AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano - Exact Score

$167.9K Vol
Oct 31, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
No 92.5%
Yes 7.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano - Exact Score”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Any Other Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 46.5% chance of winning. AC Milan 2 - 1 FC Internazionale Milano follows in second place at 12%, while AC Milan 3 - 2 FC Internazionale Milano sits in third with 9.7%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $167.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Any Other Score (46.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Any Other Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 47¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • AC Milan 2 - 1 FC Internazionale Milano (12%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, AC Milan 2 - 1 FC Internazionale Milano maintains a 12% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 12¢.
  • AC Milan 3 - 2 FC Internazionale Milano (9.7%): Sitting in third place with a 9.7% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward AC Milan 3 - 2 FC Internazionale Milano, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~31.8%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes AC Milan 2 - 3 FC Internazionale Milano (6.3%), AC Milan 3 - 3 FC Internazionale Milano (5.3%), and AC Milan 3 - 0 FC Internazionale Milano (5.1%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like AC Milan 2 - 4 FC Internazionale Milano are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Any Other Score46.5%—47¢54¢
2AC Milan 2 - 1 FC Internazionale Milano12.0%—12¢88¢
3AC Milan 3 - 2 FC Internazionale Milano9.7%—10¢90¢
4AC Milan 2 - 3 FC Internazionale Milano6.3%—6¢94¢
5AC Milan 3 - 3 FC Internazionale Milano5.3%—5¢95¢
6AC Milan 3 - 0 FC Internazionale Milano5.1%—5¢95¢
7AC Milan 2 - 4 FC Internazionale Milano4.2%—4¢96¢
8AC Milan 1 - 0 FC Internazionale Milano0.5%—1¢100¢
9AC Milan 1 - 1 FC Internazionale Milano0.5%—1¢100¢
10AC Milan 1 - 2 FC Internazionale Milano0.5%—1¢100¢
11AC Milan 1 - 3 FC Internazionale Milano0.5%—1¢100¢
12AC Milan 1 - 5 FC Internazionale Milano0.5%—1¢100¢
13AC Milan 0 - 0 FC Internazionale Milano0.1%—0¢100¢
14AC Milan 0 - 1 FC Internazionale Milano0.1%—0¢100¢
15AC Milan 0 - 3 FC Internazionale Milano0.1%—0¢100¢
16AC Milan 0 - 5 FC Internazionale Milano0.1%—0¢100¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming Serie A game between AC Milan and FC Internazionale Milano, scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano match originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome Any Other Score currently trades at 46.5%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 1%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -45.5%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies AC Milan 0 - 0 FC Internazionale Milano as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 0.1% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 6% — yielding an impressive +5.9% EV Gap.
  • Under-the-Radar Dark Horses Other notable discrepancies include AC Milan 1 - 1 FC Internazionale Milano (EV Gap: +5.5%) and AC Milan 0 - 1 FC Internazionale Milano (EV Gap: +4.7%). These long-tail opportunities are heavily discounted by the live order books despite stronger statistical backing from our predictive model.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Any Other Score46.5%1.0%-45.5%
AC Milan 2 - 1 FC Internazionale Milano12.0%6.5%-5.5%
AC Milan 3 - 2 FC Internazionale Milano9.7%0.7%-9.0%
AC Milan 2 - 3 FC Internazionale Milano6.3%1.5%-4.8%
AC Milan 3 - 3 FC Internazionale Milano5.3%1.3%-4.0%
AC Milan 3 - 0 FC Internazionale Milano5.1%1.0%-4.1%
AC Milan 2 - 4 FC Internazionale Milano4.2%0.3%-4.0%
AC Milan 1 - 0 FC Internazionale Milano0.5%3.5%+3.0%
AC Milan 1 - 1 FC Internazionale Milano0.5%6.0%+5.5%
AC Milan 1 - 2 FC Internazionale Milano0.5%5.1%+4.6%
AC Milan 1 - 3 FC Internazionale Milano0.5%3.7%+3.2%
AC Milan 1 - 5 FC Internazionale Milano0.5%1.0%+0.5%
AC Milan 0 - 0 FC Internazionale MilanoBest EV0.1%6.0%+5.9%
AC Milan 0 - 1 FC Internazionale Milano0.1%4.7%+4.7%
AC Milan 0 - 3 FC Internazionale Milano0.1%0.6%+0.5%
AC Milan 0 - 5 FC Internazionale Milano0.1%1.0%+0.9%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 31, 2026

  • 09:33 PM
    ——
    $1.92

    Bought 2.902256 Yes for Exact Score: AC Milan 3 - 1 FC Internazionale Milano? at 0.66

  • 09:31 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $36.09

    Bought 94.973685 No for Exact Score: AC Milan 3 - 1 FC Internazionale Milano? at 0.38

  • 09:31 PM
    HRHRTrading
    $0.10

    Bought 0.25 No for Exact Score: AC Milan 3 - 1 FC Internazionale Milano? at 0.38

  • 09:29 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $13.05

    Bought 15 No for Exact Score: AC Milan 4 - 1 FC Internazionale Milano? at 0.87

  • 09:27 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $102.85

    Bought 190.47 Yes for Exact Score: AC Milan 3 - 1 FC Internazionale Milano? at 0.54

  • 09:27 PM
    BEBennettCommando
    $54.00

    Bought 100 Yes for Exact Score: AC Milan 3 - 1 FC Internazionale Milano? at 0.54

  • 09:26 PM
    0X0xFc052A3D45D116cBb3AC2E6Cb90Bd4C9E6f86FAc-1790622039463
    $28.50

    Sold 28.5 No for Exact Score: AC Milan 1 - 0 FC Internazionale Milano? at 1

  • 09:23 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $17.11

    Bought 38.03 Yes for Exact Score: AC Milan 3 - 1 FC Internazionale Milano? at 0.45

  • 09:22 PM
    4F4F7KXYbm7fUxPCQaXkiYvGtu5R
    $0.50

    Bought 5 Yes for Exact Score: AC Milan 3 - 1 FC Internazionale Milano? at 0.1

  • 09:22 PM
    DKDkOYL
    $0.00

    Bought 15.62 Yes for Exact Score: AC Milan 4 - 0 FC Internazionale Milano? at 0

  • 09:22 PM
    DKDkOYL
    $0.94

    Bought 15.62 Yes for Exact Score: AC Milan 3 - 1 FC Internazionale Milano? at 0.06

  • 09:22 PM
    DKDkOYL
    $0.16

    Bought 15.62 Yes for Exact Score: AC Milan 2 - 2 FC Internazionale Milano? at 0.01

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

A51
0xa5ef…2966
Event PnL
+$140,217.81
Volume
$143,842.00
Positions
NoNoNo+20
TE2
testyeagles
Event PnL
+$1,045.01
Volume
$92,198.62
Positions
YesYesYes+19
E63
0xE699…7057
Event PnL
-$1,593.20
Volume
$31,582.92
Positions
YesYesYes
LO4
lovedudley
Event PnL
-$106.81
Volume
$27,321.52
Positions
YesYesYes+16
305
0x30E4…1900
Event PnL
-$184.17
Volume
$24,210.72
Positions
Yes
SB6
sbimbg
Event PnL
+$11.71
Volume
$24,055.41
Positions
NoNoNo+2
FL7
Flaznorp
Event PnL
-$589.83
Volume
$19,477.56
Positions
NoNoNo+12
SN8
SnakeBall
Event PnL
-$42.36
Volume
$17,687.76
Positions
NoNoNo+13

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano - Exact Score"?

As of the latest update, Any Other Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 46.5% win probability, followed by AC Milan 2 - 1 FC Internazionale Milano at 12% and AC Milan 3 - 2 FC Internazionale Milano at 9.7%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $167.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags AC Milan 0 - 0 FC Internazionale Milano as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 0.1% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 6% — an Expected Value gap of +5.9%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Any Other Score. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 46.5%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 1%, a negative EV Gap of -45.5% that signals the contract is overpriced.

Are there any high-value dark horse options hidden in the long-tail data?

Absolutely. Beyond the headline outcomes, our model highlights under-the-radar potential in lower-ranked options. AC Milan 1 - 1 FC Internazionale Milano holds a positive EV Gap of +5.5%, and AC Milan 0 - 1 FC Internazionale Milano shows +4.7%. These contracts are discounted by live order books despite stronger quantitative backing.

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