
Udinese Calcio vs. SS Lazio - Exact Score
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Udinese Calcio vs. SS Lazio - Exact Score”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Udinese Calcio 1 - 1 SS Lazio is dominating the market with an overwhelming 14.5% chance of winning. Udinese Calcio 0 - 1 SS Lazio follows in second place at 11.5%, while Udinese Calcio 1 - 0 SS Lazio sits in third with 11.5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $51K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Udinese Calcio 1 - 1 SS Lazio (14.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Udinese Calcio 1 - 1 SS Lazio is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 14¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $13.2K in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Udinese Calcio 0 - 1 SS Lazio (11.5%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Udinese Calcio 0 - 1 SS Lazio maintains a 11.5% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 12¢.
- Udinese Calcio 1 - 0 SS Lazio (11.5%): Sitting in third place with a 11.5% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Udinese Calcio 1 - 0 SS Lazio, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~62.5%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Udinese Calcio 0 - 0 SS Lazio (10.5%), Udinese Calcio 1 - 2 SS Lazio (8.5%), and Udinese Calcio 2 - 1 SS Lazio (8%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Udinese Calcio 0 - 2 SS Lazio are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Udinese Calcio 1 - 1 SS Lazio | 14.5% | $13.2K | 14¢ | 86¢ |
| 2 | Udinese Calcio 0 - 1 SS Lazio | 11.5% | $4.8K | 12¢ | 89¢ |
| 3 | Udinese Calcio 1 - 0 SS Lazio | 11.5% | $1.0K | 12¢ | 89¢ |
| 4 | Udinese Calcio 0 - 0 SS Lazio | 10.5% | $14.4K | 11¢ | 90¢ |
| 5 | Udinese Calcio 1 - 2 SS Lazio | 8.5% | $3.3K | 9¢ | 92¢ |
| 6 | Udinese Calcio 2 - 1 SS Lazio | 8.0% | $722 | 8¢ | 92¢ |
| 7 | Udinese Calcio 0 - 2 SS Lazio | 6.5% | $2.0K | 7¢ | 94¢ |
| 8 | Udinese Calcio 2 - 2 SS Lazio | 5.3% | $4.8K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 9 | Any Other Score | 5.0% | $152 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio 1 - 3 SS Lazio | 2.9% | $462 | 3¢ | 97¢ |
| 11 | Udinese Calcio 3 - 1 SS Lazio | 2.8% | $2.7K | 3¢ | 97¢ |
| 12 | Udinese Calcio 0 - 3 SS Lazio | 2.2% | $495 | 2¢ | 98¢ |
| 13 | Udinese Calcio 3 - 0 SS Lazio | 2.1% | $219 | 2¢ | 98¢ |
| 14 | Udinese Calcio 2 - 3 SS Lazio | 1.8% | $1.3K | 2¢ | 98¢ |
| 15 | Udinese Calcio 3 - 2 SS Lazio | 1.8% | $509 | 2¢ | 98¢ |
| 16 | Udinese Calcio 3 - 3 SS Lazio | 0.9% | $476 | 1¢ | 99¢ |
Result Rules
In the upcoming Serie A game between Udinese Calcio and SS Lazio, scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Udinese Calcio vs. SS Lazio match originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps
While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.
Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.
Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities
Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:
- The Most Overvalued Outcome Udinese Calcio 0 - 1 SS Lazio currently trades at 11.5%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 5.1%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -6.4%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
- The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Udinese Calcio 1 - 0 SS Lazio as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 11.5% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 57.4% — yielding an impressive +45.9% EV Gap.
- Under-the-Radar Dark Horses Other notable discrepancies include Udinese Calcio 2 - 1 SS Lazio (EV Gap: +2.1%) and Udinese Calcio 2 - 2 SS Lazio (EV Gap: +1.7%). These long-tail opportunities are heavily discounted by the live order books despite stronger statistical backing from our predictive model.
| Market | Trade Value | Fair Value | EV Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Udinese Calcio 1 - 1 SS Lazio | 14.5% | 17.0% | +2.5% |
| Udinese Calcio 0 - 1 SS Lazio | 11.5% | 5.1% | -6.4% |
| Udinese Calcio 1 - 0 SS LazioBest EV | 11.5% | 57.4% | +45.9% |
| Udinese Calcio 0 - 0 SS Lazio | 10.5% | 8.6% | -1.9% |
| Udinese Calcio 1 - 2 SS Lazio | 8.5% | 9.9% | +1.4% |
| Udinese Calcio 2 - 1 SS Lazio | 8.0% | 10.1% | +2.1% |
| Udinese Calcio 0 - 2 SS Lazio | 6.5% | 5.9% | -0.6% |
| Udinese Calcio 2 - 2 SS Lazio | 5.3% | 7.0% | +1.7% |
| Any Other Score | 5.0% | 1.0% | -4.0% |
| Udinese Calcio 1 - 3 SS Lazio | 2.9% | 1.0% | -1.9% |
| Udinese Calcio 3 - 1 SS Lazio | 2.8% | 1.0% | -1.8% |
| Udinese Calcio 0 - 3 SS Lazio | 2.2% | 1.0% | -1.2% |
| Udinese Calcio 3 - 0 SS Lazio | 2.1% | 0.6% | -1.5% |
| Udinese Calcio 2 - 3 SS Lazio | 1.8% | 1.8% | -0.1% |
| Udinese Calcio 3 - 2 SS Lazio | 1.8% | 2.4% | +0.5% |
| Udinese Calcio 3 - 3 SS Lazio | 0.9% | 1.1% | +0.2% |
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Sep 7, 2026
- 08:10 PMUPUpTheBlues$1,396.00
Bought 1396 No for Exact Score: Udinese Calcio 2 - 3 SS Lazio? at 1
- 08:09 PMUPUpTheBlues$16.95
Bought 19.04 No for Exact Score: Udinese Calcio 2 - 1 SS Lazio? at 0.89
- 08:09 PMFLFlaznorp$2.57
Bought 10.28 Yes for Exact Score: Udinese Calcio 1 - 1 SS Lazio? at 0.25
- 08:09 PMUPUpTheBlues$2.88
Bought 11.52 Yes for Exact Score: Udinese Calcio 1 - 1 SS Lazio? at 0.25
- 08:09 PMUPUpTheBlues$2.88
Bought 11.52 Yes for Exact Score: Udinese Calcio 1 - 1 SS Lazio? at 0.25
- 08:07 PMLIlifeonrock$26.00
Bought 72.222223 Yes for Exact Score: Udinese Calcio 1 - 0 SS Lazio? at 0.36
- 08:07 PMLIlifeonrock$9.79
Bought 69.93007 Yes for Exact Score: Udinese Calcio 2 - 0 SS Lazio? at 0.14
- 08:06 PMATatomiczenmonkey$1.30
Bought 1.32247 No for Exact Score: Udinese Calcio 3 - 1 SS Lazio? at 0.98
- 08:05 PMSDSDFGE22$1.09
Sold 1.09 No for Exact Score: Udinese Calcio 0 - 0 SS Lazio? at 1
- 08:05 PMATatomiczenmonkey$1.30
Bought 1.430142 No for Exact Score: Udinese Calcio 2 - 1 SS Lazio? at 0.91
- 08:01 PMFOfoooool$5.09
Bought 46.296297 Yes for Exact Score: Udinese Calcio 2 - 1 SS Lazio? at 0.11
- 08:01 PMFOfoooool$0.55
Bought 5 Yes for Exact Score: Udinese Calcio 2 - 1 SS Lazio? at 0.11
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Udinese Calcio vs. SS Lazio - Exact Score"?
As of the latest update, Udinese Calcio 1 - 1 SS Lazio leads the field as the frontrunner with a 14.5% win probability, followed by Udinese Calcio 0 - 1 SS Lazio at 11.5% and Udinese Calcio 1 - 0 SS Lazio at 11.5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $51K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?
The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.
Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?
Our latest run flags Udinese Calcio 1 - 0 SS Lazio as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 11.5% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 57.4% — an Expected Value gap of +45.9%, making it the premium value play in this pool.
Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?
Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Udinese Calcio 0 - 1 SS Lazio. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 11.5%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 5.1%, a negative EV Gap of -6.4% that signals the contract is overpriced.
Are there any high-value dark horse options hidden in the long-tail data?
Absolutely. Beyond the headline outcomes, our model highlights under-the-radar potential in lower-ranked options. Udinese Calcio 2 - 1 SS Lazio holds a positive EV Gap of +2.1%, and Udinese Calcio 2 - 2 SS Lazio shows +1.7%. These contracts are discounted by live order books despite stronger quantitative backing.
