# of views of MrBeast gaming video on day 4?

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “# of views of MrBeast gaming video on day 4?”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, 43-44M is dominating the market with an overwhelming 4,950% chance of winning. 44-45M follows in second place at 3,900%, while 42-43M sits in third with 1,350%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $1.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

• 43-44M (4,950%): Currently commanding the highest probability, 43-44M is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 4,950¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $160 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

• 44-45M (3,900%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 44-45M maintains a 3,900% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 3,900¢.
• 42-43M (1,350%): Sitting in third place with a 1,350% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward 42-43M, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

• Alternative Options: This includes 45M+ (950%), 41-42M (650%), and 40-41M (300%).
• Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like <40M are still attracting notable interest.

This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast Gaming gets in the first 96 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 96 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market is MrBeast Gaming's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeastGaming), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.

Note: This market refers only to the video "$10,000 Every Day You Survive In Minecraft" by MrBeast Gaming (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h8VE9_aHd94).