AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC - More Markets

$33.4K Vol
Sep 5, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Atalanta BC 66.5%
AS Roma 33.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 56.5% chance of winning. Both Teams to Score in First Half follows in second place at 20%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $33.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (56.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 56¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $5.7K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Both Teams to Score in First Half (20%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams to Score in First Half maintains a 20% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 20¢.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score56.5%$5.7K56¢44¢
2Both Teams to Score in First Half20.0%$3020¢80¢

Result Rules

More markets for the Serie A game, scheduled for September 5 at 2:45 PM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome Both Teams to Score currently trades at 56.5%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 53.7%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -2.8%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to Score56.5%53.7%-2.8%
Both Teams to Score in First Half20.0%19.7%-0.3%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 5, 2026

  • 08:08 AM
    GOGoalLineGhost
    $460.74

    Bought 583.21 Over for AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5 at 0.79

  • 07:17 AM
    TOtokenium
    $3.00

    Bought 3.797466 Over for AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5 at 0.79

  • 07:11 AM
    SRsreca
    $1.30

    Bought 5 Over for AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: Atalanta BC O/U 1.5 at 0.26

  • 07:10 AM
    CRCratesOfMusic
    $6.00

    Sold 9.23 Under for AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5 at 0.65

  • 07:09 AM
    JWjwocky
    $3.00

    Bought 7.89 Over for AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: Atalanta BC 1st Half O/U 0.5 at 0.38

  • 07:09 AM
    QBqbert55
    $1.65

    Bought 5 Over for AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: Atalanta BC 1st Half O/U 0.5 at 0.33

  • 07:00 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $185.01

    Bought 528.6 Over for AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5 at 0.35

  • 07:00 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $105.38

    Bought 658.65 AS Roma for Spread: AS Roma (-2.5) at 0.16

  • 06:45 AM
    AWAWPLover
    $1.00

    Bought 1.492536 Under for AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5 at 0.67

  • 06:45 AM
    TAtaichu-jing
    $2.85

    Bought 5 Over for AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5 at 0.57

  • 06:43 AM
    SUsuntori
    $9.52

    Bought 16.701753 Yes for AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Score at 0.57

  • 06:43 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $0.98

    Bought 6.53 AS Roma for Spread: AS Roma (-2.5) at 0.15

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FL1
Flaznorp
Event PnL
+$30.03
Volume
$6,379.53
Positions
YesOverOver+11
KN2
KnightDasCapital
Event PnL
-$115.01
Volume
$4,433.62
Positions
UnderUnderUnder+3
583
0x5811…6071
Event PnL
-$12.31
Volume
$3,215.68
Positions
NoUnderUnder+2
A64
0xa697…6031
Event PnL
+$22.22
Volume
$3,050.97
Positions
UnderUnderUnder+2
WA5
wapol
Event PnL
-$70.32
Volume
$2,676.50
Positions
UnderUnderUnder+5
SU6
suntori
Event PnL
+$13.40
Volume
$1,954.86
Positions
OverYesOver+2
MO7
mooseborzoi
Event PnL
+$3.31
Volume
$1,860.08
Positions
OverAS RomaAS Roma+2
CO8
ComingBack
Event PnL
+$27.27
Volume
$1,818.18
Positions
Over

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 56.5% win probability, followed by Both Teams to Score in First Half at 20%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $33.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Both Teams to Score. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 56.5%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 53.7%, a negative EV Gap of -2.8% that signals the contract is overpriced.

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