Lightning vs. Wild

$134.6K Vol
Nov 8, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Lightning 56.5%
Wild 43.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Lightning vs. Wild”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 2.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,760% chance of winning. O/U 3.5 follows in second place at 8,950%, while Lightning vs. Wild: O/U 4.5 sits in third with 8,150%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $134.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 2.5 (9,760%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 2.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,760¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 3.5 (8,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 3.5 maintains a 8,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 8,950¢.
  • Lightning vs. Wild: O/U 4.5 (8,150%): Sitting in third place with a 8,150% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Lightning vs. Wild: O/U 4.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Lightning vs. Wild: O/U 5.5 (6,150%), Lightning vs. Wild (5,650%), and Lightning vs. Wild: O/U 6.5 (5,050%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Spread -1.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 2.59760.0%—9760¢-9660¢
2O/U 3.58950.0%—8950¢-8850¢
3Lightning vs. Wild: O/U 4.58150.0%—8150¢-8050¢
4Lightning vs. Wild: O/U 5.56150.0%$2066150¢-6050¢
5Lightning vs. Wild5650.0%$72.9K5650¢-5550¢
6Lightning vs. Wild: O/U 6.55050.0%$2.7K5050¢-4950¢
7Spread -1.53450.0%$3513450¢-3350¢
8Lightning vs. Wild: O/U 7.52950.0%$52950¢-2850¢
9Spread -1.52350.0%$3512350¢-2250¢
10Spread -2.52250.0%$342250¢-2150¢
11O/U 8.52150.0%—2150¢-2050¢
12Spread -2.51500.0%$341500¢-1400¢
13O/U 9.51000.0%$321000¢-900¢
14Spread -3.5850.0%—850¢-750¢
15Spread -3.5700.0%—700¢-600¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for November 7 at 8:00PM ET:

If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning".

If the Wild win, the market will resolve to "Wild".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 7, 2026

  • 01:39 PM
    KIkingbetss
    $154.90

    Bought 234.7 Wild for Spread: Lightning (-1.5) at 0.66

  • 01:39 PM
    YUyuityut6756
    $2.03

    Bought 5.8 Lightning for Spread: Lightning (-1.5) at 0.35

  • 01:39 PM
    YUyuityut6756
    $2.03

    Bought 5.8 Lightning for Spread: Lightning (-1.5) at 0.35

  • 01:39 PM
    FEferrariChampions2026
    $15,490.09

    Bought 23469.833332 Wild for Spread: Lightning (-1.5) at 0.66

  • 11:34 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $9.24

    Bought 14 Wild for Spread: Lightning (-1.5) at 0.66

  • 09:22 AM
    CHchubbytoro
    $697.67

    Bought 2051.96 Lightning for Spread: Lightning (-1.5) at 0.34

  • 09:14 AM
    0X0x48jd0ql531a6k7y4z
    $54.03

    Bought 122.79 Wild for Lightning vs. Wild at 0.44

  • 09:14 AM
    CHchubbytoro
    $40.91

    Bought 73.05 Lightning for Lightning vs. Wild at 0.56

  • 09:14 AM
    MRmr.Finch
    $5.00

    Bought 11.111112 Wild for Lightning vs. Wild at 0.45

  • 09:14 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $2,132.48

    Bought 3808 Lightning for Lightning vs. Wild at 0.56

  • 07:46 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $1.68

    Bought 3 Lightning for Lightning vs. Wild at 0.56

  • 07:20 AM
    SEsetls
    $3.37

    Bought 5.029851 Wild for Spread: Lightning (-1.5) at 0.67

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

CH1
chubbytoro
Event PnL
+$11.24
Volume
$93,367.89
Positions
LightningLightning
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$307.78
Volume
$75,727.53
Positions
WildWild
MO3
mooseborzoi
Event PnL
-$20.00
Volume
$22,833.00
Positions
LightningLightning
RO4
royalestake
Event PnL
+$55.04
Volume
$18,999.99
Positions
Wild
RO5
roldy
Event PnL
+$81.24
Volume
$12,381.75
Positions
WildOverOver
CA6
CAcap
Event PnL
-$2.59
Volume
$3,518.00
Positions
WildWild
VE7
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$18.56
Volume
$2,570.12
Positions
Wild
HO8
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
-$2.12
Volume
$2,550.46
Positions
Wild

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Lightning vs. Wild"?

As of the latest update, O/U 2.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,760% win probability, followed by O/U 3.5 at 8,950% and Lightning vs. Wild: O/U 4.5 at 8,150%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $134.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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