IK Start vs. Hamarkameratene

$90.1K Vol
Oct 11, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
No 76.5%
Yes 23.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “IK Start vs. Hamarkameratene”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, IK Start is dominating the market with an overwhelming 49.5% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $90.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • IK Start (49.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, IK Start is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 50¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $42.1K in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1IK Start49.5%$42.1K50¢51¢

Result Rules

This event is for the upcoming Norway Eliteserien game, scheduled for Sunday, October 11, 2026 between IK Start and Hamarkameratene.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies IK Start as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 49.5% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 50.8% — yielding an impressive +1.3% EV Gap.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
IK StartBest EV49.5%50.8%+1.3%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 11, 2026

  • 09:10 AM
    SBsbsigner
    $2.73

    Bought 5.68 No for Will IK Start win on 2026-10-11? at 0.48

  • 09:09 AM
    SBsbsigner
    $2.40

    Bought 5 No for Will IK Start win on 2026-10-11? at 0.48

  • 08:59 AM
    SBsbsigner
    $38.77

    Bought 80.77 No for Will IK Start win on 2026-10-11? at 0.48

  • 08:52 AM
    0X0xdd853A29043f95c1C790471cC0155135f94ECd25-1773210562113
    $18.96

    Bought 39.5 No for Will IK Start win on 2026-10-11? at 0.48

  • 08:52 AM
    ——
    $1.93

    Bought 4.020834 No for Will IK Start win on 2026-10-11? at 0.48

  • 08:52 AM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 2.083334 No for Will IK Start win on 2026-10-11? at 0.48

  • 08:52 AM
    TATakon88
    $3,841.59

    Bought 7387.68 Yes for Will IK Start win on 2026-10-11? at 0.52

  • 08:52 AM
    ANAnt7890
    $2.96

    Bought 5.584906 Yes for Will IK Start win on 2026-10-11? at 0.53

  • 08:52 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $467.67

    Bought 917 Yes for Will IK Start win on 2026-10-11? at 0.51

  • 08:52 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $7.23

    Bought 14.46 Yes for Will IK Start win on 2026-10-11? at 0.5

  • 08:52 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $681.22

    Bought 1362.446667 Yes for Will IK Start win on 2026-10-11? at 0.5

  • 08:52 AM
    YOyoucanbuythisbot
    $12.27

    Bought 24.54 Yes for Will IK Start win on 2026-10-11? at 0.5

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

TA1
Takon88
Event PnL
+$877.22
Volume
$67,532.78
Positions
NoYes
VE2
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$228.82
Volume
$14,443.90
Positions
NoYes
RN3
RN1
Event PnL
-$50.00
Volume
$10,000.00
Positions
Yes
LU4
LuckyLoo
Event PnL
-$105.05
Volume
$7,003.00
Positions
Yes
UP5
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
-$51.58
Volume
$5,608.52
Positions
NoYes
GC6
GC-P
Event PnL
-$34.52
Volume
$4,339.22
Positions
NoYes
NM7
NM-P
Event PnL
-$8.42
Volume
$4,233.37
Positions
NoYes
US8
us391
Event PnL
-$235.18
Volume
$3,618.18
Positions
No

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "IK Start vs. Hamarkameratene"?

As of the latest update, IK Start leads the field as the frontrunner with a 49.5% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $90.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags IK Start as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 49.5% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 50.8% — an Expected Value gap of +1.3%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

Get Started