SSC Napoli vs. Frosinone Calcio - More Markets

$194.8K Vol
Oct 10, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Under 55.5%
Over 44.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “SSC Napoli vs. Frosinone Calcio - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 58% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $194.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (58%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 58¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $11.6K in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score58.0%$11.6K58¢42¢

Result Rules

More markets for the Serie A game, scheduled for October 10 at 2:45 PM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome Both Teams to Score currently trades at 58%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 57.1%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -0.9%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to Score58.0%57.1%-0.9%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 10, 2026

  • 09:31 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $16.45

    Bought 17.5 Under for SSC Napoli vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 6.5 at 0.94

  • 09:30 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $13.86

    Bought 39.6 Under for SSC Napoli vs. Frosinone Calcio: Frosinone Calcio O/U 0.5 at 0.35

  • 09:19 AM
    CACannae
    $8.84

    Bought 14.99 Yes for SSC Napoli vs. Frosinone Calcio: Both Teams to Score at 0.59

  • 09:19 AM
    ANAndersson11
    $20.00

    Bought 33.898304 Yes for SSC Napoli vs. Frosinone Calcio: Both Teams to Score at 0.59

  • 09:09 AM
    0X0xD20199C515d40250C7636674C26d0f6806043A5F-1772710280545
    $0.16

    Bought 5.17 Under for SSC Napoli vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 0.5 at 0.03

  • 08:58 AM
    0X0x140e74Fd05b60d5e983155Bd92b91215aAA9cF85-1776996717869
    $9.90

    Bought 10 SSC Napoli for Spread: Frosinone Calcio (-2.5) at 0.99

  • 08:54 AM
    0X0xEthan..
    $2.00

    Bought 3.571429 Frosinone Calcio for Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5) at 0.56

  • 08:41 AM
    YIyishan666
    $3.35

    Bought 5 Over for SSC Napoli vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 2.5 at 0.67

  • 08:38 AM
    0X0x6428fc67e350A89918fD382E988985aE624EDB0f-1770569419777
    $1.00

    Bought 1.785715 Under for SSC Napoli vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 3.5 at 0.56

  • 08:25 AM
    ABAbze19
    $1.00

    Bought 1.694914 Yes for SSC Napoli vs. Frosinone Calcio: Both Teams to Score at 0.59

  • 07:59 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $4.90

    Bought 5 Under for SSC Napoli vs. Frosinone Calcio: Frosinone Calcio O/U 3.5 at 0.98

  • 07:59 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $31.63

    Bought 117.148149 Over for SSC Napoli vs. Frosinone Calcio: Frosinone Calcio O/U 1.5 at 0.27

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FL1
Flaznorp
Event PnL
-$2,267.16
Volume
$36,140.02
Positions
Frosinone CalcioUnderOver+25
UP2
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
-$966.59
Volume
$23,646.09
Positions
OverUnderOver+26
RN3
RN1
Event PnL
-$198.48
Volume
$19,229.39
Positions
UnderYesUnder+6
GO4
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
-$1,084.19
Volume
$15,367.76
Positions
OverOverFrosinone Calcio+9
XH5
xhxtxh
Event PnL
-$2,011.97
Volume
$8,760.43
Positions
UnderUnderUnder
JO6
johannsi19
Event PnL
+$2.78
Volume
$7,777.00
Positions
SSC NapoliSSC Napoli
TR7
TradingWave
Event PnL
-$37.22
Volume
$7,552.29
Positions
SSC Napoli
SN8
SnakeBall
Event PnL
-$872.95
Volume
$6,877.39
Positions
OverUnderYes+8

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "SSC Napoli vs. Frosinone Calcio - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 58% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $194.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Both Teams to Score. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 58%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 57.1%, a negative EV Gap of -0.9% that signals the contract is overpriced.

Get Started