Lightning vs. Sabres

$96.1K Vol
Nov 12, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Lightning 54.5%
Sabres 45.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Lightning vs. Sabres”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 2.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,765% chance of winning. O/U 3.5 follows in second place at 9,050%, while Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5 sits in third with 8,300%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $96.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 2.5 (9,765%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 2.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,765¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 3.5 (9,050%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 3.5 maintains a 9,050% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,050¢.
  • Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5 (8,300%): Sitting in third place with a 8,300% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5 (6,350%), Lightning vs. Sabres (5,550%), and Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5 (5,350%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Spread -1.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 2.59765.0%—9765¢-9665¢
2O/U 3.59050.0%$209050¢-8950¢
3Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 4.58300.0%$238300¢-8200¢
4Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 5.56350.0%$3.6K6350¢-6250¢
5Lightning vs. Sabres5550.0%$46.7K5550¢-5450¢
6Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 6.55350.0%$14.5K5350¢-5250¢
7Spread -1.53350.0%$1443350¢-3250¢
8Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 7.53150.0%—3150¢-3050¢
9Spread -1.52550.0%$1442550¢-2450¢
10O/U 8.52250.0%—2250¢-2150¢
11Spread -2.52150.0%$522150¢-2050¢
12Spread -2.51650.0%$521650¢-1550¢
13O/U 9.51050.0%$2851050¢-950¢
14Spread -3.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
15Spread -3.5700.0%—700¢-600¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for November 11 at 7:00PM ET:

If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning".

If the Sabres win, the market will resolve to "Sabres".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 11, 2026

  • 09:53 PM
    JLjlangan
    $25.00

    Bought 54.347827 Sabres for Lightning vs. Sabres at 0.46

  • 09:48 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $9.20

    Bought 20 Sabres for Lightning vs. Sabres at 0.46

  • 09:39 PM
    ——
    $2.00

    Bought 3.125 Over for Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5 at 0.64

  • 09:39 PM
    ZIZitounkarim
    $2.00

    Bought 3.636364 Lightning for Lightning vs. Sabres at 0.55

  • 09:34 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $11.04

    Bought 24 Sabres for Lightning vs. Sabres at 0.46

  • 09:28 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $2.76

    Bought 6 Sabres for Lightning vs. Sabres at 0.46

  • 09:27 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $46.46

    Bought 101 Sabres for Lightning vs. Sabres at 0.46

  • 09:23 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $380.42

    Bought 827 Sabres for Lightning vs. Sabres at 0.46

  • 09:14 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $8.74

    Bought 19 Sabres for Lightning vs. Sabres at 0.46

  • 09:14 PM
    GOGolftango
    $20.00

    Bought 43.478261 Sabres for Lightning vs. Sabres at 0.46

  • 09:10 PM
    ——
    $4.62

    Bought 8.4 Lightning for Lightning vs. Sabres at 0.55

  • 09:10 PM
    ILilovegd
    $6.00

    Bought 13.043479 Sabres for Lightning vs. Sabres at 0.46

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

TA1
taylorsversion
Event PnL
+$135.67
Volume
$33,013.99
Positions
LightningLightning
KE2
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Event PnL
-$110.30
Volume
$22,064.42
Positions
Sabres
F63
0xf62B…5459
Event PnL
-$108.81
Volume
$18,233.00
Positions
Lightning
NI4
nigiri99
Event PnL
-$25.14
Volume
$11,605.00
Positions
SabresUnderSabres
RO5
royalestake
Event PnL
+$44.78
Volume
$10,129.82
Positions
LightningOver
MO6
mooseborzoi
Event PnL
-$46.03
Volume
$9,206.00
Positions
Sabres
RO7
roldy
Event PnL
+$30.00
Volume
$6,000.00
Positions
Sabres
FL8
flaviocaballero2233
Event PnL
-$15.03
Volume
$3,007.46
Positions
Sabres

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Lightning vs. Sabres"?

As of the latest update, O/U 2.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,765% win probability, followed by O/U 3.5 at 9,050% and Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5 at 8,300%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $96.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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