Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC - Exact Score

$42.8K Vol
Sep 7, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
No 79.1%
Yes 45.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC - Exact Score”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Any Other Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 33.5% chance of winning. Al Hilal Saudi Club 2 - 0 NEOM SC follows in second place at 12%, while Al Hilal Saudi Club 3 - 0 NEOM SC sits in third with 11%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $42.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Any Other Score (33.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Any Other Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 34¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $362 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Al Hilal Saudi Club 2 - 0 NEOM SC (12%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Al Hilal Saudi Club 2 - 0 NEOM SC maintains a 12% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 12¢.
  • Al Hilal Saudi Club 3 - 0 NEOM SC (11%): Sitting in third place with a 11% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Al Hilal Saudi Club 3 - 0 NEOM SC, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~43.5%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Al Hilal Saudi Club 0 - 0 NEOM SC (2.3%), Al Hilal Saudi Club 2 - 3 NEOM SC (0.7%), and Al Hilal Saudi Club 0 - 2 NEOM SC (0.6%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Al Hilal Saudi Club 3 - 3 NEOM SC are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Any Other Score33.5%$36234¢67¢
2Al Hilal Saudi Club 2 - 0 NEOM SC12.0%$4.8K12¢88¢
3Al Hilal Saudi Club 3 - 0 NEOM SC11.0%$1.5K11¢89¢
4Al Hilal Saudi Club 0 - 0 NEOM SC2.3%$1.1K98¢
5Al Hilal Saudi Club 2 - 3 NEOM SC0.7%$2.2K99¢
6Al Hilal Saudi Club 0 - 2 NEOM SC0.6%$5.4K99¢
7Al Hilal Saudi Club 3 - 3 NEOM SC0.6%$4.1K99¢
8Al Hilal Saudi Club 1 - 3 NEOM SC0.5%$88299¢
9Al Hilal Saudi Club 0 - 3 NEOM SC0.4%$2.3K100¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming Saudi Professional League game between Al Hilal Saudi Club and NEOM SC, scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC match originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome Al Hilal Saudi Club 0 - 3 NEOM SC currently trades at 0.4%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 0.3%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -0.1%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Any Other Score as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 33.5% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 36.5% — yielding an impressive +3% EV Gap.
  • Under-the-Radar Dark Horses Other notable discrepancies include Al Hilal Saudi Club 0 - 0 NEOM SC (EV Gap: +1.9%) and Al Hilal Saudi Club 1 - 3 NEOM SC (EV Gap: +0.5%). These long-tail opportunities are heavily discounted by the live order books despite stronger statistical backing from our predictive model.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Any Other ScoreBest EV33.5%36.5%+3.0%
Al Hilal Saudi Club 2 - 0 NEOM SC12.0%12.0%0.0%
Al Hilal Saudi Club 3 - 0 NEOM SC11.0%11.0%+0.0%
Al Hilal Saudi Club 0 - 0 NEOM SC2.3%4.1%+1.9%
Al Hilal Saudi Club 2 - 3 NEOM SC0.7%1.0%+0.4%
Al Hilal Saudi Club 0 - 2 NEOM SC0.6%1.0%+0.4%
Al Hilal Saudi Club 3 - 3 NEOM SC0.6%1.0%+0.4%
Al Hilal Saudi Club 1 - 3 NEOM SC0.5%1.0%+0.5%
Al Hilal Saudi Club 0 - 3 NEOM SC0.4%0.3%-0.1%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 7, 2026

  • 08:04 PM
    $1.06

    Sold 1.06 No for Exact Score: Al Hilal Saudi Club 2 - 2 NEOM SC? at 1

  • 08:03 PM
    CRCRYPT1C
    $506.07

    Sold 506.07 No for Exact Score: Al Hilal Saudi Club 1 - 2 NEOM SC? at 1

  • 08:01 PM
    ATatomiczenmonkey
    $1.99

    Sold 1.99 No for Exact Score: Al Hilal Saudi Club 3 - 2 NEOM SC? at 1

  • 07:58 PM
    HOhonduraslover
    $33.11

    Sold 33.11 Yes for Exact Score: Al Hilal Saudi Club 0 - 2 NEOM SC? at 1

  • 07:57 PM
    ASasd147
    $80.89

    Bought 80.89 No for Exact Score: Al Hilal Saudi Club 1 - 2 NEOM SC? at 1

  • 07:57 PM
    $4.99

    Bought 4.994995 No for Exact Score: Al Hilal Saudi Club 1 - 2 NEOM SC? at 1

  • 07:57 PM
    SHshugafa
    $5.00

    Bought 5 No for Exact Score: Al Hilal Saudi Club 1 - 3 NEOM SC? at 1

  • 07:57 PM
    SHshugafa
    $100.10

    Bought 100.100101 No for Exact Score: Al Hilal Saudi Club 1 - 2 NEOM SC? at 1

  • 07:57 PM
    $9.00

    Bought 9 No for Exact Score: Al Hilal Saudi Club 3 - 3 NEOM SC? at 1

  • 07:57 PM
    JEJehanneDarc
    $1.00

    Bought 1 No for Exact Score: Al Hilal Saudi Club 3 - 3 NEOM SC? at 1

  • 07:57 PM
    $9.00

    Bought 9 No for Exact Score: Al Hilal Saudi Club 1 - 2 NEOM SC? at 1

  • 07:57 PM
    $0.00

    Bought 9 No for Exact Score: Al Hilal Saudi Club 0 - 2 NEOM SC? at 0

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

UP1
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
+$2,466.16
Volume
$13,426.32
Positions
NoNoNo+12
SN2
SnakeBall
Event PnL
+$1,277.61
Volume
$9,728.55
Positions
NoNoNo+11
FL3
Flaznorp
Event PnL
+$967.85
Volume
$6,967.74
Positions
YesNoNo+9
SH4
shxbyron1
Event PnL
+$13.33
Volume
$6,804.27
Positions
NoNoNo+1
RN5
RN1
Event PnL
-$2,082.35
Volume
$4,851.48
Positions
NoNoNo+6
YO6
youngwhale
Event PnL
+$3.13
Volume
$1,936.87
Positions
NoYesNo
LU7
LuckyLoo
Event PnL
-$432.46
Volume
$1,889.53
Positions
NoNoNo+7
D08
d008
Event PnL
-$872.58
Volume
$1,854.84
Positions
No

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC - Exact Score"?

As of the latest update, Any Other Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 33.5% win probability, followed by Al Hilal Saudi Club 2 - 0 NEOM SC at 12% and Al Hilal Saudi Club 3 - 0 NEOM SC at 11%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $42.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags Any Other Score as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 33.5% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 36.5% — an Expected Value gap of +3%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Al Hilal Saudi Club 0 - 3 NEOM SC. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 0.4%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 0.3%, a negative EV Gap of -0.1% that signals the contract is overpriced.

Are there any high-value dark horse options hidden in the long-tail data?

Absolutely. Beyond the headline outcomes, our model highlights under-the-radar potential in lower-ranked options. Al Hilal Saudi Club 0 - 0 NEOM SC holds a positive EV Gap of +1.9%, and Al Hilal Saudi Club 1 - 3 NEOM SC shows +0.5%. These contracts are discounted by live order books despite stronger quantitative backing.

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