
Amed Sportif vs. Eyüpspor
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Amed Sportif vs. Eyüpspor”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Amed Sportif is dominating the market with an overwhelming 76.5% chance of winning. Draw (Amed Sportif vs. Eyüpspor) follows in second place at 15.5%, while Eyüpspor sits in third with 7.5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $156K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Amed Sportif (76.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Amed Sportif is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 77¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $45.2K in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Draw (Amed Sportif vs. Eyüpspor) (15.5%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Draw (Amed Sportif vs. Eyüpspor) maintains a 15.5% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 16¢.
- Eyüpspor (7.5%): Sitting in third place with a 7.5% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Eyüpspor, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amed Sportif | 76.5% | $45.2K | 77¢ | 24¢ |
| 2 | Draw (Amed Sportif vs. Eyüpspor) | 15.5% | $4.8K | 16¢ | 85¢ |
| 3 | Eyüpspor | 7.5% | $106.0K | 8¢ | 93¢ |
Result Rules
This event is for the upcoming Süper Lig game, scheduled for Sunday, November 1, 2026 between Amed Sportif and Eyüpspor.
AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps
While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.
Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.
Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities
Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:
- The Most Overvalued Outcome Eyüpspor currently trades at 7.5%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 6.2%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -1.3%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
- The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Amed Sportif as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 76.5% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 78.1% — yielding an impressive +1.5% EV Gap.
- Under-the-Radar Dark Horses Other notable discrepancies include Draw (Amed Sportif vs. Eyüpspor) (EV Gap: +0.5%). These long-tail opportunities are heavily discounted by the live order books despite stronger statistical backing from our predictive model.
| Market | Trade Value | Fair Value | EV Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amed SportifBest EV | 76.5% | 78.0% | +1.5% |
| Draw (Amed Sportif vs. Eyüpspor) | 15.5% | 16.0% | +0.5% |
| Eyüpspor | 7.5% | 6.2% | -1.3% |
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Nov 1, 2026
- 09:19 AM0X0x7D85D4a8a25C9018Eb247a065c7175c3D69fDEf1-1770788579759$27.00
Bought 29.347825 No for Will Eyüpspor win on 2026-11-01? at 0.92
- 09:18 AMSASANRAAL$2.00
Bought 2.5974 Yes for Will Amed Sportif win on 2026-11-01? at 0.77
- 09:15 AM——$1.95
Bought 2.532465 Yes for Will Amed Sportif win on 2026-11-01? at 0.77
- 09:15 AMUPUpTheBlues$13.23
Bought 88.2 Yes for Will Amed Sportif vs. Eyüpspor end in a draw? at 0.15
- 09:14 AM0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396$143.04
Bought 185.766234 Yes for Will Amed Sportif win on 2026-11-01? at 0.77
- 09:14 AM0X0x722D1396b68301081F947E00aec34A5E344e1B4E-1770956797582$68.01
Bought 73.923912 No for Will Eyüpspor win on 2026-11-01? at 0.92
- 09:00 AMZLZLYU$30.00
Bought 38.961039 Yes for Will Amed Sportif win on 2026-11-01? at 0.77
- 08:57 AMWOWouldntYouWantToKnowWeatherBoy$38.00
Bought 49.350647 Yes for Will Amed Sportif win on 2026-11-01? at 0.77
- 08:53 AMLIlinhua409$1,000.00
Bought 1086.956512 No for Will Eyüpspor win on 2026-11-01? at 0.92
- 08:53 AM——$8.00
Bought 8.69565 No for Will Eyüpspor win on 2026-11-01? at 0.92
- 08:52 AMSEseriolud$15.00
Bought 19.480517 Yes for Will Amed Sportif win on 2026-11-01? at 0.77
- 08:47 AMFLFlaznorp$7.44
Bought 93 Yes for Will Eyüpspor win on 2026-11-01? at 0.08
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Amed Sportif vs. Eyüpspor"?
As of the latest update, Amed Sportif leads the field as the frontrunner with a 76.5% win probability, followed by Draw (Amed Sportif vs. Eyüpspor) at 15.5% and Eyüpspor at 7.5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $156K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?
The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.
Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?
Our latest run flags Amed Sportif as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 76.5% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 78.1% — an Expected Value gap of +1.5%, making it the premium value play in this pool.
Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?
Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Eyüpspor. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 7.5%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 6.2%, a negative EV Gap of -1.3% that signals the contract is overpriced.
Are there any high-value dark horse options hidden in the long-tail data?
Absolutely. Beyond the headline outcomes, our model highlights under-the-radar potential in lower-ranked options. Draw (Amed Sportif vs. Eyüpspor) holds a positive EV Gap of +0.5%. These contracts are discounted by live order books despite stronger quantitative backing.
