IK Oddevold vs. Nordic United FC

$111.3K Vol
Oct 10, 2026
Resolved
Probability Trend
Yes 100.0%
No 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “IK Oddevold vs. Nordic United FC”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, IK Oddevold is dominating the market with an overwhelming 55.5% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $111.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • IK Oddevold (55.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, IK Oddevold is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 56¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $98.5K in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1IK Oddevold55.5%$98.5K56¢44¢

Result Rules

This event is for the upcoming Superettan game, scheduled for Saturday, October 10, 2026 between IK Oddevold and Nordic United FC.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome IK Oddevold currently trades at 55.5%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 49.5%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -6%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
IK Oddevold55.5%49.5%-6.0%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 10, 2026

  • 10:58 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $210.21

    Bought 477.75 No for Will IK Oddevold win on 2026-10-10? at 0.44

  • 10:54 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $110.00

    Bought 250 No for Will IK Oddevold win on 2026-10-10? at 0.44

  • 10:54 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $86.90

    Bought 197.5 No for Will IK Oddevold win on 2026-10-10? at 0.44

  • 10:54 AM
    VAValouass
    $1.00

    Bought 2.272728 No for Will IK Oddevold win on 2026-10-10? at 0.44

  • 10:54 AM
    0X0xeB68675C06E0bB9F08ba510550912d77289Ce362-1778811892036
    $5.52

    Bought 7.08 No for Will Nordic United FC win on 2026-10-10? at 0.78

  • 10:54 AM
    0X0x16c7337106A0B3a06fF863A1c06D8e2cbf7322cd-1778811943243
    $4.77

    Bought 6.12 No for Will Nordic United FC win on 2026-10-10? at 0.78

  • 10:54 AM
    0X0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343
    $6.38

    Bought 8.18 No for Will Nordic United FC win on 2026-10-10? at 0.78

  • 10:54 AM
    DOdonthackme
    $838.63

    Bought 1075.166663 No for Will Nordic United FC win on 2026-10-10? at 0.78

  • 10:54 AM
    0X0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702
    $5.47

    Bought 7.01 No for Will Nordic United FC win on 2026-10-10? at 0.78

  • 10:54 AM
    0X0x005ED998fCb786679Eb8Bfd0d20c15C0903D6D8E-1778811773658
    $6.29

    Bought 8.07 No for Will Nordic United FC win on 2026-10-10? at 0.78

  • 10:54 AM
    ——
    $3.88

    Bought 4.974359 No for Will Nordic United FC win on 2026-10-10? at 0.78

  • 10:54 AM
    0X0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293
    $6.29

    Bought 8.07 No for Will IK Oddevold vs. Nordic United FC end in a draw? at 0.78

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

SL1
Slicking666
Event PnL
-$68.38
Volume
$20,620.33
Positions
Yes
CR2
cruzNBA
Event PnL
+$245.46
Volume
$15,125.26
Positions
Yes
XY3
XYZ7676
Event PnL
+$225.01
Volume
$14,999.99
Positions
Yes
LU4
LuckyLoo
Event PnL
-$207.87
Volume
$13,857.89
Positions
No
SS5
ss0855
Event PnL
-$57.40
Volume
$5,734.00
Positions
No
KY6
Kyn008
Event PnL
-$18.24
Volume
$3,647.15
Positions
NoYes
A57
0xa5ef…2966
Event PnL
+$2,155.68
Volume
$3,225.45
Positions
NoNoNo
VE8
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$37.07
Volume
$3,164.31
Positions
NoYesYes

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "IK Oddevold vs. Nordic United FC"?

As of the latest update, IK Oddevold leads the field as the frontrunner with a 55.5% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $111.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around IK Oddevold. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 55.5%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 49.5%, a negative EV Gap of -6% that signals the contract is overpriced.

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