AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio - More Markets

$89.6K Vol
Nov 8, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
AS Roma 52.0%
US Sassuolo Calcio 48.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 57.5% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $89.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (57.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 57¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $2.0K in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score57.5%$2.0K57¢43¢

Result Rules

More markets for the Serie A game, scheduled for November 7 at 2:45 PM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome Both Teams to Score currently trades at 57.5%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 57%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -0.5%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to Score57.5%57.0%-0.5%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 7, 2026

  • 10:23 AM
    CACachetinho
    $14.00

    Bought 20 Under for AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 4.5 at 0.7

  • 10:22 AM
    FEferrariChampions2026
    $1,557.31

    Bought 3114.62 Under for AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5 at 0.5

  • 10:22 AM
    CACachetinho
    $14.00

    Bought 20 Under for AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 4.5 at 0.7

  • 10:22 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $48.96

    Bought 58.987952 US Sassuolo Calcio for Spread: AS Roma (-3.5) at 0.83

  • 10:18 AM
    VIvilkaiiIshamil
    $43.30

    Bought 135.31 AS Roma for Spread: AS Roma (-2.5) at 0.32

  • 10:17 AM
    LILightParadox
    $13.82

    Bought 460.689656 US Sassuolo Calcio for Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-1.5) at 0.03

  • 10:17 AM
    NINiseko
    $24.25

    Bought 25 AS Roma for Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-1.5) at 0.97

  • 10:05 AM
    BUBunter.Hiden
    $10.00

    Bought 12.987013 Over for AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: AS Roma O/U 1.5 at 0.77

  • 10:05 AM
    BUBunter.Hiden
    $10.00

    Bought 11.235954 Over for AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5 at 0.89

  • 09:54 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $9.52

    Bought 17.62963 AS Roma for Spread: AS Roma (-1.5) at 0.54

  • 09:51 AM
    ANAndori
    $1.65

    Bought 55 Under for AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 0.5 at 0.03

  • 09:50 AM
    LILimousin
    $1.09

    Bought 54.45 Under for AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 0.5 at 0.02

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FE1
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$8.34
Volume
$20,359.25
Positions
AS RomaUnder
MU2
Multicoloured-Serf
Event PnL
+$86.22
Volume
$17,275.64
Positions
US Sassuolo Calcio
FL3
Flaznorp
Event PnL
+$82.81
Volume
$12,197.12
Positions
UnderUS Sassuolo CalcioUS Sassuolo Calcio+10
GO4
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
+$41.02
Volume
$10,755.21
Positions
UnderOverAS Roma+5
VI5
vilkaiiIshamil
Event PnL
-$36.25
Volume
$7,250.00
Positions
Over
0F6
0F62
Event PnL
-$20.71
Volume
$6,558.10
Positions
Over
RA7
rabbitfoot1
Event PnL
+$18.70
Volume
$3,403.21
Positions
Under
998
0x99F0…6382
Event PnL
-$2.13
Volume
$2,584.82
Positions
Under

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 57.5% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $89.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Both Teams to Score. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 57.5%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 57%, a negative EV Gap of -0.5% that signals the contract is overpriced.

Start trading