Pro Football: 2026 Regular Season Win Totals

$80.2K Vol
Jan 16, 2027
Active
Probability Trend
No trend data

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Pro Football: 2026 Regular Season Win Totals”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Chicago Bears is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,150% chance of winning. Buffalo Bills follows in second place at 9,000%, while Arizona Cardinals sits in third with 8,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $80.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Chicago Bears (9,150%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Chicago Bears is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,150¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $3.0K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Buffalo Bills (9,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Buffalo Bills maintains a 9,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,000¢.
  • Arizona Cardinals (8,950%): Sitting in third place with a 8,950% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Arizona Cardinals, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Minnesota Vikings (8,850%), San Francisco 49ers (8,800%), and Cleveland Browns (8,800%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Las Vegas Raiders are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Chicago Bears9150.0%$3.0K9150¢-9050¢
2Buffalo Bills9000.0%$2639000¢-8900¢
3Arizona Cardinals8950.0%$1.7K8950¢-8850¢
4Minnesota Vikings8850.0%$2318850¢-8750¢
5San Francisco 49ers8800.0%$3.4K8800¢-8700¢
6Cleveland Browns8800.0%$1.7K8800¢-8700¢
7Las Vegas Raiders8650.0%$1468650¢-8550¢
8Denver Broncos8600.0%$2.5K8600¢-8500¢
9Cincinnati Bengals8550.0%$7898550¢-8450¢
10Pittsburgh Steelers8550.0%$9588550¢-8450¢
11Jacksonville Jaguars8050.0%$4178050¢-7950¢
12New York Giants6650.0%$1.8K6650¢-6550¢
13New England Patriots6350.0%$5846350¢-6250¢
14Kansas City Chiefs6250.0%$1.3K6250¢-6150¢
15Detroit Lions5950.0%$7.0K5950¢-5850¢
16Carolina Panthers5100.0%$3.7K5100¢-5000¢
17Atlanta Falcons4350.0%$3.8K4350¢-4250¢
18New York Jets3750.0%$1.4K3750¢-3650¢
19Seattle Seahawks3550.0%$3.8K3550¢-3450¢
20Green Bay Packers3150.0%$4603150¢-3050¢
21Miami Dolphins2850.0%$1.1K2850¢-2750¢
22Houston Texans2750.0%$3.6K2750¢-2650¢
23Tampa Bay Buccaneers2750.0%$4672750¢-2650¢
24Washington Commanders2750.0%$6.3K2750¢-2650¢
25New Orleans Saints2650.0%$1.4K2650¢-2550¢
26Tennessee Titans1835.0%$4061835¢-1735¢
27Los Angeles Rams1450.0%$2.8K1450¢-1350¢
28Dallas Cowboys1250.0%$3.5K1250¢-1150¢
29Indianapolis Colts1250.0%$4.2K1250¢-1150¢
30Baltimore Ravens255.0%$8.8K255¢-155¢
31Philadelphia Eagles165.0%$6.4K165¢-65¢

Result Rules

This market will resolve according to the final regular season record of the listed team during the 2026 NFL Regular Season. If the listed team records more than the listed number of wins, the corresponding market will resolve to its corresponding "Over". Otherwise, it will resolve to its corresponding "Under".

If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the listed team to record more than the listed number of wins per the rules of the NFL, the corresponding market will resolve to its corresponding "Under".

If the NFL Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, these markets will resolve to "50-50".

The resolution source will be official information from the National Football League (https://www.nfl.com); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 6, 2026

  • 06:32 AM
    0X0x1236d4c9f5926125a0Fee759b23942cfd618C968-1771524654076
    $0.79

    Sold 19.71 O 6.5 for Will the Tennessee Titans win more than 6.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? at 0.04

  • 05:05 AM
    CHChonchitoooo
    $50.49

    Bought 51 U 11.5 for Will the Baltimore Ravens win more than 11.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? at 0.99

  • 01:26 AM
    ERerdos-baconator
    $2.43

    Sold 3 U 9.5 for Will the Dallas Cowboys win more than 9.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? at 0.81

  • 12:47 AM
    ERerdos-baconator
    $8.60

    Sold 10 O 8.5 for Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win more than 8.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? at 0.86

  • 12:45 AM
    ERerdos-baconator
    $8.50

    Sold 10 O 8.5 for Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win more than 8.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? at 0.85

Nov 5, 2026

  • 11:59 PM
    RARandyHickey
    $3.00

    Sold 19.99 O 9.5 for Will the Dallas Cowboys win more than 9.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? at 0.15

  • 11:38 PM
    BOBobbyBakedBeans
    $0.05

    Sold 0.59 U 10.5 for Will the Buffalo Bills win more than 10.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? at 0.09

  • 10:32 PM
    CRCryptoFarm
    $14.05

    Bought 127.692308 U 4.5 for Will the Arizona Cardinals win more than 4.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? at 0.11

  • 09:46 PM
    JIjiangyupeng01
    $19.60

    Bought 20 U 10.5 for Will the Philadelphia Eagles win more than 10.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? at 0.98

  • 09:46 PM
    CHChonchitoooo
    $2,406.93

    Bought 2456.05 U 10.5 for Will the Philadelphia Eagles win more than 10.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? at 0.98

  • 09:42 PM
    BOBobbyBakedBeans
    $10.81

    Bought 135.11 U 8.5 for Will the Minnesota Vikings win more than 8.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? at 0.08

  • 08:34 PM
    ISIstaroth
    $0.00

    Sold 0.01 O 9.5 for Will the Dallas Cowboys win more than 9.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? at 0.15

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

531
0x53eCc53E7
Event PnL
+$932.60
Volume
$13,192.22
Positions
O 10.5O 9.5U 7.5+17
KI2
KindaBoiled
Event PnL
-$1,737.77
Volume
$9,202.29
Positions
U 10.5O 11.5O 7.5+2
JA3
jacobmeter
Event PnL
+$2,144.82
Volume
$7,151.55
Positions
U 11.5U 7.5O 10.5+14
TI4
TimeTraveler
Event PnL
+$102.76
Volume
$6,954.55
Positions
O 7.5O 7.5O 10.5+12
EX5
extractive-manatee
Event PnL
+$262.03
Volume
$6,529.75
Positions
O 7.5U 7.5U 10.5+21
CH6
Chonchitoooo
Event PnL
+$56.14
Volume
$3,867.17
Positions
U 10.5U 11.5U 6.5+1
JU7
JustADonk
Event PnL
-$634.05
Volume
$2,495.79
Positions
O 11.5O 7.5O 7.5+15
XT8
xtxpleasecallme
Event PnL
-$164.42
Volume
$1,972.80
Positions
O 7.5O 7.5O 7.5+26

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Pro Football: 2026 Regular Season Win Totals"?

As of the latest update, Chicago Bears leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,150% win probability, followed by Buffalo Bills at 9,000% and Arizona Cardinals at 8,950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $80.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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