Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Vitória SC - More Markets

$317.8K Vol
Oct 11, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Over 100.0%
Under 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Vitória SC - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 0.1% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $317.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (0.1%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 0¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $2.7K in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score0.1%$2.7K0¢100¢

Result Rules

More markets for the Primeira Liga game, scheduled for October 11 at 1:00 PM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Both Teams to Score as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 0.1% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 49.1% — yielding an impressive +49.1% EV Gap.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to ScoreBest EV0.1%49.1%+49.1%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 11, 2026

  • 09:30 AM
    YOyoucanbuythisbot
    $1.41

    Bought 3 Yes for Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Vitória SC: Both Teams to Score at 0.47

  • 09:30 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $21.39

    Bought 45.510639 Yes for Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Vitória SC: Both Teams to Score at 0.47

  • 09:30 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $3.79

    Bought 8.06383 Yes for Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Vitória SC: Both Teams to Score at 0.47

  • 09:28 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $37.24

    Bought 196 Sport Lisboa e Benfica for Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-3.5) at 0.19

  • 09:28 AM
    0X0xd863B5bfAe9eeBc41F7B88cF0E400a44573bB7e2-1791140741154
    $0.05

    Bought 0.26 Sport Lisboa e Benfica for Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-3.5) at 0.19

  • 09:28 AM
    THTheRomanProcurator
    $7.74

    Bought 40.736843 Sport Lisboa e Benfica for Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-3.5) at 0.19

  • 09:28 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $3.23

    Bought 17 Sport Lisboa e Benfica for Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-3.5) at 0.19

  • 09:25 AM
    0X0xd863B5bfAe9eeBc41F7B88cF0E400a44573bB7e2-1791140741154
    $2.50

    Bought 9.615385 Over for Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Vitória SC: O/U 4.5 at 0.26

  • 09:25 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $25.00

    Bought 100 Over for Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Vitória SC: O/U 4.5 at 0.25

  • 09:19 AM
    MImirabu
    $1.00

    Bought 6.666667 Under for Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Vitória SC: O/U 1.5 at 0.15

  • 09:19 AM
    SUsuntori
    $95.23

    Bought 110.732557 Over for Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Vitória SC: O/U 1.5 at 0.86

  • 09:16 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $5.85

    Bought 195 Over for Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Vitória SC: Vitória SC O/U 2.5 at 0.03

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FL1
Flaznorp
Event PnL
-$6.99
Volume
$5,402.78
Positions
UnderSport Lisboa e BenficaVitória SC+14
CO2
ComingBack
Event PnL
-$92.91
Volume
$3,920.11
Positions
Sport Lisboa e BenficaOver
UP3
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
+$13.16
Volume
$3,771.79
Positions
Vitória SCOverOver+15
SN4
SnakeBall
Event PnL
+$4.04
Volume
$3,265.95
Positions
UnderUnderVitória SC+4
CO5
ColdMath
Event PnL
+$7.21
Volume
$2,467.09
Positions
Vitória SCUnderVitória SC+1
SU6
suntori
Event PnL
-$2.74
Volume
$2,284.15
Positions
OverSport Lisboa e Benfica
VE7
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$9.85
Volume
$1,944.77
Positions
UnderNoUnder
GO8
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
+$47.95
Volume
$1,479.77
Positions
UnderVitória SCOver+3

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Vitória SC - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 0.1% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $317.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags Both Teams to Score as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 0.1% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 49.1% — an Expected Value gap of +49.1%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

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