Islanders vs. Maple Leafs

$179.1K Vol
Oct 1, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Maple Leafs 56.5%
Islanders 43.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Islanders vs. Maple Leafs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 4.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,750% chance of winning. Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5 follows in second place at 5,650%, while Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5 sits in third with 4,450%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $179.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 4.5 (7,750%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 4.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,750¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $2.6K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5 (5,650%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5 maintains a 5,650% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,650¢.
  • Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5 (4,450%): Sitting in third place with a 4,450% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Islanders vs. Maple Leafs (4,350%), Spread -1.5 (3,250%), and Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 7.5 (2,550%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Islanders vs. Maple Leafs are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 4.57750.0%$2.6K7750¢-7650¢
2Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.55650.0%$10.0K5650¢-5550¢
3Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.54450.0%$4.1K4450¢-4350¢
4Islanders vs. Maple Leafs4350.0%$188.1K4350¢-4250¢
5Spread -1.53250.0%$6.6K3250¢-3150¢
6Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 7.52550.0%$392550¢-2450¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for September 30 at 7:30PM ET:

If the Islanders win, the market will resolve to "Islanders".

If the Maple Leafs win, the market will resolve to "Maple Leafs".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 30, 2026

  • 08:58 PM
    ——
    $20.00

    Bought 44.444445 Islanders for Islanders vs. Maple Leafs at 0.45

  • 08:55 PM
    ——
    $50.00

    Bought 89.285715 Maple Leafs for Islanders vs. Maple Leafs at 0.56

  • 08:55 PM
    ——
    $50.00

    Bought 89.285715 Maple Leafs for Islanders vs. Maple Leafs at 0.56

  • 08:53 PM
    DSDsl007007
    $7.24

    Bought 16.088889 Islanders for Islanders vs. Maple Leafs at 0.45

  • 08:53 PM
    0X0x6475d7f132BD68185903Ae538dFC7ED6074a8028-1778412597460
    $82.50

    Bought 150 Maple Leafs for Islanders vs. Maple Leafs at 0.55

  • 08:52 PM
    ELElenes
    $67,355.45

    Bought 122464.45 Maple Leafs for Islanders vs. Maple Leafs at 0.55

  • 08:52 PM
    0X0x32ee81AAd47D19fb2E6f70eF47eE94Ff455E6C29-1725881895659
    $6.00

    Bought 13.043479 Islanders for Islanders vs. Maple Leafs at 0.46

  • 08:47 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $4.95

    Bought 9 Maple Leafs for Islanders vs. Maple Leafs at 0.55

  • 08:28 PM
    WXWxWxW
    $20.75

    Bought 37.727273 Maple Leafs for Islanders vs. Maple Leafs at 0.55

  • 08:22 PM
    JOJohnnyDarts
    $55.00

    Bought 100 Maple Leafs for Islanders vs. Maple Leafs at 0.55

  • 08:22 PM
    HOHow-TO-Dota
    $10.00

    Bought 18.181817 Maple Leafs for Islanders vs. Maple Leafs at 0.55

  • 08:12 PM
    CACashCremator
    $7.00

    Bought 15.217392 Islanders for Islanders vs. Maple Leafs at 0.46

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

CH1
chubbytoro
Event PnL
+$3.91
Volume
$16,506.12
Positions
Maple Leafs
PE2
PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN
Event PnL
-$75.00
Volume
$15,000.00
Positions
Islanders
HO3
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
-$61.49
Volume
$9,281.91
Positions
UnderIslandersOver
EL4
Elenes
Event PnL
+$42.81
Volume
$8,559.97
Positions
Maple Leafs
TA5
TAIWANNUMBERONE
Event PnL
+$40.92
Volume
$8,322.15
Positions
OverOver
CO6
cocococococo
Event PnL
-$27.78
Volume
$7,958.25
Positions
Islanders
VE7
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$4.21
Volume
$3,189.82
Positions
IslandersUnderOver
RO8
royalestake
Event PnL
+$45.16
Volume
$3,010.39
Positions
Over

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Islanders vs. Maple Leafs"?

As of the latest update, Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 4.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,750% win probability, followed by Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5 at 5,650% and Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5 at 4,450%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $179.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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