Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights

$607.5K Vol
Oct 9, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Golden Knights 61.5%
Maple Leafs 38.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5 follows in second place at 9,995%, while Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5 sits in third with 7,100%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $607.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5 (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $1.7K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5 (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5 maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5 (7,100%): Sitting in third place with a 7,100% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights (4,150%), and Spread -1.5 (2,850%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.59995.0%$1.7K9995¢-9895¢
2Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.59995.0%$32.0K9995¢-9895¢
3Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.57100.0%$11.8K7100¢-7000¢
4Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights4150.0%$544.2K4150¢-4050¢
5Spread -1.52850.0%$11.6K2850¢-2750¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 8 at 10:00PM ET:

If the Maple Leafs win, the market will resolve to "Maple Leafs".

If the Golden Knights win, the market will resolve to "Golden Knights".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 9, 2026

  • 01:35 AM
    NInigiri99
    $457.56

    Bought 738 Maple Leafs for Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5) at 0.62

  • 01:12 AM
    THTheRomanProcurator
    $17.45

    Bought 28.14516 Maple Leafs for Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5) at 0.62

  • 01:10 AM
    SUsuperlxj
    $2.48

    Bought 4 Maple Leafs for Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5) at 0.62

  • 01:10 AM
    MAMasterSparks69
    $3.62

    Bought 5.83871 Maple Leafs for Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5) at 0.62

  • 01:10 AM
    USuseruserlol
    $1,985.88

    Bought 5092 Golden Knights for Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5) at 0.39

Oct 8, 2026

  • 08:58 PM
    ——
    $50.00

    Bought 80.64516 Over for Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 at 0.62

  • 08:54 PM
    CHChrismactom
    $10.00

    Bought 16.129031 Over for Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 at 0.62

  • 08:54 PM
    ——
    $10.00

    Bought 16.129031 Over for Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 at 0.62

  • 08:49 PM
    0X0x0972b2c3e9d4f65725DbB4f856AE2056acaB9d1E-1769533502126
    $652.00

    Bought 1051.612902 Golden Knights for Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights at 0.62

  • 08:44 PM
    ——
    $8.82

    Bought 14.225807 Over for Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 at 0.62

  • 08:43 PM
    W3w3ftrader
    $5.00

    Bought 8.06 Over for Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 at 0.62

  • 08:43 PM
    ——
    $8.82

    Bought 14.225807 Over for Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 at 0.62

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

SA1
Sassy-Bucket
Event PnL
-$4,000.00
Volume
$199,999.99
Positions
Golden Knights
SC2
ScroooogeMcDuck
Event PnL
-$31,500.00
Volume
$100,000.00
Positions
Maple Leafs
2C3
0x2c33…5465
Event PnL
-$14,448.83
Volume
$45,869.31
Positions
Maple Leafs
FE4
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$10,713.93
Volume
$38,773.37
Positions
Maple Leafs
CH5
chubbytoro
Event PnL
+$121.97
Volume
$21,188.56
Positions
OverOver
RA6
RanaAmariPredicts
Event PnL
-$517.72
Volume
$17,258.06
Positions
Golden Knights
NO7
Nooserac
Event PnL
-$4,875.00
Volume
$15,000.00
Positions
Maple Leafs
VE8
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$1,506.14
Volume
$14,354.51
Positions
Maple LeafsUnderUnder+2

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights"?

As of the latest update, Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5 at 9,995% and Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5 at 7,100%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $607.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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