# of views of next MrBeast Gaming video on day 1?

Sep 15, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
<7.5M 49.5%
7.5–10M 49.5%
10–12.5M 49.5%
12.5–15M 49.5%
15–17.5M 49.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “# of views of next MrBeast Gaming video on day 1?”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, 10–12.5M is dominating the market with an overwhelming 2,600% chance of winning. 15–17.5M follows in second place at 2,600%, while <7.5M sits in third with 2,400%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • 10–12.5M (2,600%): Currently commanding the highest probability, 10–12.5M is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 2,600¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • 15–17.5M (2,600%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 15–17.5M maintains a 2,600% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 2,600¢.
  • <7.5M (2,400%): Sitting in third place with a 2,400% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward <7.5M, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes 7.5–10M (2,400%), 12.5–15M (2,300%), and 20M+ (1,550%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like 17.5–20M are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
110–12.5M2600.0%2600¢-2500¢
215–17.5M2600.0%2600¢-2500¢
3<7.5M2400.0%2400¢-2300¢
47.5–10M2400.0%2400¢-2300¢
512.5–15M2300.0%2300¢-2200¢
620M+1550.0%1550¢-1450¢
717.5–20M1450.0%1450¢-1350¢

Result Rules

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast Gaming gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.

If MrBeast Gaming does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market is MrBeast Gaming's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeastGaming), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

Note: This market refers to MrBeast Gaming's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "# of views of next MrBeast Gaming video on day 1?"?

As of the latest update, 10–12.5M leads the field as the frontrunner with a 2,600% win probability, followed by 15–17.5M at 2,600% and <7.5M at 2,400%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached —, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

Get Started