
Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Al Hazem SC is dominating the market with an overwhelming 30.5% chance of winning. Draw (Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC) follows in second place at 27.5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $32.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Al Hazem SC (30.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Al Hazem SC is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 31¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $8.8K in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Draw (Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC) (27.5%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Draw (Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC) maintains a 27.5% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 28¢.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Hazem SC | 30.5% | $8.8K | 31¢ | 70¢ |
| 2 | Draw (Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC) | 27.5% | $2.7K | 28¢ | 73¢ |
Result Rules
This event is for the upcoming Saudi Professional League game, scheduled for Saturday, September 5, 2026 between Al Faisaly Saudi Club and Al Hazem SC.
AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps
While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.
Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.
Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities
Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:
- The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Al Hazem SC as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 30.5% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 34.9% — yielding an impressive +4.4% EV Gap.
- Under-the-Radar Dark Horses Other notable discrepancies include Draw (Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC) (EV Gap: +0.5%). These long-tail opportunities are heavily discounted by the live order books despite stronger statistical backing from our predictive model.
| Market | Trade Value | Fair Value | EV Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Hazem SCBest EV | 30.5% | 34.9% | +4.4% |
| Draw (Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC) | 27.5% | 28.0% | +0.5% |
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Sep 5, 2026
- 04:54 AMKEKeneEgyKisKotta$11.38
Bought 16.733087 No for Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-09-05? at 0.68
- 01:40 AMPUpurplegatto$2.65
Bought 7.79 Yes for Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-09-05? at 0.34
Sep 4, 2026
- 09:56 PM——$9.58
Bought 28.176469 Yes for Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-09-05? at 0.34
- 09:48 PM-P-Promis-$3.11
Bought 9.147057 Yes for Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-09-05? at 0.34
- 08:06 PMBIbillford$1.00
Bought 3.571427 Yes for Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC end in a draw? at 0.28
Aug 29, 2026
- 06:43 PM3838791873984189$2.75
Bought 5 No for Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-09-05? at 0.55
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC"?
As of the latest update, Al Hazem SC leads the field as the frontrunner with a 30.5% win probability, followed by Draw (Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC) at 27.5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $32.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?
The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.
Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?
Our latest run flags Al Hazem SC as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 30.5% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 34.9% — an Expected Value gap of +4.4%, making it the premium value play in this pool.
Are there any high-value dark horse options hidden in the long-tail data?
Absolutely. Beyond the headline outcomes, our model highlights under-the-radar potential in lower-ranked options. Draw (Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC) holds a positive EV Gap of +0.5%. These contracts are discounted by live order books despite stronger quantitative backing.
