyond the headline outcomes, our model highlights under-the-radar potential in lower-ranked options. Amed Sportif holds a positive EV Gap of +4.2%. These contracts are discounted by live order books despite stronger quantitative backing.
