Malmo FF vs. Kalmar FF - More Markets

$105.2K Vol
Oct 12, 2026
Resolved
Probability Trend
Under 100.0%
Over 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Malmo FF vs. Kalmar FF - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 57.5% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $105.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (57.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 57¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score57.5%—57¢43¢

Result Rules

More markets for the Allsvenskan game, scheduled for October 12 at 1:00 PM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome Both Teams to Score currently trades at 57.5%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 55.1%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -2.4%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to Score57.5%55.1%-2.4%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 12, 2026

  • 11:10 AM
    CUCUPFan
    $33.00

    Bought 100 Malmo FF for Spread: Malmo FF (-1.5) at 0.33

  • 10:18 AM
    0X0x3A129ba47Bc3B686613e55D072a0c8c70db9fcEa-1769267639231
    $7.76

    Bought 23.515152 Malmo FF for Spread: Malmo FF (-1.5) at 0.33

  • 10:10 AM
    K1k153
    $19.60

    Bought 20 Malmo FF for Spread: Kalmar FF (-2.5) at 0.98

  • 10:10 AM
    K-K-sauda-77
    $19.60

    Bought 20 Malmo FF for Spread: Kalmar FF (-2.5) at 0.98

  • 09:12 AM
    EEeerre
    $25.84

    Bought 38 Under for Malmo FF vs. Kalmar FF: O/U 3.5 at 0.68

  • 09:06 AM
    WOwowDee
    $1.00

    Bought 1.785715 Yes for Malmo FF vs. Kalmar FF: Both Teams to Score at 0.56

  • 09:03 AM
    SUsuntori
    $19.04

    Bought 27.594203 Kalmar FF for Spread: Malmo FF (-1.5) at 0.69

  • 08:47 AM
    CRcryptoqan0n
    $12.03

    Bought 36.454546 Over for Malmo FF vs. Kalmar FF: O/U 3.5 at 0.33

  • 08:46 AM
    THTheRomanProcurator
    $19.40

    Bought 58.787879 Over for Malmo FF vs. Kalmar FF: O/U 3.5 at 0.33

  • 08:46 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $12.00

    Bought 37.5 Over for Malmo FF vs. Kalmar FF: O/U 3.5 at 0.32

  • 07:50 AM
    0X0x1d56287f73A5687401A8A1aF6461D9E508D81c7d-1781229835302
    $20.00

    Bought 62.5 Over for Malmo FF vs. Kalmar FF: O/U 3.5 at 0.32

  • 07:50 AM
    0X0x1d56287f73A5687401A8A1aF6461D9E508D81c7d-1781229835302
    $50.10

    Bought 89.467679 Over for Malmo FF vs. Kalmar FF: O/U 2.5 at 0.56

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

VD1
VD721lsj4938Dk388
Event PnL
+$2,041.32
Volume
$13,367.25
Positions
Under
MA2
marketmesh
Event PnL
-$1,292.95
Volume
$8,081.00
Positions
Over
KY3
Kyn008
Event PnL
+$754.61
Volume
$4,716.33
Positions
Under
UP4
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
+$413.96
Volume
$4,624.13
Positions
UnderKalmar FFOver+8
GO5
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
-$281.14
Volume
$4,579.85
Positions
Malmo FFOverUnder+5
VE6
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$254.27
Volume
$3,062.16
Positions
OverMalmo FFUnder+3
FO7
FootballTrader
Event PnL
-$183.30
Volume
$2,508.25
Positions
Over
CH8
Chacal.trader
Event PnL
-$337.63
Volume
$2,500.99
Positions
Over

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Malmo FF vs. Kalmar FF - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 57.5% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $105.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Both Teams to Score. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 57.5%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 55.1%, a negative EV Gap of -2.4% that signals the contract is overpriced.

Get Started